PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – My Boy Colton – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the combo in the last 14 days has won six out of twelve starts.
8 – Omerta Code – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed are fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Principe – He is a closer with Trejos returning to ride.
Longshot:
1 – Doctor Magic – The rail post is winning at 23% clip.
Bet: $2.00 DD: 3,8/ 5
Race 2
5 – Without a View – She has finished in the money in her last three races, finishing 3rd in her last race.
7 – Scarf – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and the distance will not be a problem.
3 – Advocate Harbor – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
9 – God Still Loves Me – She switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.
Alternate:
4 – Pearlbdancing
Bet: None
Race 3
3 – Center Mid Maddie – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Abuelo Nuno – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Satchel de Ritches – He has won two races in a row and now going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Midlaner – He has finished in the money in seven out of his last eight races and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Iconic Legacy
4 – Smokey White
Bet: None
Race 4
2- Causalistic – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Singinthruthestorm – He won two out of his last four races, finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Just a Thought – He was beaten only 2 – lengths vs similar in his last start, switches to a high winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – American Nightmare – He drops in class today and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
Alternate:
7 – We Be There
8 – Chain Reaction
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #1,2,3,4 – 5th race # 1,9 – 6th race # 1,2,5 – 7th race #1,7
Race 5
9 – Nine Toe Johnny – He won his last race at PARX Racing and his early speed running style should help his chances.
1 – Curlin’s Thrill – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and the rail post is winning at 22% clip.
Longshot:
3 – Magnetron – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Jarlian
Bet: None
Race 6
5 – Ava K’s Boy – He ran 2nd in his last race only losing by a nose, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Gimmebackmybullets – He comes in from Aqueduct to try PARX Racing and drops in class today.
2 – Recluse – He has finished in the money in five out of eight starts at PARX Racing and returning to a sprint may help.
Longshot:
8 – Full Contact – His trainer wins 28% of the races when using 1st time Lasix and high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Stevie T
3 – Tiempo Perfecto
Bet: None
Race 7
7 – Cup of Life – She won her last race at PARX Racing, switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – One Pair of Hands – She has finished in the money in 69% of the races at PARX Racing and has finished in the money in 63% of the time at today’s distance.
5 – Poor No More – She ran 2nd in last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
3 – Random Luck – She ran 2nd in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and the shorter distance will help with her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
6 – Reid’s Fangirl
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race # 7 – 8th race #2,5,6- 9th race # 2,4,5 – 10th race #5 – 11th #1,4,9,10
Pick 3: 7/2,3,5,6/5
Race 8
2 – Mutasallem – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Wizky’s On the Bay – He won his last race at Penn National, has a high % winning trainer and a jockey who in the last 7 days has won three out of six starts.
5 – Perfect Day – He has won two out of three career races and drops in class today.
Longshot:
3 – A Dangerous Guy – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Mr Sandman
1 – Jamie Dreams
8th race #2,5,6- 9th race # 2,4,5 – 10th race #5 – 11th #1,4,9,10
Race 9
5 – Peach Perfect – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and that combo in the last 14 days has won three out of three races.
4 – Date Night Kisses – She has won three out of the last four races and is trained by Jamie Ness and ridden by Ruben Silvera.
2 – Ninetypercentbrynn – She has finished in the money in twelve out of fifteen races at PARX Racing, winning three and drops in class today.
Longshot:
3 – Aegean Sea – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
6 – Wizky’s On the Bay
1 – Jamie Dreams
Bet: None
Race 10
5 – Dreaming of Gerry – He has won two races in a row and now going for a hat trick, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Seiche – He has finished in the money in four out four races at PARX Racing, winning one and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Expensive Cut – He finished 3rd in last race and likes the distance.
Longshot:
7 – Irish Exit – Another horse in this race that is going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Super John
2 – Tough Tickets
Bet: $15.00 Win #5 – $3.00 Exacta 5/4,7,8 – $1.00 DD: 4,5/1,4,9,10– Best Betting Race
Bet: None
Race 11
1 – Crypt – He has been knocking at the door finishing 2nd or 3rd in his last four races.
4 – Keeping the Peace – He comes in from Penn National after finishing 2nd and has a bullet workout on April 6th.
9 – Rockin Cowboy – He won his last race at Penn National and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
13 – Don’t Dare Me – He Drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
14 – R Goodtime Charlie
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Rail and inside out Bias
3 – MY BOY COLTON – Ness/Silvera combo – the only 5-yo versus a field of 3 and 4 yos
8 – OMERTA CODE – class and track dropper from AQ, Del Mar and SA
5 – JUNGLHERLY LOVE – ran faster fractions at 1m70y than 7f
4 – BUBBY PAPERMAKER – tough call over 6, but more lightly raced
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3/5,6,9
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Bonus
9 – GOD STILL LOVES ME – has not run at this level in last 10, ran faster fractions last out, switch to Mychel Sanchez is a hint tr Felix Flores-Coba is expecting a good effort here
5 – WITHOUT A VIEW – overlay with a strong C-Zone
6 – ANOTHER SAUCY SIX – better ATB race internals, distance 8/0-2-4
7 – SCARF – more consistent than the 3
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,6,9/5,9/3,5,6,7,9
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Edge, 4-7 Discount
5 – ICONIC LEGACY – 4 high quality races in a row, correct distance 7/3-2-0 – 6/0-0-0 at any other
7 – SATCHEL DE RITCHES – undefeated in three at 6 ½f, 3SP# increases and better race internals in first half mile
4 – SMOKEY WHITE – also unbeaten in three at the distance and two were not close, a couple of really nice workouts since coming back to Parx from GP
3 – CENTER MID MADDIE – better ATB in last, could take it higher in 2nd up, Ness/Silvera, got to have them
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/5,7/2,3,4,5,7
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Big Discount – 8+ Big Bonus
4 – SINGINTHRUTHESTORM – a little better late in last, has some EP and should benefit from cut in distance where he is 6/3-0-1
3 – JUST A THOUGHT – 1st off the claim for tr Micheal Pino, a few nice works since the claim
2 – CAUSALISTIC – improved #s ATB in last with better times, PARX 2/0-1-1
8 – CHAIN REACTION – move to Ruben Silvera suggests that tr Carlos Santos must think he has a chance on the drop
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,4/3,4/2,3,4,7,8
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Penalty
5 – RUNNINGFORHOME – very consistent performer, just missed at this level last out with Z pattern
9 – NINE TOE JOHNNY – always well backed by bettors, usually makes up ground late, another stepping up
1 – CURLIN’S THRILL – just missed by a nose at this level, move to the high win rate rail helps cause today
3 – MAGNETRON – huge mid move in last race, rans some of his swiftest fractions in a while
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,9/5,9/1,3,5,7,9
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Bonus
5 – AVA K’S BOY – MSW 85K winner, highest in the pack, just missed at this level last out after track dropping from NYRA
8 – FULL CONTACT – left arrow horse with a +EP edge, catching 1st Lasix should help
1 – GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS – good drop in class for a track dropper, catches a weight break
2 – RECLUSE – class dropper, a good work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,8/5,8/1,2,5,7,8
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Bonus
11 – SMARTY PANTS SANDY – drops in class, last race was better than it looks, could be better in the 2nd off the bench – top maiden win
6 – REID’S FANGIRL – aggressive move by tr Michael Catalano, Jr with the claim and drop, has 2nd highest maiden in
7 – CUP OF LIFE – tr Michael Pino – 24% winner off the claim, winner 9/20 with jockey Mychel Sanchez
1 – ONE PAIR OF HANDS – distance fits better than the rest 11/1-5-1
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,7,11/6,11/1,3,6,7,11
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Bonus
5 – PERFECT DAY – been off for more than a year, the March 17 work, 4f in 48.3 says he is ready to return
2 – MUTASALLEM – highly consistent performer, last races 8 days ago, has race well in quick turnarounds, Rueben Silvera stays here and off the 3, both Scott Lake trained
4 – MR SANDMAN – runs well off the bench, 3rd, last workout was sharp, Distance 8/2-2-2
6 – WIZKY’S ON THE BAY – tough call over the 3, but Distance 6/2-3-1, and dropping in class whereas 3 is rising
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,5/2,4,5/5,7,8/3,4,5,13,14
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Rail and inside out Bias
4 – DATE NIGHT KISSES – Parx 6/3-1-1, Ness/Silvera, 3 really good works since last run
5 – PEACH PERFECT – my chubby Lab’s name is Peach and she is perfect, as for the horse, Parx 12/4-4-3 and runs well fresh
2 – NINETYPERCENTBRYNN – been mostly running in 100K NGSTKs, ITM 4/4 below that level
1 – TROLLEY RIDE – another that’s usually running in NGSTKs and usually runs strong in races outside of the stakes
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/2,4,5/1,2,4,5
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Strong Rail and inside out Bias
5 – DREAMING OF GERRY – PARX 5/4-0-1 has superior LP#s relative to these, +14 E/L edge
7 – IRISH EXIT – won two in a row, 3rd off the break, last three race cycle, pop, drop and pop again, same pattern through the first two, a pop coming if it repeats
8 – EXPENSIVE CUT – fractions were about 2 seconds faster last out, Parx 11/3-3-4, Distance 9/4-2-2
4 – SEICHE – Ness/Silvera, never OTM in 4 at Parx and 8/9 at distance, nice work on March 30
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 5,7/3,4,5,9,13,14
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ a Little Bonus
14 – R GOODTIME CHARLIE – been off since July, runs well of the bench, works aren’t indicative, very consistent efforts race to race
4 – KEEPING THE PEACE – increased in race numbers through the first ½ mile, bullet work since
13 – DON’T DARE ME – biggest class dropper and 3rd after a layoff
3 – DIZZY GILLESPIE – has the back class, if the old man can run back 3 races, winner, maybe weight break helps fin that form
