$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for the Parx full card on a $100 Budget
Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Parx Full Card Picks
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
Parx Full Card Picks, Analysis, and Suggested Wagers
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
2 – Boom Boom Girl – She drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Tribord – She ran 3rd vs tougher in her last start at PARX Racing and a high % winning trainer.
5 – Cajun Cousin – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Oui Madame – She won her last race at PARX Racing and will be closing like a freight train.
Alternate:
3 – Speightster’s Gold
4 – Dial a Lady
Bet: $1.00 exacta box # 2, 5, 6, 7 + $12.00
Race 2
3 – Baby Gundin – She has won two races in a row at PARX Racing and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
6 – World Party – She has finished in the money in her last three races, winning one and has a trainer who wins 30% of the time when going from a Sprint to Route.
7 – One Wild Woman – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Just Stay Home – She has finished in the money in four of her last five races, winning two.
Alternate:
5 – Tiz a Sharpie
2 – Sugar Streak
Bet: $5.00 exacta # 3 with 6, 7 = $10.00
Race 3
1 – Gremlin – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race in the mud with his early foot and a good track he can go all the way.
5 – Perfect Silent Cat – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer/jockey combo who in last 14 days has finished in the money in four out of six starts, winning two.
2 – One More Scoop – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Wizky’s On the Bay – He likes the track and distance.
Alternate:
4 – Just Jeremy
7 – Wispering Springs
Bet: $10.00 to win # 1 and a $2.00 exacta #1 on Top with the # 2, 5 = $14.00
Race 4
1 – Sweeter – She takes a big drop-in class and ships in with a trainer who wins 28% of the races when shipping a horse in.
9 – Thefabulous Moolah – She has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Cici Unified – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Halligirl – She likes PARX Racing and the distance.
Alternate:
2 – So Swell
7 – Scarf
Race 5
3 – Scoop Dawg – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
11 – Saltin’ the Rim – He finished 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – True Dakotan – He closed to run 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest speed figure in his last race.
Longshot:
4 – Tough Workout – He won his last race at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
9 – Two Color Map
10 – Pellegrini
Bet: $10.00 to Win # 3
Race 6
7 – Angelus Warrior – He has finished in the money in the last six races, winning the last start and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Runningforhome – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – My Man Elvis – He has finished in the money in the last three races, winning one of the last starts.
Longshot:
3- Fearless Fly – He finished 2nd in his last race at today’s distance a distance he likes.
Alternate:
2 – Legal Gump
Bet: $1.00 exacta box #1-3-6-7-$1.00 DD- #6-7 with #2, 4, 7
Race 7
7 – Tuff Constitution – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Baton – He has finished in the money in four out of five races, winning one of the starts.
2 – Corky’s Cause – He is very competitive finishing in the money in five out of six career races.
Longshot:
3 – Milano – He comes in from Laurel after just missing by a neck of winning.
Alternate:
1 – Mutasallem
5 – Smarten Up
Race 8
6 – The King Cheek – He has an early foot and has won three of six starts at PARX Racing and has finished in the money in five of his last six races at today’s distance.
3 – Absentee – He will be closing to try, and win has he did in his last race, finishing 2nd.
7 – Kodapendent – He likes PARX Racing, and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
4 – Practical Coach – He has been off for over 45 days but has a bullet workout for his return to race.
Alternate:
8 – Gigging
2 – Golden Juan
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 3, 6, 7 – 9th race # 2, 6 – 10th race #1, 3, 4, 5, 10- 11th race #3, 7, 8
Race 9
6 – Mr. Hustle – He is a closer and should do well with all the speed in the race, drops in class today and switches to a high % jockey.
2 – Spikezone – He won his last race at PARX Racing by going to the front and has a bullet workout on Nov. 26th.
7 – Memory Bouquet – He comes into PARX Racing to try it for the first time, drops in class today and gets Frankie Pennington in the irons.
Longshot:
3 – Redeem Eddie – He took a 52-day break after finishing last in his last race, drops in class today and has been steadily working out to return to the races.
Alternate:
1 – Alpha Chi Rho
4 – Final Shot
Race 10
3 – Ron Don Scorese – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has finished in the money in four out of five races at PARX Racing.
1 – Stonegate – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.
4 – Market Maven – He has a high % trainer, switches to a high % jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Parsimony – He closed to win his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Eagles Cry
2 – Risque Rebel
Race 11
8 – Showing Off – He can either win on top or come from off the pace to win and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Gushing Oil – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Willy Mc – He drops in class, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
9 – We Be There – He has finished in the money in his last three races has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Kith
5 – Mr. Einstein
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
5 – CAJUN COUSIN – Left Arrow horse, top EP/LP combo, much better in 2nd half of last outing
6 – TRIBORD – Parx 9/3-2-1, Distance 5/3-0-1, quicker fractions first ½ mile at 1m70y vs 1m
2 – BOOM BOOM GIRL – last effort was kind of ugly, but could bounce back second off the break while dropping multiple classes
4 – DIAL A LADY – let’s take a shot with a horse that ran 6f 2 seconds faster in her last and gets 7 pounds off today
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Threes: 5/3,6,7/1,2,4 and 2,5,6/3,7/1,2,4
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
3 – BABY GUNDIN – won two in a row at Parx, faster times last out with TLPRS# and 3rd was by far best in last 3rd off the bench effort
7 – ONE WILD WOMAN – has some of the most EP in a race full of pressure/closers and has the top LP score – hard t pass what you cannot catch
6 – WORLD PARTY – Parx 6/3-1-1, Z pattern in last, tr Ness goes 30% Sprint to Route and tied for most LP
5 – TIZ A SHARPIE – won a couple of big ones coming off the bench like today, picked the right distance 11/5-3-2
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Three: 3,7/1,2,4,5/1,6
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
1 – GREMLIN – been well bet in both races and could be speed of the speed in a race packed with dragsters
2 – ONE MORE SCOOP – showed some closing ability in his last, could come in handy behind a wall of speed
4 – JUST JEREMY – is the other with a chance to be the speed of the speed, major class drop after blowing a tire on Aq turf last out
5 – PERFECT SILENT CAT – just missed in his lone Parx effort, first off the Sep 14th claim
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,4/1,2,4,5
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside 3 Speed, 8+ fair
6 – HALLIGIRL – claimed regularly, back to her favorite distance 3/1-2-0, other lengths 12/1-0-1, better ATB in last
1 – SWEETER – track and multiple class dropper, 33% angle for 19% tr Chris Englehart
4 – CICI UNIFIED – lone EP horse, caught some slow fractions in w2w win at the distance but TLRSP#
2 – SO SWELL – a +8 LP edge, Z pattern and considerably better late in last
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,6/3,7/7/ALL
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
7 – TRUE DAKOTAN – has a +9 EP/LP combo advantage, really showed more late in last effort
3 – SCOOP DAWG – should sit right behind a wall of speed as 1 of 2 pressure horse, resume says better in round 2 after a layoff
9 – TWO COLOR MAP – if he can run back to the last time he ran this distance – w2w in career best effort
11 – SALTIN’ THE RIM – Parx 2/0-2-0, should close into a bunch of early speed
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7/3,7,9/3,7,9,10,11
Raec 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
7 – ANGELUS WARRIOR – left arrow horse, Ness/Silvera, if he gets on the lead, could be hard to pass
6 – RUNNINGFORHOME – ran a little quicker times through first ½ mile last out, $$$ burner as BTN FAV 2 in a row
2 – LEGAL GUMP – lone EP horse with some late legs and the #1 EP/LP combination
3 – FEARLESS FLY – improved early in last and catches a weight break
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 7/ALL
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
7 – TUFF CONSTITUTION – tie TLRSP#, very consistent high performer on Parx dirt 3/1-1-1
2 – CORKY’S CAUSE – tie TLRSP#, maybe better in the second start off the bench
5 – SMARTEN UP – moves down the class ladder and has a couple of maintenance works since his last run around the track
1 – MUTASALLEM – the third to tie for the TLRSP#, gets the high win rate rail, Parx 7/1-3-2
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/2,5,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
8 – GIGGING – TLRSP# with much better EP#s and fractions, nice work between races
6 – THE KING CHEEK – Parx 6/3-0-2, Distance 6/2-2-1, Ness/Silvera
3 – ABSENTEE – +LP, steady performer, distance 4/2-1-0
5 – COBBLE ROAD – tied for top Parx#s, some back speed and could improve 2nd off the bench
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,8/3,6,8/3,5,6,7,8
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ Fair with Rail Penalty
2 – SPIKEZONE – Parx 3/2-0-1, plenty of EP with a bullet work between races
4 – FINAL SHOT – usually makes a strong mid move, two excellent works including a bullet and go since last effort
6 – MR HUSTLE – lone closer in a field of speed and pressure types
3 – REDEEM EDDIE – rough start last out, usually close to the front with a lot of gas from go, Distance 10/3-3-1
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4/2,4,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Inside Speed, 8+>4-7
4 – MARKET MAVEN – +4f edge and +EP/LP combo, better fractions last out with 2 works since
3 – RON DON SCORESE – should be on the gas from go to photo, stepped up in first half mile of last run
5 – PARSIMONY – 3rd off a layoff, was by far the best of the last 3 race cycle
1 – STONEGATE – lone P horse, could be better in round 2 off the bench, distance 6/3-2-0
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double 4/ALL
Race 11: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – GUSHING OIL – Left Arrow Horse – sort of – 2nd off the claim tr Miguel Rodriguez 31% vs 24% overall
8 – SHOWING OFF – could be part of the EP and possibly better in the 3rd after a layoff
7 – WILLY MC – TLRSP# and drops in class, doesn’t look like it on paper, but could be pacesetter
6 – LOAD UP MOE – insane +19LP edge and another making the 3rd off the break
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8/3,7,8/3,6,7,8,9
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
