Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Belterra Park: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free Saratoga Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1
11 – Bossmakinbossmoves – He finished in the money in three out of four races at Saratoga races, winning one of the races, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – I Am the Law – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
7 – Empty Tomb – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Rocco Strong – He drops in class today; his early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance will help and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Accidental Hero
2 – Bold Victory
Race 2-Female
8 – Amanda’s Folly – She finished 3rd in her last race at Aqueduct and has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Toned Up – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Sweetest Princess – She has a trainer who wins 18% of the Allowance races he has a horse running in.
$.50 Pick 4: #8,9/1A,3,4,5,7,8,10/1,4,7,9/1,8 – Cost $42.00
Race 3 -Female
3 – Neigh Jude – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Going for Glory – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Needed – Her early speed running style helps chances; she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Dreaming of Carli – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
1A- La Decente
4 – Miss Maximus
Race 4-Female
4 – Run for the Hills – She finished in the money in eight races of his last ten starts, winning one of the races and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – L Street Lady – She finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in her last race, drops in class today and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Shootoutthelights – She finished in the money in six races out of seven career starts, winning three of the races and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Bustin Bay – She has won three races out of five career starts, drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey.
Race 5
1 – New York Scrappy – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in his only start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Call Bob – He has the highest last race speed rating, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a bullet 3F workout on Jul-02.
7 – Brown Eyed Cat – He is a first–time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters, he has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Jul-03.
Longshot:
3 – Tomacon – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last start and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-01.
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,7,8/1,2,4,9/3,11/7,11,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 6-Female
1 – Strong State – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz.
4 – Episode – She finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Will Not Be Swayed – She is a first–time starter, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout on Jun-29.
Longshot:
9 – Teca – She ran 2nd in her only start, she has high % winning trainer Linda Rice and she has high % winning jockey Jose Lescano.
Alternate:
5 – Flaming Glory
Race 7-Female
11 – Speightful Lily – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Solib – She finished in the money in seven races of his last eight starts, winning three of the races and she has high % winning trainer.
6 – Weekend Rags – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Mz Big Bucks – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 8-Female
11 – Just Music – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – Miss Fashionista – She has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Spring Magic – She comes in from Santa Anitia to try Saratoga, has an early foot so the cutback in distance should help and she switches to high % winning jockey Luis Saez.
Longshot:
5- Silent Melody – She switches to a high % jockey and has high % winning trainer.
$.50 Pick 4: #7,11,12/7/1,3,5,6,9,10/3,5,8,16 – Cost $36.00
Race 9
7 – Blazing Sevens – He has been competing in mostly Grade 1 events and now drops in class for today’s race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Film Star – He finished 5th in his last race at Aqueduct as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has two bullet workouts in a row.
2 – Salute the Stars – He has won two races out of his last five races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Classic Catch – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has high % winning trainer Todd Pletcher.
Alternate:
6 – Rocket Can
4 – Artorius
Bet: $7.00 Win: # 7
Race 10-Female
1 – Aoraki – She ran 2nd in her last race, only missing by a head, she has improved her speed rating in her last two races and she has high % winning trainer.
3 – Sherbini – She won her debut race at Churchill Downs by closing and with plenty of early speed horses in the race this could go in her favor.
5 – Complexion – She won her debut race at Aqueduct by 6-lenghts, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-04.
Longshot:
6 – Carmen’s Candy Jar – She won her debut race at Aqueduct, she has high % winning trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey Irad Ortiz and this combo in last 14 days has this record (6 2-2-0).
Alternate:
10 – Viggiedal
9 – Long Neck Paula
Race 11
8 – Parkway – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the maiden claiming races that he has a horse running in.
5 – Sugar Hook – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden race to a maiden claiming race.
15 – Always Be Smart – He drops in class today he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Vincita – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
7 – Blazing Sevens
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Penaly, 2/3 Worse, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
6 – ACCIDENTAL HERO – drops in class, off since mid may but some of his best works prepping
4 – HIGHER QUALITY – moving up the speed ladder, has a Toga win and solid maintenance work
7 – EMPTY TOMB – most back class and solid chance to be the pacesetter – lowest level in last 10
11 – BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES – toga 4/1-1-1, series of decent works prepping – usually consistent
Race 2: 1 3/8 Miles Inner Turf – OFF – 1 1/4 Miles –
8 – AMANDA’S FOLLY – 3rd up, probable pacesetter – consistently better than the other 2
9 – TONED UP – more upside than the other 2 but more volatile, also making 3rd up
7 – SWEETEST PRINCESS – if the other two burn each other out
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
5 – DREAMING OF CARLI – 2nd last out by a neck, drops in class in 3rd up after being better ATB
10 – NEEDED – could be the pacesetter, if she can repeat opening half mile pace from last, easy leader
9 – PUNCH THE CLOCK – work on June 20, 4f in 47.4 hints at some talent
4 – MISS MAXIMUS – only pure MSW dropper in the race from a tier 1 track
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Par, 8+ Like Rail
7 – SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS – some really fast works – best published – between races
4 – RUN FOR THE HILLS – consistent high end performer – downs from a pair of Graded Stakes
1 – L STREET LADY – offers the most hope for a big surprise as she’s been off for a year
9 – BUSTIN BAY – probably better in the second up and you know Kendrick will push her forward
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
10 – D C BOY’S – 3/3 first timer with some robust works
7 – BROWN EYED CAT – same as above but lower odds
8 – CALL BOB – has shown the most talent, by far, of any of the experienced horses
1 – NEW YORK SCRAPPY – decently bet in his debut, most potential to the upside for experienced horses
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Par, 8+ Like Rail
2 – WILL NOT BE SWAYED – solid Brad Cox horse with strong breeding and strong works
1 – STRONG STATE – typical 2nd race improvement would make her hard to beat
10 – HONESTLY – going to take a flyer – 3 for 3 1st times – strong works, solid breed and trainer MSW debut hits at 12%
5 – FLAMING GLORY – bounce back coming in 3rd up? Last two works are fast, lights on horse?
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Par, 8+ Like Rail
11 – SPEIGHTFUL LILY – first crack at a fast track – shows a lot of ES – to the front and doesn’t give it up?
10 – SUNDAY GIRL – clearly better on a fast track – shortening up after stopping in the mud helps
6 – WEEKEND RAGS – Flavien Pratt and tr Jorge Abreu don’t work together much, won 4/9 together – tells be Flavien only gets the call for horses that are ready
4 – MZ BIG BUCKS – a run back to the AQ effort two back is a winner, but Toga 4/0-0-0
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – OFF
7 – SPRING MAGIC – probably your pacesetter – let’s see which one Irad picks this or 12
11 – JUST MUSIC – ran about a second faster in her last –
12 – MISS FASHIONISTA – got a feeling Irad will ride here for Pletcher, but horse has backed up in 3 of 3 second starts
13 – CRUSHED ICE – 3rd up and the only 3rd in a 3 race cycle of career was career best outing
Race 9: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Penaly, 2/3 Worse, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
9 – CLASSIC CATCH – drops a little after just missing in his last – 2 solid maintenance works between races
6 – ROCKET CAN – saw this gut win the Holy Bull at GS with a wide trip – Saratoga work says he might like this track
4 – ARTORIUS – drops from a Grade 3 and his best performance was at Toga
2 – SALUTE THE STARS – going to push to the front and gets Irad in 2nd up
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
10 – VIGGIEDAL – most late speed and should be right off the lead here
3 – SHERBINI – any 2nd race improvement and could run by everybody – nice Toga work
9 – LONG NECK PAULA – another that could pop in 2nd start and has a bunch of good Toga works
1 – AORAKI – rides the hot rail and just missed at this level last out
Race 11: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF – 1 Miles
5 – SUGAR HOOK – only Pure MSW dropper left and could be the pacesetter
11 – BOLT D’PLATA – finished 2nd the last two times he tried this level
16 – ALWAYS BE SMART – highly consistent and probably improves in 2nd up
8 – PARKWAY – 2nd biggest class dropper and you cannot overlook Irad
