Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
Maybe day three is the charm for Tom and Rich as they go over potential race shape and make their picks for the Royal Ascot.
Race 1 – Norfolk Stakes
Race 2 – King George V Stakes
Race 3 – Ribblesdale Stakes
Race 4 – Gold Cup
Race 5 – Britannia Stakes
Race 6 – Hampton Court Stakes
Race 7 – Buckingham Palace Stakes
Free Royal Ascot Past Performance
Free Royal Ascot Betting Guide
Royal Ascot Horse Racing Tips and Comments
22 to 1 Tom’s International Tips
2:30
Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 5f
3 – Crispy Cat – Race 4
Lost by a neck to Maria Branwell last out in listed race at 5F on good to soft going.
Won maiden at Cork and ran 2nd in listed race at Curragh
Good races overall and should do well again
Sire high-class sprinter and has produced winners like Perfect Power
Dam was unraced and has produced 3 foals with 2 winners
11 – Pillow Talk – Draw 8
Lost first race to Lost Angel by 1/2L, she tried to close without success
Winner last out in listed race at Yarmouth, asked to go with 1F to go and did nicely for the win
First time vs males should be a challenging but she in form and completive
Sire is top class sprinter and producer of good sprinters
Dam won once in sprint, and this is the first foal
2 – Brave Nation – Draw 9
Easy wire to wire winner last out in maiden at Doncaster over good to firm going. He hung right with 2F to go and went on as the favorite
Sire won this race and others as a 2-year-old has produced 28% winner on the turf. Dam won once on AW and has produced 4 foals with 3 winners
3:05
King George V Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f
3 – Israr – Draw 12
Winner last out at Newbury with 1/2L, slow out of the gate, as to move forward and finished well
Never out of the money in any race, should be handle this bunch
Sire was an excellent sprinter and has produced good runners at all distances
Dam was group 1 winner and never out of the money in her career, she would at distance and her other foal is a winner too
5 – Secret State – Draw 8
Won last by a 1/4L near the lead, ridden at 1F left and ran on
All his races have been at the novice level, with 2 wins 1 second, so steps up here to this class 2
Sire was champion miler who’s offspring have done very well at Ascot at distance
13 – Achnamara – Draw 15
Strong 2nd last out at Doncaster, up front and headed at the end
Win at Beverley in class 4
Started career on AW surfaces with good results
Like the good to firm going and should be right there throughout the race
Sire was top sprinter but has a few good distance horses
Dam has produced 2 winners that at both distance horses
3:40
Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4f
2 – Life Of Dreams – Draw 5
Won maiden at Newbury going 10F and ran 2nd to Emily Upjohn in a group3 race at York at 10.5F. Won nicely in the maiden races as the favorite and good enough run to beat everyone else in her last race.
Charlie Appleby and William Buick with ok odds
6 – Sea Silk Road – Draw 4
First out, tried the AW at Kempton ran 6th. Maybe not an AW horse?
Next 2 races, ran 8.5F and 10F on good and soft going and won both races, prefers turf.
Last race, problems at the start and won anyways. Listed race
Favorite
3 – Magical Lagoon – Draw 6
First start at Navan ran in listed company and got 2nd. Lead at first, back off and came again and missed by a head. This was a listed race
Her final race of the year, group1 at Newmarket was not great 7th but the race had a future 2 race classic winner, one who ran second in that classic race and the winner was undefeated.
4:20
Gold Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f
3 – Stradivarius – Draw 2
The fan favorite won his first start of the year by 1L at 14F
He’s won this race 3 times but ran 4th to Subjectivist last year
Right now, he not the favorite and lost his 2 prior races to Trueshan (he
‘s entered but won’t run because he likes a wet going, good to firm is not his track)
He’s a distance specialist and still just fine at 8 years old.
Frankie Dettori aboard
6 – Mojo Star – Draw 7
Not much in his last race, The Arc at ParisLongchamp but that’s ok
He ran 2nd in the Epsom Derby last year as a maiden
He ran 2nd to Hurricane Lane at Doncaster in September
Maiden win (finally) at Newbury in short field for his only win to date.
Layoff for this race but like to run in the money in big races, not all of them but some.
Never been this distance but he was 50-1 in the Epsom Derby
Why not run in the money again?
5 – Eyprios – Draw 5
Won last 2 races at 14F, at Leopardstown and Navan, the last race by 14L
He has 6 starts 4 wins and all races over 1 1/16
At 4, he’s found his racing style by going even farther? Maybe
Ryan Moore & Aiden O’Brien
Favorite right now after the big win but never been this distance
5:00
Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m
16 – Amortentia – Draw 14
Winner last out in class3 handicap, first win of career after running 2nd, 2nd, 4th
In control and ran a very strong race, comfortable win by 1/2L
He’s race at 1 mile in 3 of his races and the worst performance was in a 7F race, well, it wasn’t awful.
Sire was top sprinter, dam one won race at 1 1/2miles, first foal
5 – I’m A Gambler – Draw 23
Toss last, behind 7 1/2L, trainer said he ran too free, awful
Won previous race at Beverley by 7 1/2L on good to firm going
The another crap race at Newmarket
If the cycle is correct, he will run a good race today and the distance makes sense
For a 3 yr old, he’s won 5 times from 15 starts with 3 seconds and 2 thirds
This will be his first try at 1 mile
Sire was a good sprinter, dam was distance horse with 2 wins. The other foal never won
8 – Saga – Draw 18
He’s only a maiden winner but won at Ascot in September at 7F
Next race on the AW, he ran 2nd in returning to the races
Last start was class 2 handicap going 6th and the stewards asked the question and the jockey said he just stopped, vet check found nothing
Frankie Dettori returns to the saddle and he won and placed on this horse
I will give him another chance
Sire was top sprinter, Dam has produced 7 runners, 4 winners and 2 have placed in stakes races
5:35
Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f
6 – Reach For The Moon – Draw 3
This is the Queens horse and thought to be the derby horse, well that didn’t work out but he’s done well overall, 6 starts 2 wins, 4 seconds
Last out, his first start of the season, at good second in listed race at Sandown.
Frankie Dettori rides for the Gosden’s
Very well-bred colt
2 – Cresta – Draw 6
1 win in novice race at Leister and has run ok in other races but the last was at Chester running 2nd to Star of India.
A few horses from Chester races have so far run well at Ascot and he looks like an ok horse BUT, the trainers have not had a horse that’s won yet this season. So I will put him in the money run in the money
5 – Maksud – Draw 5
Novice winner at Windsor and the tried a listed race at Goodwood and ran 4th
He dwelt at the start, ran keenly throughout the race and didn’t have anything left, green?
I will give him a chance to place with this bunch
6:10
Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f
7 – Vafortino – Draw 20
Winner last out in class 2 handicap at 7F in field of 27 at a very good race time.
Used an AW run prep in class 3 handicap at Newcastle
He finished out the season last year with 2 disappointing run
Came back in form for this season and can repeat
5 – Path Of Thunder – Draw 28
After a really bad race, he came back a York to run 4th at 7F. Moved forward at 2F but wasn’t finishing
He ran in Dubai before coming back and ran a good race in listed race running 2nd to Happy Power and he was the favorite.
16 starts 4 wins 4 second 3 thirds
Toss the Ascot race, he will put up a good chance here
28 – Ropey Guest – Draw 6
Good 4th in listed race last out at Windsor, he made some ground at 2F but then backed up, this was at 6F
First run of the season, 7F at Ascot in big field running 5th. Trouble at start, raced down the center, led at 2F but couldn’t continue on. Fitness?
This 5 year old only has won twice in 27 race career and 11 runs at Ascot without a placing, so this time? 30-1 at least
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – Norfolk Stakes
2 BRAVE NATION
7 THE ANTARCTIC
10 WALBANK
1 BAKEEL
11 PILLOW TALK
3 CRISPY CAT
Race 2 – King George V Stakes
3 ISRAR
5 SECRET STATE
12 NEWFOUNDLAND
11 SAVVY KNIGHT
2 YASHIN
9 FLYING DOLPHIN
Race 3 – Ribblesdale Stakes
6 SEA SILK ROAD
5 MYSTIC WELLS
2 LIFE OF DREAMS
1 HISTORY
3 MAGICAL LAGOON
4 MUKADDAMAH
Race 4 – Gold Cup
5 KYPRIOS
4 TRUESHAN
3 STRADIVARIUS
7 TASHKHAN
9 BURNING VICTORY
6 MOJO STAR
Race 5 – Britannia Stakes
16 AMORTENTIA
30 JIMI HENDRIX
29 KITSUNE POWER
2 MR MCCANN
3 GREAT MAX
17 KOY KOY
Race 6 – Hampton Court Stakes
1 CLAYMORE
6 REACH FOR THE MOON
2 CRESTA
5 MAKSUD
3 HOWTH
4 KINGMAX
Race 7 – Buckingham Palace Stakes
3 SILENT FILM
7 VAFORTINO
4 EJTILAAB
2 TACTICAL
30 THE ATTORNEY
5 PATH OF THUNDER
