Tom and Rich are heading Down Under for this week’s Foreign Fridays, covering an exciting card from Flemington Racetrack in Australia! With top-class racing and high-stakes action, we’ll break down the key contenders and uncover the best betting angles for:
📌 Race 3 – Frances Tressady Stakes (Group 3) – A competitive field of fillies & mares battle over 1400m!
📌 Race 6 – The Elms Handicap – A tough handicap where tactics will be key!
📌 Race 7 – C S Hayes Stakes (Group 3) – A major prep for the Australian Guineas!
📌 Race 8 – Black Caviar Lightning (Group 1) – A sprint showdown featuring some of Australia’s fastest horses!
📌 Race 9 – Desirable Stakes – A test of class and stamina to close out the day!
Flemington Racecourse (Free Past Performances)
Flemington Racetrack Picks
22-1 Tom’s Flemington Tips and Comments
RACE 3
6 – Wishlor Lass
She’s entering this race after a barrier trial in which she ran fourth. She may need a race, but she has won at this level before and has a record of six starts and four wins at this distance. The comments on her last two races are not positive, but she ran too far because her races were at 1600m, 2040m, and 2000m. This is her distance; she won two of her four races at the group three level.
3 – Fancify
She is the lone speed in the races and has won and placed in her two efforts at this level. She was in the lead in her last race and had a clear margin late but couldn’t finish and ran second. In a lower-level race, two starts back, she was used throughout the race and maintained a lead, but she was used hard at the end. There was a comment about her slow post-race recovery. She is four for five at this distance, she will need to set a sensible pace to finish strong at the end.
2 – Plenty of Ammo
This will be her first start after an average layoff and barrier trial. She is coming down in distance and has won and placed in two starts at this distance. She is a group two winner, and she’s won and placed first up in three starts. She won her group two at 1600m, and the last race was against group one company, so she didn’t have much chance to win. The return show will be interesting to see how she does.
RACE 6
7 – It’s A Wild Night
They ran him at longer distances in his last two starts before the layoff without success. He’s won four times at this distance and not beyond. He has won first up, but he appears to need a race because he is three for three second up. The barrier trial ran second at 1200m, so his form is good. I will put him on top because of his record at this distance.
6 – Rise At Dawn
It’s hard to dismiss an improving 4yo who has won his last three starts at longer distances but he won two of three races at 1400m. He has been fending off challenges late in the race to win and his last run was at 1700m. He comes into this race off a layoff, so that suggested he has some challenging races. He returns to the races and has won twice from two starts, second up, and an overall record of seven wins from twelve starts is hard to argue against. He should be challenging again.
4 – Chorlton Lane
Seven days ago, he ran third in a Group Three race at 1600m. This is his distance with being out of the money once in 13 starts. He runs best on the good going, so another good run at a slightly lower level, at a distance he excels at, is suitable for the quick turnaround.
RACE 7
3 – Royal Insignia
He’s won his last three races at shorter distances and his previous win he had some work to do to win. That race was in a group three. He comes with one big run and will benefit from the extra distance with a timely move. They went from a BM 64 to group three so there appears to be some talent. His running style and adding distance will only help him get a fourth victory.
6 – Feroce
He will be returning to the races using a barrier trial to prepare, he ran second. He hasn’t won a group race yet but placed in two races at the group one and group three levels. He’s tried this distance twice before and failed to do anything but they must have seen something in the 1200m barrier trial to suggest he will do better. I will take that chance they are right.
8 – Ndola
After a layoff, he did nothing in his last race, but the jockey commented that he would benefit from the start. That’s interesting because he didn’t break well. He settled in the back, moved slightly forward, and ran backward for the last seven. He is one for one at this distance at a lower level, but if he genuinely benefited from the previous start, he has a chance. The outside post position doesn’t help—significant risk at decent price.
RACE 8
6 – I Am Me
She is using a barrier trial to prepare for this race, she ran fourth in a good time. She hasn’t won a group one but has three placings, but today, this is her distance with three starts and two wins, one placing. In her last race before the layoff, she ran an average race at 1300m, this is not her distance. She ran in the Everest with the same results. Interestingly,
She beat the Everest winner in a race in September. She is deadly at first, up racing with four wins and two placings from six starts. She has a good chance today.
2 – Mornington Glory
He is entering the race for a layoff and has only one first-up win and two placings from five starts. He ran a good race in Group Two last time at 1200m, which is a nice prep for today because he ran well at 1000m, with five wins from five starts. He’s never at a distance greater than 1100m. I think the last effort makes him dangerous.
11 – Switzerland
He comes into this race off the layoff and two barrier trials. The last trial he ran second. His last race was at 1200m in group one, winning by almost three lengths. He won a Group Two race, two races back. He has won at this distance and has five wins from seven starts. All or nothing? This field is competitive, so his best effort may only be suitable for a placing.
RACE 9
1 – Another Prophet
She is the most accomplished horse in the race, winning a group one at 1600m. Last out, she sat fourth and, on the turn, was in front but didn’t finish. After the layoff, she may have needed the race. Her race at this distance was average at this track, but I am going off the last race, and she is returning to form. The drop-in class helps.
4 – Sneaky Sunrise
She won twice at 1400m and those were her only wins. Her other race was in a listed race in April of last year and ran seventh. She’s had a long layoff and ran in a barrier trial, it’s a good time, she ran second. I think she’s good enough to get a placing in this race.
10 – Macedon Rose
She takes a giant class move after winning her first two races. Her first race, she was coming off surgery and was examined to be cleared to run. She didn’t start well but quickened and won very easily. Her races were at 1300m and 1400m. She was in the back of the field in her last race, went five wide, and won by about half a length. Her current price is 11-1.
Rich’s Flemington Ranks and Analysis
Race 3: Frances Tressady Stakes – 9:20 pm ET
2 – FANCIFY – better in 2nd up – distance works 5/4-0-0 – speedster
6 – WISHLOR LASS – probably today or nada – runs best 1st up and 4/6 wins at the distance
7 – FLYING FIZZ – last race much better than it looks with a much faster final time
8 – CAPRICORN STAR – strange move up in class
Race 6: The Elms Hcp – 11:05 pm ET
6 – RISE AT DAWN – 2/2 in first up races – strong at the distance and track
7 – IT’S A WILD NIGHT – distance works 5/4-0-0 and it the track downgrades because of rain – NBD
4 – CHORLTON LANE – cut back in distance helps – ITM 12/13 at the distance
5 – AZTEC RULER – will be closing and does fine on good to soft
Race 7: C S Hayes Stakes – 11:40 pm ET
14 – SEPALS – won both at the distance and cut off more than a second in his last
3 – ROYAL INSIGNIA – expecting a better race in round two off the sidelines
8 – NDOLA – another that could be better in the 2nd up – last race a little better than it looks
7 – STAY FOCUSED – can’t get past the much faster run time last out than anything before
Race 8: Black Caviar Lightning – 12:15 am ET
6 – I AM ME – as long as it remains good footing – 1st up 6/4-0-2
11 – SWITZERLAND – going to be the fav – rightfully so – but 1st up might be his weakness
2 – MORNINGTON GLORY – winner 5/5 at the distance – just 2 wins in 17 at any other distance
4 – WAY TO THE STARS – 1st up is the most likely time to win here 6/4-1-1
Race 9: Desirable Stakes – 12:55 am ET
9 – QATARS CHOICE – 3rd up for the first time and fairly solid time and effort last out
7 – HUSK – ran much faster last out by nearly 4 seconds
2 – CAPTURED BY LOVE – better in the 2nd start after a layoff – ITM 10/11
5 – CILACAP – not a bad race in his three starts
