PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-14-2024
Race 1 -Female
4 – Vanellope – She ran 2nd in her last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and Lasix is added.
5 – Lost Love – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – She Can Scat – She ran 2nd in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a good 4F workout on Oct-04.
Longshot:
3 – Maria Says So – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Sister Eve
8 – Flag Song Flyin
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5/1,6– Cost $48.00
Race 2
3 – Golden Wildcat – He has won two races out of his last four starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Dad’s On a Roll – He has won two races out of his last three starts switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Brindisi – He won his last race easily at PARX Racing and earning the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
1 – Copperhead Creek – He finished 2nd in his last race and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Rejected Again
8 – Petulant Delight
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5/1,6/5,6,7– Cost $48.00
Race 3
5 – Prince of Chill – He has finished in the money in five of eight career starts, switches to high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Zanduhoc – He ran 3rd in his last race, he switches to high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-03.
1 – Four Days Early – He ran 2nd in his last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Key Stat – He has finished in the money in two of three career starts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – I Can Do Magic
7 – Splitting Stones
Race 4 -Female
6 – Khozy Colby – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 38% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Peyton’s College – She won her last race and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
2 – Rolls Royce Joyce – She ran 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Road to Dreams – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey
Race 5
7 – Au Some Warrior – He has the highest last race speed rating, he has a trainer who wins 21% Maiden Sp Wt, races and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Star Man Bob – He has a high% trainer and has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (12 6-2-0).
6 – My Military Hero – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Son of Thor – He first-time starter whose Sire wins 22% of the time with 1st time starters, his Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Cojelo Pa Ti
4 – Dave’sboldthunder
$.50 Pick 4: #5,6,7,8/5,6,9,10 /1,3,6/8,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 6 -Female
5 – Carousel Queen – She ran 2nd in her last start and has a trainer who wins 21% Maiden Sp Wt. races.
9 – Angel of Hope – She was beaten only 1-3/4 lengths in her last start and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Shock – She is a first–time starter and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
10 – Deadly Angel – She ran 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the 2YO races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
8 – Delray
3 – Beyond Belief
$.50 Pick 4: 5,6,8,9,10/1,3,4,5,6/8,10/1,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 7
3 – The Monopoly Man – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Light the Way – He won his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – D Day Sky – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie) the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, drops in class today and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Turn Up the Trees – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the Allowance races, his early speed running style helps his chances and he has a good 5F workout on Oct-06.
Alternate:
5 – Bronx Boys
2 – Whiskeyromeosierra
Race 8
10 – Puttheblameonme – He has not raced for more than 11 months, but has been steadily working out for his return, he has finished in the money in seven of nine career starts, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Catty’s Uncle – He has won the last three races in a row and he has high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races after dropping a horse off a win and high % winning jockey.
4 – I Don’t See Colors – He has won two races out of the last three starts and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Capo – He can improve while returning to dirt and to a sprint and he has a trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
Alternate:
2 – Capital Conquest
Bet: $16.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #10 – $6.00 DD: 10/1,5,7,9 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #3,4,8,10 – $3.00 Exacta: 10/3,4,8 – $5.00 DD: 4,7,8/1
Race 9
1 – Predicted – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a18% clip, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Rackataptap – He comes in from Churchill Downs taking a large drop-in class to try PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Minxzhippsdontleye – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Mega Charlie – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 42% of the races, winning 19% of the starts, may improve at the shorter distance and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Big Brown Shoes
6 – Notable Bob
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #10 – Puttheblameonme
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Almost Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
2 – SHE CAN SCAT – drops in class and has a decent work between start – track dropper too
4 – VANELLOPE – maybe better in 2nd up, maybe better with first Lasix
1 – LOVE LIKE CRAZY – better fractions last out despite going a little longer
3 – MARIA SAYS SO – definitely been running against better
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – REJECTED AGAIN – maybe too much early speed – 35 Q30 score
6 – BRINDISI – rerun his last race would do – TLRSP# +7
5 – DAD’S ON A ROLL – 2 wins and a 2nd in the last three when Paco rode – not really close in the other seven of last 10
1 – COPPERHEAD CREEK – gets the rail bonus – won both at the distance last week – never off the board in 4 at Parx
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – ZANDUHOC – speed and fade in debut – more stamina and 2nd race improvement – bullet work
4 – KEY STAT – just needs to run back to either of his first two races
5 – PRINCE OF CHILL – most consistent performer – +15 LP edge
1 – FOUR DAYS EARLY – rail bonus and big bump up in lone 2nd up like today
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – rail bonus – rerun last race in 3rd up and it’s a wrap
8 – PEARLS AND HEELS – better early and late speed – was about a second faster last out
6 – KHOZY COLBY – better ATB in last – hit the board in 3 of 3 since coming to Parx and getting better by the race
2 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – resume says a sizable move forward is possible in 2nd up
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with a small Bonus 8+
9 – COJELO PA TI – tough to overlook the back bullet of 4f in 47.1 – double bullet and go
7 – AU SOME WARRIOR – drops from a NGSKT – not so competitive 4th
5 – STAR MAN BOB- 5/2 odds in debut – speed and faded – 3 works since to tighten up fitness
6 – MY MILITARY HERO – been facing tougher – either of the first two races would probably win here
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with a small Bonus 8+
9 – ANGEL OF HOPE – solid debut – tried her luck in a NGSTK last out – this level and field is a lot easier
5 – CAROUSEL QUEEN – Chris P angle – 3rd career start
8 – DELRAY – best combo of works, trainer and breeding
6 – SHOCK – Paco on the 1st timer that has the best work IMO
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – D DAY SKY – class and track drop – most back class and tie TLRSP#
6 – LIGHT THE WAY – 1 for 1 at Parx and coming in from NYRA – a bunch of solid works for 1st up since the end of August
3 – THE MONOPOLY MAN – Kendrick comes into ride – other TLRPS# and probably goes higher in 2nd up
5 – BRONX BOYS – 3rd after a layoff and bullet works between starts
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – CATTY’S UNCLE – 6 SP# increases and a sharp work prepping for 1st since mid August
4 – I DON’T SEE COLORS – a head from winning 3 in a row and better ATB in last, especially early
3 – CAPO – rerun last PARX dirt race and it’s a trip to the winners’ circle – maintenance work
10 – PUTTHEBLAMEONME – been for almost a year – works are OK – first up record is OK – lowest level of career – not in for a price – in for a check
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – PREDICTED – 2nd by a head at this level last out – move to rail helps
11 – AHSAD – much better ATB in last and faster by about 2 seconds
5 – MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE – another that was better ATB and ran faster
9 – RACKATAPTAP – track and class dropper – works at Parx are OK
