Belmont Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Belmont Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Belterra
Belmont Park Picks and Plays
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 1,5,7,6
2. 6,4,3,5
3. 4,3,1,2
4. 3,1,2,6
5. 8,2,5,7
6. 6,5,1,2
7. 6,7,1,5
8. 8,6,5,1
9. 6,9,7,4
PLAYS
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 3 Races – 100% Speed – 1 w2w – PP: 2/3 from 2/3 – 1 for 4-7, None Rail and 8+
6 – MARCO T. – last work was nice, M Franco and C Clement winner 6/10 together
5 – CHITARRA –Wesley Ward first timer with the best Pedigree by a long shot, works are a little better than the 1
1 – SAM’S TREASURE – Welsey Ward first timer, decent works, a little bit a break between the last two is a yellow flag
7 – CYNANE – maybe the best work of all, 4f in 47.3 fastest of 50 on April 20, two maintenances since
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,5,6,7
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
6 – BOURBON CHASE – a little better fractions last out, 2nd up should be about the same as the 1st
4 – BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD – Manny and Clemente again, good works for 1st timer
5 – MORETHANAFEELING – Kendrick on a speed horse, usually as good fit
3 – ORMSTOWN – improved a lot from race 1 to race 2, decent work between races
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,6/4,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers/Closers – 8% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 a little bonus, 8+ Biggest Penalty
3 – DREAMS OF TOMORROW – drops off a 150K NGSTK, resume says 2nd up should be close to the same as the last, distance is a concern 7/1-0-2
5 – RICHIESGOTGAME – so true, so true – down from a 300K NGSTK, Turf 8/3-3-1, Distance 3-2-1-0
4 – BOURBONIC – another that comes down from, has brilliant LP on occasion
2 – ST ANTHONY – coming off the bench like the 1, tough call, but a trio of 6f works, should be fit
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,5/1,3/2,5,7,8/1,6
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside out Bias
3 – SILVER SKILLET – TLRSP# back in December, four bullet works in last five say she is ready to pick up where she left off with first lasix
1 – SWEETIE – made a giant move in the stretch to win debut with a speed # on par for here, strong rail bias and room to the upside in start #2 – blowout LP # compared to the rest
2 – CINDERELLA’S CAUSE – a little regression in last, nice workout between races hint at rebound
6 – SCOTT ALAIA – claim and rise, should be close to the front and improved in second after a layoff in two of the last 3
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,2,3/1,2,3,5,6
Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside out Bias
8 – LOOSE GOOSE – Pletcher Barn is cold to start Belmont, but he hits at 30% first time claiming
2 – SMOKE AND HEAT – TLRSP# and down in class, has some strong late legs and probably most consistent performer in the race
7 – PRESSURE – consistently facing better horses than the rest of these – down in class and possibly better in 2nd after a layoff
5 – KEEN HEIR – really nice run last out at Keeneland and two works since, including a nice on May 5
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick: 1,6/1,2,6,7/1/3,6,7,8,9,10
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w -PP: 1-3 A Little Above Par, 4-7 Discount , 8+ Big Bonus
6 – OK HONEY – 3rd after a layoff following a ahigh-quality start and first off the claim, 27% for Rob Atras
1 – VEGAS WEEKEND – has run very competitively in this claiming range, Distance 4/1-2-1, down in class on strong rail
5 – RUN DEVIL – consistent from race to race, usually well backed by the public, drops in class
2 – BEAUTIFUL KAREN – real strong chance to be pacesetter, strong C-zone too
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/1,7/1,2,5,6,7
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside out Bias
1 – AGGREGATION – Been off since July, works series is good, 1 for 1 at Belmont at 1 mile, speed Manny – like it
7 – HUSH OF A STORM – TLRSP and a bunch of works since, right distance 6/2-1-2, other 7/1-0-2
6 – WILD BANKER – last race was better than it looks with much faster 1 1/8 miles times, cutting back an 1/8 mile today could be helpful
2 – OLYMPIC DREAMS – won last two, moving up speed number from race to race in four after debut.
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/1,7/1,2,5,6,7
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers/Closers – 8% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 a little bonus, 8+ Biggest Penalty
1 – MY SEA COTTAGE – rail edge, going to be on the lead with only the 5 to challenge unless the 11 gets in
6 – TIMBUKTU – navigated Belmont’s inner turf twice with a second and a well beaten third
8 – ROYAL SPIRIT – a little better late in his last, maybe better in 3rd up, Distance 6/1-1-3
9 – OUR COUNTRY – everything says he fits, but gets so far back, has to go way wide
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6/1,6,8/1,6,7,8,9
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 20% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4+ Dinged
6 – VARIABLE COST – we’ll give the Chad Brown first time a chance here, strongest turf breeding score – curious that a $285.4 K debuts in MCL 40K – you’d think he’d get at least one MSW try
7 – PIONEERING SPIRIT – finished 2nd when he ran at this level, 12 chances to win, most in the field
9 – STEADY SCHEMING – only pure MSW dropper, making 2nd start and first Lasix reasons for hope
3 – STORMANDY – big overlay, could be lone E – showed big late gains in first on grass last out, was bumped around early. More typical start with new found late run, we’ll take the chance
8 – MOONFLYER – two grass runs in first starts were considerably better than the 2 dirt runs since, maybe he is a turf horse
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,7,9/6,7/3,6,7,8,9,10
