Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Hawthorne
Gulfstream Park Pick and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Shes the North – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race after having trouble during the race, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Serenade a Kitten – She has finished in the money in 43% of the races on the turf winning 25% of the starts and the shorter distance is to her liking.
2 – Una Luna – She switches to high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Short Circuit – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % winning jockey and highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
4 – Sandpiper Memories
1 – Money Factor
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #2,3,6- 2nd race # 3,6 – 3rd race # 6 – 4th race #6 – 5th #3,4,5,7,9,11
$1.00 DD: 2,3,6,8/ 6
Race 2
6 – Honesto – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Outperform – He drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (18 5-3-6).
1 – Cape Cod – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Longshot:
2 – Tallis – He has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse off after claiming it and has a high % winning jockey in the last 7 days has this record (29 8-2-6).
Alternate:
5 – Sweeping Giant
4 – Mr. Bouma
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 3,6 – 3rd race # 1,4,6 – 4th race #6 – 5th #3,4,5,7,9,11
Bet: $10.00 Win #6
Race 3
6 – Khozeiress – He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start, was well bet in his debut and Lasix is added.
3 – Bernardo’s Legacy – He did not finish well in his last race but has an excused after steading at the 5/8 and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Fifty One Fifty – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has finished 2nd in three of his six starts at Gulfstream Park.
Longshot:
2 – Adios Papa Chico – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and received the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
7 – Raul’s Encanto
Bet: None
Race 4
6- Tiz Bizness – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Divine Connection – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Alice Harper – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and has a good 4F workout (Mar-02).
Longshot:
1 – Miss Aria – She has a win at Gulfstream Park and can improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
5 – Killargue’s Girl
Bet: $10.00 Win #6
Race 5
11 – Fly the W – He has won three races in a row at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Parkland – He has won two races in a row at Gulfstream Park and now going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days has won three out of four races and a bullet 3F workout on Feb-26.
3 – Jais’s Solitude – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % winning jockey and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Swashbuckle – He has finished in the money in six out of his last seven races, winning one and finishing 3rd in his last race.
Alternate:
7 – Alley Oop Johnny
8 – Extrasexybigdaddee
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 5th race #11 – 6th race # 1,2,7 – 7th race # 2,5,7 – 8th race #3,5 – 9th #9
Bet: $5.00 Exacta Box: 9-11
Race 6
1 – Stealththirtyfour – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a trainer who wins 27% of the races in the next race after a horse has won their maiden race.
2 – Quincy Cafe – He finished 3rd in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
7 – I Found It – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has Chantal Sutherland in the irons.
Longshot:
3 – Dominican Ice – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and returning to a sprint should help.
Alternate:
4 – Jrue Breeze
6 – Cupid’s Dart
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 –6th race # 1,2,7 – 7th race # 2,5,7 – 8th race #3,5 – 9th #9,10
Race 7
2 – Mooncapture – He has an early foot so the shorter distance should help, blinkers added today, and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-02.
4 – Get Khozy – He finished 3rd (on Turf) in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Free Smoke – He has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 27% of the races in the 2nd race after of a horse’s career.
Longshot:
1 – Pidin – He comes in from Woodbine after finishing in the money in his last two races to try Gulfstream Park for the first time.
Alternate:
6 – Caddy Man
Bet: None
Race 8
3 – Flag Woman – She has finished in the money in four out of her five career races, winning two and finishing 3rd in her last race.
5 – Bletchley Girl – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, earned the highest last race speed rating and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has won two races out of four starts.
1 – Pachanga Loca – She has won two races out of four starts at Gulfstream Park, switches to a high % winning jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Sturdy Girl – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park.
Alternate:
7 – Sofia D ‘amore
2 – Tribute
Bet: $1.00 DD: 1,3,5/ 9
Race 9
9 – Fulminate – She has finished in the money in her last two races, winning one and finishing 2nd in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer, drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
10 – Baby Steps – She drops in class today and switches to a high % winning trainer.
3 – Moanas Power – She has finished in 2nd in the last two races and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
6 – Speed Salsa – She has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 24% w2w – PP: Fair
6 – SHES THE NORTH – +11 edge at 4f, 3rd after a layoff and cutting back a 1/16 mile could help in drop
5 – CHICA BOOM – dropping in class with another in the 3rd off the break, one of three tied for top EP/LP combo
2 – UNA LUNA – mixed bag with fresh runs, a couple of wins and couple OTM efforts, gets Irad
4 – SANDPIPER MEMORIES – has the class to compete here, but tends to regress in 2nd starts after a layoff
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/5,6/2,4,5,6,8
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: 50/50 – 17% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Small Discount, 4+ Fair
3 – OUTPERFORM – TLSRP# and should be as good in round 3 off the sidelines, +11LP Edge
6 – HONESTO – a pair of neck from winning the last two, much better fractions last out – TOP AW#
1 – CAPE COD – very consistent performer, BTN FAV – tr Kevin Attard rebounds at 26%
2 – TALLIS – been away for more than a year, works are fairly good, back class is there
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6/6/4,5,6,7/9,11
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Little Discount
6- KHOZEIRESS – well bet in debut, 17f works since debut
2 – ADIOS PAPA CHICO – TLRSP# and Z Pattern in last, GP 8/0-3-2
3 – BERNARDO’S LEGACY – lone PC horse, last was a disaster at the end, but beginning was better
5 – O ROMEO – we’ll take a chance with the first timer
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 6/4,5,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias – 4+ Fairish
7 – ALICE HARPER – +15 EP edge at 4f, could be tough to catch
6 – TIZ BIZNESS – has a +7 EP/LP advantage, coming off MCL 20k win in 6th try, but TLRSP#
4 – DIVINE CONNECTION – first off the claim for tr Victor Barboza, Jr winner 45/122 (37%)
5 – KILLARGUE’S GIRL – sim says you got to have and so we do
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,7/4,6,7/1,4,5,6,7
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 12% w2w – PP: Strong Rail. 2/3 Bias – 4+ Almost Fair
11 – FLY THE W – won 5/6 and the lone miss was 3rd by just 1 ¼ lengths – flip to turf is interesting
9 – PARKLAND – won 2/3 of Gulfstream grass including last, bullet work since
7 – ALLEY OOP JOHNNY – TLRSP# and drops in class, tr Martin Drexler 19% AW to Turf
3 – JAIS’S SOLITUDE – won last and should be better in 2nd off the break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9,11/9,11/3,5,7,9,11
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias – 4+ Fairish
1 – STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR – got the maiden win in 3rd try and 1st at GP – tr Kelly Breen follows the maiden win with another at 27% and nice work after win
2 – QUINCY CAFÉ – tie TLRSP# and carried speed longer last out at 7f, cut back to 6f could help
4 – JRUE BREEZE – toss the last, switched to AW from dirt, definitely better on dirt
7 – I FOUND IT – could be better in 2nd off the bench, but trainer almost never wins
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4/1,2,4,7/1,3,5/3,9
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
4 – GET KHOZY – Pure MSW dropper with most LP and should not be too far from the front
2 – MOONCAPTURE – improved EP in last and a lightning fast work of 45.1 for 4f – faster than anything he’s run in a real race
7 – FREE SMOKE – 4/5 favorite in debut – MSW dropper, David Carlos winner 27% in 2nd career starts
1 – PIDIN – first gelded with a +7 EP/LP combo
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,7/2,4/1,2,3,4,7
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Little Discount
5 – BLETCHLEY GIRL – TLRSP# and has a +12 EP/LP edge, but only 2 starts
3 – FLAG WOMAN – comes from TB after better #s ATB and gets Irad – Lone EP
1 – PACHANGA LOCA – at her best, easy winner here – but wild swings up and down
2 – TRIBUTE – could be better in 3rd off the break, better fractions last out
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,5/3,5/1,2,3,5,7
Race 9: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
9 – FULMINATE – GP 4/3-1-0 on grass, a lot of nice works since last race
3 – MOANAS POWER – tie TLRSP# and has the ability to make a huge mid move
5 – DAVID’S ROSE – last race was better than it looks with better fractions
2 – CLAUDETTE HEIR – lots of speed here and has a +6 LP edge
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,9/3,5,9/2,3,5,9,10
Gulfstream Way to the Winners’ Circle
