Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Arapahoe Park
Parx Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
5 – Ms. Malevolence – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and switches to a high % winning trainer.
1 – Frame This – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
7 – Thegoddessofsnakes – She switches to a high % winning jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Baby Fade – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer / jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-2-2).
Alternate:
3 – Confirmed Genius
4 – Pontiffany
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #1,2,3,4,5,7 – 2nd race #1,2,4,5,6,8 – 3rd race #3 – 4th race #3 – 5th race #2
Race 2
4 – Take It to the Max – She has finished in the money in three of her four career races, winning one of the races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Coco Puff – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Total Discretion – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Wicked Lady – She finished 3rd in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Mythreebutterflies
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1,2,4,5,6,8 – 3rd race #1,3,6 – 4th race #3 – 5th race #2
Race 3
3 – Runnin Redbird – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Broadwaycharlyrose – She drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
1 – Luna T– She likes the track finishing in the money in 50% of the starts, winning 17% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 100% of the starts.
Longshot:
5 – Reid’s Fangirl – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-1-2).
Alternate:
4 – All Hail Mo
2 – Divinary
Bet: $5.00 Win: #3
Race 4
3 – Paradise Pride – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has high % winning trainer Jamie Ness and high % winning jockey Ruben Silvera.
5 – Scoop Dawg – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Marco Island – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters and has a trainer / jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two races out of two starts.
Longshot:
4 – Load Up Moe – He should improve while returning to a route and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Strum and Pluck
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #3 – 5th race #4 – 6th race #1,4,6 – 7th #5,8
Bet: $5.00 Win: #3
Race 5
2 – Nana’s Boopa – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and the jockey in last 7 days has won three out of seven starts.
8 – Crazy Serena – She drops in class today and her best dirt speed is faster than the avg winning speed.
9 – Rolin N Controlin – She finished in the money in 50% of her races at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Miss Alex – She drops in class today and can improve while returning to dirt.
Bet: None
Race 6
3 – Chelonian – He came in from Pimlico to PARX Racing after winning his last race although he was disqualified and placed 2nd. He has one win out of one start PARX Racing and the shorter distance should be a plus.
7 – Offaly Cool – He won his last race at PARX Racing; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Rich’s Way – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning one and high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Windsor Gold – He has finished in the money in seven out of eight career starts, winning two including his last start, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Secret Alliance
5 – Jamie Dreams
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 6th race #3,4,7 – 7th #5,8 – 8th race # 7 – 9th race # 9,10 – 10th # 5,6,7
Race 7
5 – Five Dreams – He ran 2nd in his last race, has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (15 5-2-1) and a bullet 3f workout on May 19th.
8 – Hollywood Jet – He has won nine races out of sixteen starts at PARX Racing, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Hopeful Treasure – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Dollarization – He has a high % winning jockey.
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th #5,8 – 8th race # 7 – 9th race # 9,10 – 10th # 5,6,7
Race 8
7 – Tappin Josie – She ran 2nd (on Dirt) in her last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
8 – Midnight in Alaska – She won her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Hidden Cache – She can improve in 2nd start since layoff.
Longshot:
9 – Castilleja – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Bet: $2.00 DD: 7/3,4,9,10
Bet: $20.00 Win: #7
Race 9
10 – Ninetyprcentmaddie – He has finished in the money in seven out of nine career starts, winning four and has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
9 – Time to Cruise – She has high % winning trainer Jamie Ness and high % winning jockey Ruben Silvera.
1 – Rabbit – He has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Winnin’onweekends – He won his last race at PARX and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Bet: $.50 Trifecta Box: 1,9,10
Race 10
5 – Olympic Romp – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Kodapendent – He has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has won three races out of six starts.
6 – Hornbeam – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint- sprint -route.
Longshot:
1 – Celtic Treasure – He switches to a high % jockey, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and can improve while returning to dirt.
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Close to Fair
4 – PONTIFFANY – PARX 9/4-2-0 – regressed in last two, could be poised to rebound
7 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – 3rd after a layoff and drops in class – good work on June 17
3 – CONFIRMED GENIUS – drops in class – three of 7 wins on an off track, has plenty of back class
2 – BABY FADE – much better fractions last out with pace# better ATB
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,4/2,3,4,5,7/3,4,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
4 – TAKE IT TO THE MAX – lone closer versus a field that want to be mid forward
8 – LADY SICARIA – won her last with ease with similar fractions at 7f as 6f
6 – MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES – plenty of EP, drops in class
2 – TOTAL DISCRETION – stumbled at the start versus this level last out, a cleaner trip might be enough
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,8/1,2,4,6,8/4,6,8
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Close to Fair
6 – BROADWAYCHARLYROSE – 3rd up – only other 3rd after a layoff was the best of the three
5 – REID’S FANGIRL – lone P, up in class, distance 5/0-2-3
3 – RUNNIN REDBIRD -TLRSP# in her first try at Parx, decent work since
4 – ALL HAIL MO – top Total Pace horse, last race was a little better than it looked with a faster final time
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/5,6/1,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 under Par, 8+ Big Bonus
3 – PARADISE PRIDE – Ness/Silvera – upped SP# in last two, going longer today should help
4 – LOAD UP MOE – considerable LP edge +17 and there really isn’t a ton of EP here
6 – MARCO ISLAND – tough call over the 5, but shown better on a wet track
5 – SCOOP DAWG – top C-Zone and drops in class, worried he might be a little tired and need a rest
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,4/5,8/1,3,4,7/5,8
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
8 – CRAZY SERENA – lowest level in last 10, first off a break record shaky, but three works getting prepped
5 – MISS ALEX – best numbers on an off track by a decent margin 9/2-3-2
2 – NANA’S BOOPA – Charles’ last race better than it looks with better final time
1 – FALL CAMPAIGN – better fractions in last, better pace#s ATB
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8/1,2,5,8,9/2,5,8
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 44% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
7 – OFFALY COOL – unbeaten in 2 easy Parx wins
1 – WINDSOR GOLD – PARX 8/2-4-1, undefeated in two at the distance and rides the hot rail, better ATB
3 – CHELONIAN – track dropper, class dropper, Ness horse with early speed and a weight break
4 – RICH’S WAY – PACO, ran better fractions last out
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,7/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
8 – HOLLYWOOD JET – Parx 16/9-2-2 – distance 8/4-2-2, drops from a NGSTK at Monmouth, has a lot of back class, if he runs to it, this one won’t be close
5 – FIVE DREAMS – highly consistent performer, high floor/low ceiling – tends to make strong mid moves
4 – NOBLE GASTON – unbeaten in two in a wet track
6 – HOPEFUL TREASURE – last race was a lot better than it looks, better times at 6 1/2f v 6f
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,8/4,8,10/4,10/3,5,6,7
Race 8: 5 Furlongs Turf: OFF –
8 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – won last three in blowouts, will try to go w2w
10 – EMPRESS DEONA – won lone start on the slop – showed a little more LP in last
4 – HEY MAMALUKE – likes the slop 8/3-2-0 – with highest numbers by far
7 – TAPPIN JOSIE – 3rd after a layoff, and is always close at the end
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,8,10/4,8,10/4,7,8,9,10
Race 9: 1/16 Mile Turf – OFF: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 under Par, 8+ Big Bonus
10 – NINETYPRCENTMADDIE – won last at Parx with Paco by 9 ¾ lengths, benefits with other speed scratching
4 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – won last by 17 lengths with major speed # spike, two works since and the last was fast 4f in 47.3 – has a won on an off track
9 – TIME TO CRUISE – Ness/Silvera won his lone trip on an off track – showed some high caliber LP in last two
1 – RABBIT – could benefit from rail – went wire to wire in last with faster fractions and pace #s
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 10/3,5,6,7,9
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
5 – OLYMPIC ROMP – has a +13 Total Pace edge, down in class 3rd up and Z pattern in last
3 – HENRYTHETHIRD – down in class, off track 4/2-1-0, swift work between races
7 – KODAPENDENT – down in class – strong ITM record on an off track 17/4-3-4
6 – HORNBEAM – will be coming from off the pace, has some strong LP, PARX 10/2-2-4
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,5,6,7,9/3,5,7
