Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Saratoga Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-25-2024
Race 1-Female
10 – Miss C Banker – She showed an early foot in her debut race and with the cutback to 5-1/2F she should carry her speed to the finish line and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Heavenly Light – She is a first–time starter, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Second Chance – She is a first–time starter, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Musical Cue – She is a first–time starter, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Race 2-Female
2 – R Funny Bizness – She 2nd vs tougher in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Condiment Girl – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and she a has a high % winning jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Anotherdaygoneby – She finished in the money in four out of her last five races, winning two of the starts and, she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Mucho Mama Mia – She has won two out of the last three races and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8- Jolly Miss Jill
5 – Joey the Fish
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,6,7/1,5,7,8/7,9,10/1A,3 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
7 – Idea Generation – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when using 2nd time Lasix and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – High Stick – She finished in the money in six races of her eight career starts, winning one of the starts and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Hay Stack – She finished 4th in her last race beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs similar and she has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Justdeny – She won her last race at Aqueduct, and she has a high % winning trainer and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-16.
Race 4 -Female
10 – Next On Stage – She finished in the money in nine races of her ten career starts, winning two of the races and she has high % winning trainer.
9 – Pallotta Sisters – She won her last race at Delaware Park and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Elle Est Forte – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Kannon Fire – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: 6,7,9,10/1A,3,9/2,3,4,7,10/1A,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1A – Unlimitedpotential – He finished in the money in four out of his five career races, winning one of the starts and, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Paynter’s Prodigy – He finished in the money in two of his two career starts, finishing 3rd in his last race at Gulfstream Park and he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Masterwork – He drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
10 – Endowed – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Whiskey N Soda
Race 6
3 – Shakeitforthebird – He is a first–time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – In the Chase – He is a first–time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Bookitwithhaddad – He is a first–time starter and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Man of Mischief – He is a first–time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-18.
Race 7
6 – Printrack – He finished in the money in his last ten races, winning seven of the starts and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a good 4F workout on Jul-19.
1A – Got Thunder – He won his last race at Delaware Park and he has high % winning trainer.
5 – Magnolia Midnight – He ran 2nd in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Beachwalker – He finished 3rd in his last race and switches to a high % jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: 1A,6/1,2,3,8/8,11/2,3,7,8,10,12 – Cost $48.00
Bet: $10.00 Win: # 6 – $2.00 DD: 6/1,2,8
Race 8-Female
8 – Dolomite – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, can improve while returning to a sprint, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and Lasix is added.
2 – Cruise to Catalina – She won her debut race at Aqueduct and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Better Humor Me – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help and she has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3- Easy Play – She finished 3rd in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Newsdley
7 – Perpetual Praise
Race 9 -Female
8 – Dontlookbackatall – She finished in the money in her last nine races, winning four of the starts, including the last two starts and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
11 – Star Guest – She finished in the money in all of her career races, winning three starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Future Is Now – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
5 – Danse Macabre – She finished in the money in her last ten races, winning five of the starts and she has three bullet workouts in a row.
Alternate:
4 – Kaufymaker
Race 10
12 – Dakota Country – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, he drops in class today he has high % winning jockey and a bullet 4F workout on Jul-15.
10 – English Castle – He drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Koru – He drops in class today, he has high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Temple Creed – He finished 3rd similar in his only start and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – My Life Story
8 – Miztertonic
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing –7th Race
6 – Printrack
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 10 Races, Stalkers, 2 w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Not Good, 8+ Best
10 – MISS C BANKER – 2nd race move forward and she wins like the 10 yesterday
4 – HEAVENLY LIGHT – 2.5/3 on the scale, solid breeding, trainer OK in debuts, back bullet July 7, 4f in 47.3 – maintenance work since
5 – ON A SUMMER DAY – low win rate barn, but decent enough breeding, and July 3rd work 4f in 47.4 is as good as any – three maintenance works since
2 – SECOND CHANCE – good breeding, solid 1st start record for Bill Mott, works are the question, but Mott isn’t know for pushing his horses in works
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 9 Races, Early Speed, 3 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ None
8 – JOLLY MISS JILL – only horse to improve ATB in last – good stalking trip with some closing ability
6 – CONDIMENT GIRL – most back class and might not look like it on paper, but fights for the front with these
2 – R FUNNY BIZNESS – reverse track drop from PARX, seen it too many times, but will give her a chance
1 – ANOTHERDAYGONEBY – resume says sharp improvement could be on tap today in 2nd up
Race 3: 1 3/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 1 Race, Stalker from 2/3
7 – IDEA GENERATION – been off since October – if she is ready, she wins
1 – HAY STACK – much prefer the 1 over the 1A – 3SP# increases and CV says she will make it 4 in the second off the sideline
1A – IN TIME
4 – SACRED IMAGE – finally healthy horse, making its second start in a row for the first time – had one of these types win yesterday
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 3 Races, all Closers, 1 from Rail the other 2 from 8+
10 – NEXT ON STAGE – lone E – should be close to the lead here with most LS – top TOTAL PACE +7
7 – ELLE EST FORTE – fires off the bench – loves second 23/2-10-1
9 – PALLOTTA SISTERS – another that tends to run well fresh, taking a big class drop – why?
5 – TAP IT UP – lone trip on TOGA grass would be enough to win if she can repeat
Race 5: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 8 Races, Early Speed 4/8 w2w -a lot of co-pilots – PP: Inside 3 Strong, 4-7 Discount, 8+ None
1A – UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL – should get to the lead and never give it up – 2/5 odds?
1 – WHISKEY N SODA
3 – PAYNTER’S PRODIGY – after the 1, the best combo of ES and LS – also most potential to unlock in just third career start
10 – ENDOWED – can’t bet against Irad in a race like this – decent horse vs a lot of not so good horses
11 – JUNGFRAU – going to take a flyer, best efforts of his career third up, lone win in 3rd – like today – had high aspirations for this one – ran in the Florida Derby vs FORTE
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 10 Races, Tactical Speed, 4 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bad, 4-7 Not Good Either, but better than 2/3, 8+ Best
10 – BOOKITWITHHADDAD – June 16th back bullet, 4f in 47 – 2nd fastest of 136 – talent
3 – SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD – 3/3 first timer – but I wonder a little with Finger Lakes as the homebase
7 – IN THE CHASE – good breeding, strong trainer debut numbers, sold, steady works
1 – DOMINICAN THUNDER – connections think they have something here, debuted in an 150K NGST – we’ll see if they are right today versus a field of OK first timers
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 9 Races, Early Speed, 3 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ None
5 – MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT – a pair of domination wins in 2 at Saratoga, maybe just a horse for the course
6 – PRINTRACK – could be heavy favorite – top TOTAL PACE +5 – pacesetter
2 – DOT’S DOLLAR – better ATB in last, could have major pop or drop in 2nd up, a pair of maintenance works between races say he should be more fit.
8 – REDDINGTON – big class dropper that does his best work upfront, could be there today
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 10 Races, Tactical Speed, 4 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bad, 4-7 Not Good Either, but better than 2/3, 8+ Best
2 – CRUISE TO CATALINA – any improvement in 2nd career start and you’ll see her in a stakes race next out
8 – DOLOMITE – drops from a Grade II back in December – 3 yo getting 1st Lasix
5 – LA BANQUERA – blew up in strong debut – didn’t like the mud in 2nd start – back to fast
4 – BIG HAZEL – major signs of life in last – resume says expect more in 2nd up
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 10 Races, Stalkers, 2 w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Not Good, 8+ Best
11 – STAR GUEST – Charles Appleby – he didn’t bring her here from England to run 2nd – probably testing the waters for the BC?
3 – FUTURE IS NOW – won both races with PACO – just won a GII at Toga
4 – KAUFYMAKER – should be on the gas from go and you cannot discount Wesley Ward in short, turf sprints
5 – DANSE MACABRE – workouts are outstanding getting prepped for first race since mid November and fires off the bench
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf: 9 Races, Closers, 1 w2w – PP: Rail None, 2/3 almost Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Small Bonus
7 – KORU – MSW – finally healthy making 2nd consecutive start for the first time
8 – MIZTERTONIC – nothing but bad starts but still close at the end, also making the 2nd consecutive start for the 1st time
12 – DAKOTA COUNTRY – MSW dropper, going for the favorite – bullet work between races
10 – ENGLISH CASTLE – MSW dropper too with room to rebound in 3rd start off the bench
