Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Tom and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Delaware Park Full Card Picks
Terry’s Thistledown Best Bet
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race #1
6 – Brettmeister – He ran 6th after he broke out was bumped at the start, squeezed, and came 5- wide into the stretch – He switches to a high % winning jockey and the trainer wins 50% of the time when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
5 – Super Necessary – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, which was the third race in a row, getting the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
1 – Purrs Well – He has finished in the money in 50% of the races at Delaware Park and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Brewing Storm – He is a closer and will try and catch the leaders with jockey Jhonatan Mendoza who is winning at a 20% clip.
Alternate:
7 – Consider Me
Race 2
4 – Big Irish Eyes – He comes in from Golden Gate Fields to try Delaware Park for the first time – He has several workouts in a row after being off for over nine months and blinkers are added today.
3 – Hazels Little Man – He switches to a high % winning jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-2).
2 – Hail Southern – He drops in class today; the trainer wins 22% of the time when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and should improve while returning to a sprint.
6 – David’s Prospec – He was beaten only 2-lengths vs tougher (on Turf) in last start, has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – The Exception
5 – Dr. Grunseich
Race 3
3 – Come What Mae – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her debut race after being well bet, drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and the trainer wins 19% of the time in the second grass race.
8 – Surya – She looks like a deep closer just missing at 1-mile and stretches out to 1-1/16 miles which should help her and drops in class today – Her breeding suggests she will like the grass, the Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Turf winner and the trainer in the last 14 days has finished in the money five out of six races, winning two of the starts.
5 – Three Coins – She ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, getting the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Thisnameisokay – She is trying the turf for a second time after running an even race in her last, drops in class today and is eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff.
Alternate:
1 – Lisa Marie
2 – Feminista
Race 4
1A- Defend – She won her last race at Delaware Park, has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – She has a trainer who wins 25% in dirt starts and has bullet 4F workout on 01Jun Del 4f ft :48 B 1/45.
6- Midnight Fire – She has finished in the money in three out of her three career races winning two of the races – She has a good workout on 25 May Del 5f ft 1:01.1 B 5/17.
4 – Momos – She was a beaten favorite in her last race, but the trainer wins 28% of the time when bringing a beaten favorite and can improve while returning to dirt.
5 – Rileys Dude – She finished 3rd in her first race back since a 3-1/2-month break, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and trainer wins 18% of the time when shipping in.
Alternate:
3 – Him She Kisses
Race 5
1A – Irish Riviera – He won his last race at Delaware Park closing at 1-1/16 miles and stretches out to 1-3/8 miles and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-2).
9 – Mokheef – He won a race two back at Laurel on the turf getting the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and the distance will not be a problem.
3 – Be Yourself – He ran 2nd in his last race on the turf at Pimlico and should improve in 2nd start since layoff.
7 – Mission Brief– He finished in the money in four out of the last five races, finishing 3rd in his last race.
Alternate:
1 – Bode’s Maker
Race 6
4 – Miss Leslie – She won her last race at Monmouth Park, and she has a bullet 4F workout on 27May Laurel 4f ft :48.2 B 1/28.
6 – Battle Bling – She has finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning one and finishing in his last one in 4th in a G1 stakes race, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Hybrid Eclipse – She won her last race at Laurel Park; the trainer wins 33% of the time in first start with the trainer who has in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-2-1).
2 – Moma Tiger – She has finished in the money in four out of the last five races and has a good 4F workout on Jun-01.
Alternate:
1 – Flight to Shanghai
5 – Pettigo Girl
Race 7
11 – Fox Force Five – She has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and the trainer wins 22% of the time when bringing a horse back after 90+ days away.
5 – Running On Entry – She has had two bad races in a row but had plenty of trouble in both races so throw them out and the three races before she had a win, second and third and the trainer mounts in last 14 days has won two out of three starts.
1 – Girl’s On Fire – She drops in class today and her jockey in last 7 days has this record (15 4-2-1).
3 – Farcical – She has finished in the money in ten of twenty races on the turf and can handle the distance, so probably won’t win but will be part of the exotics.
Alternate:
2 – Pergola
Race 8
1 – Souper Catch – He won his last race at Penn National and received the highest last race speed rating, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Nashvegas – He has won two races in a row, drops in class today and the trainer wins 24% of the time when shipping in.
6 – Flat Out Flying – Tried turf in his last race and did not care for it and should improve while returning to dirt – He has finished in the money in four out of the four races at Delaware Park, winning three of them.
4 – Odds On – He Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, likes the distance finishing in the money in two out of three races, winning one of them. – He switches to a high % winning jockey who has this record in last the 7 days (15 4-2-1).
Alternate:
3 – John’s Promise
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: 4-7 has the edge, 1-3 underperform, 8+ no winners
6 – BRETTMEISTER – comes in from Laurel, drops 2+ classes, tr Dale Bennett winner 5/10 on the drop, if he can run two back, he’ll look like a 1/9 horse versus these
1 – PURRS WELL – odd to say for a horse 26/0-7-2 lifetime, but 16/0-6-2 at Delaware, has best EP/LP Combo
5 – SUPER NECESSARY – TLRSP# and drops in class, comes in from Mountaineer, usually well beaten
3 – BREWING STORM –
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs, 10 races, 6 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, 2-7 fair, 8+ yet to win
3 – HAZELS LITTLE MAN – been off forever, but Jaime Rodriguez and Jamie Ness are a powerful duo winning at 36% with a $0.20 ROI, Eddie C angle
5 – DR. GRUNSEICH – reaching for anything here, but Parx to Delaware, track drop? And might like the track with bullet workout on May 18th at Delaware
6 – DAVID’S PROSPEC – has best Delaware #s but has been off since September, works are OK
4 – BIG IRISH EYES – GG to Delaware, track drop, does have the most back class, if that’s a thing at this level
Race 3 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: all wins 4+
8 – SURYA – Been well bet in both starts, dropping from MSW at Laurel, Brittany Russell and Jevian Toledo win at 40% together in 42 races.
5 – THREE COINS – TLRPS# with improved pace #s from start to finish, 5 YO vs all 3 YO
3 – COME WHAT MAE – was well bet in Hawthorne Debut, down from MSW and probably has most upside in the field
7 – SEARCH – tough call over the 1, but 1st time starter with good works and jy Carol Cedeno is scoring at 19%
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs, 10 races, 6 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: strong rail bias, 2-7 fair, 8+ yet to win
1A – DEFEND – is undefeated in 2 at Delaware with w2w wins, a bullet work on June 1, says he’ll be ready again
4 – MOMOS – consistently facing the toughest company, last two race have been subpar for him, but some signs of life late in last
6 – MIDNIGHT FIRE – incrementally getting better from race to race, undefeated in two on fast dirt and neither were close
2 – EPIC LUCK – won his debut at Delaware by 10 lengths, has some early speed, gets the 30% winning rail
Race 5 – 1 3/8 Miles Turf, – no races
1A – IRISH RIVIERA – either of the entries can win, strong jy tr combos with Ness/Rodriguez and Ruben Silvera
1 – BODE’S MAKER
9 – MOKHEEF – 3 SP# increases, TLRSP# and drops in class, could be better in the 3rd start off the bench
3 – BE YOURSELF – is undefeated in two on Delaware turf, he’s run 12 races at different track surfaces, 0 wins
8 – MOROCCO – significant LP improvement in last, should be better in 2nd start off the bench
Race 6 – 1 1/16 Miles, 2 races, 50/50 – 1 winner 2/3 and the other 8+
6 – BATTLE BLING – TLRSP# and drops in class, sometimes she shows amazing LP, she should not be too far off the pace vs these and if today is one of those amazing late days, it’s a walk
4 – MISS LESLIE – is making her third start after a layoff, big fan of the distance 7/5-0-1, just 3 wins in 13 at other distances, a bullet work says she’ll be ready again
3 – HYBRID ECLIPSE – making first start for tr Brittany Russell, 33% winner, teaming up with jy Jevian Toledo again – 40% win rate
1 – FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI – is undefeated in two races at Delaware, both w2w and with ease, strong work on May 29th says it could happen again
Race 7 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 4 races, 50/50, 1 w2w – PP: all wins 4+
7 – GLOSSAMER – LS – has a significant EP advantage, was better ATB in first race after 7 months on the bench, could improve in 2nd off the bench
11 – FOX FORCE FIVE – TLRSP# back September, drops in class, nice workouts getting ready
14 – INANNA’S QUEST – could make easy work of this group she runs back to her last turf race at Laurel Park, the two after that – ugh-ly
2 – PERGOLA – tough call for this spot – but this one has best on grass recently, get top jockey Jaime Rodriguez – 3 maintenance works since last race
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 0 w2w – PP: 4-7 has the edge, 1-3 underperform, 8+ no winners
3 – JOHN’S PROMISE – missed as the FAV, tr Michael Gorham rebounds at 23% – strong at Delaware 14/5-7-0
2 – NASHVEGAS – won two in a row, a nose for 3 of 4, gets a weight break and 4/2-0-1 at Delaware
6 – FLAT OUT FLYING – tired turf last time, mistake, Delaware dirt 4/3-1-0, tr Cathal Lynch hits at 26% going turf to dirt
1 – SOUPER CATCH – TLRSP# at Penn, dropping off the win, tr Timothy Kreiser winner 35% dropping off the W
