Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Gulfstream Park Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Gulfstream Park – 12-19-2024
Race 1 -Female
7 – Spirited Boss – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Time Leap – She has a high % winning jockey, has a trainer who wins 17% of the starts when using 1st time blinkers on a horse, her early speed running style helps chances May improve at the shorter distance.
5 – She’s My Lady Luck – She is a first-time starter who has a high % winning jockey and a good workout on Dec-8.
Longshot:
9 – Glory Hallelujah – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, has a trainer who wins 26% of the starts on All Weather surfaces and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
3 – Paddy’s Gift
Race 2 -Female
6 – Bubbly Champagne – She has been the bridesmaid finishing 2nd in her last four races, but is going in a distance that she loves, her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Warda – She has finished in the money in three out of seven races at Gulfstream and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the starts when taking a horse down 2+ classes and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Down in the Bayou – She has finished in the money in five out of eight races at Gulfstream and switches to a high% winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Commencement – She won her last race and she has a good 3F workout on Dec-13.
Alternate:
7 – Holy Coffee
9 – Calming Sea
$.50 Pick 4: ,1,3,4,6/6,7/1,3,4,6,7,8/3,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Time for Restraint – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last start and he has a bullet 4F workout on Dec-09.
6 – Grand Joker– He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the starts when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race and he has a high % winning jockey and blinkers added.
9 – Valid Sense – He has a trainer who wins 17% of the races on an all-weather surface and blinkers added today.
Longshot:
5 – Peppermint Man – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 6 winners from 7 starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Flag Officer
Race 4 -Female
6 – Cajunette – She drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt, she has a trainer who wins 19% of the starts when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race and her early speed running style helps chances.
1 – Five Eyes Onmichel – She has the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at a18% clip, she has a trainer who wins 18% of the starts in a horse’s 1st time in a maiden claiming race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Who Lady Who – She finished 6th in her last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the shorter distance can help.
Longshot:
7 – Vanilla Cream – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Princess Deb
3 – One Special Act
Race 5-Female
3 – Gimme Mo Baby – She came in from Santa Anitia and finished 2nd vs tougher in her first race at Gulfstream, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Highway Harmony – She has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and improve at the shorter distance.
10 – Miscreant – She was beaten only ¾ of a length vs tougher in her last start, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Cha Cha Chukka – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and she drops in class today.
Alternate:
2 – Tinta Roja
6 – Arisaema
Bet: $10.00 Win & $16.00 place: #3 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #3,9,10 – $4.00 Exacta: 3/1,9,10 – $4.00 DD: 3,9/1,2,6,7
Race 6-Female
2 – Dominant Diva – She is a first-time starter, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 5F workout on Dec-08.
6 – Luna Louska – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 16% of the races with 1st time starters, Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and she has a good 5F workout on Dec-13.
7 – Beaches and Pearls – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winners from 1 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Justinqueso – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Scarlet Sands
$.50 Pick 4: # 1,2,3,6,7/3,4,7/3,6/4,7,8 – Cost $45.00
Race 7-Female
7 – Lita – She won her last race at Gulfstream and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Hits Different – She drops in class today, her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Motown Mika – She has finished in the money in three out of her last four races winning one of the starts, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Fairhopecurly – She drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Happy World
1 – Smart Jenny
Race 8
3 – Asher’s Edge – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps his chances, so the shorter distance will help and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Fulanito – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Adios Now – He finished in the money in seven out of his last nine races, winning two of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Coercive – He won his last race at Gulfstream and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Eastbostonbenny
5 – Black Fury
Race 9-Female
4 – Strand of Gold – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 42% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Musical Romance – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, can improve while returning to a route and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Ipanema Princess – She switches to a high% trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Atmidnight – She drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when the trainer ships a horse in to race and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Sals Dream Girl
3 – Confer
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race – #3 – Gimme Mo Baby
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Best
7 – SPIRITED BOSS – back bullet work at Palm Meadows – top rated 1st timer
2 – BIG LOUS MESSENGER – back bullet workout on Nov 8 47.2 on Palm Meadows turf
5 – SHE’S MY LADY LUCK – solid prep works hinting at potential ES
3 – PADDY’S GIFT – longshot – SP#+9 over the 8 and nice work at GP since coming from PARX
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Best
3 – WARDA – better in 2nd up and has the most upside – Irad – Biggest Class Drop
6 – BUBBLY CHAMPAGNE – 3rd up and highly consistent performer – ITM 5/6 at the distance
1 – DOWN IN THE BAYOU – 2nd biggest class dropper to lowest level of career
9 – CALMING SEA – have to ignore the last two – if she breaks well – could be near the front all the way around the track
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Best
7 – TIME FOR RESTRAINT – popped career best sp# after some rest, 2nd up should look like first – bullet work between races
4 – ZADDY – none have hit PAR – he’s been the closest – 3SP# Increases
9 – VALID SENSE – just needs to continue improving in 3rd start
6 – GRAND JOKER – the most upside in 2nd career race
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Not So Good
1 – FIVE EYES ONMICHEL – Better EP in last and drops nearly 2 lengths in class – TLRSP#+6 and Top TOTAL PACE +7 – MSW dropper
6 – CAJUNETTE – room to be better in 2nd up and has a par effort on the 4 race resume
4 – WHO LADY WHO – lone E and has a chance to hit the front
7 – VANILLA CREAM – since none of the rest have a par race – need to give the first timer this spot
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Like the Rail
Wide open – all have par runs
3 – GIMME MO BABY – might be the most consistent performer at this level
12 – SPICY GUACAMOLE – tends to run her best off a break – does her best going forward and should lead here
1 – CHA CHA CHUKKA – running at the lowest level of her career – Better ATB
10 – MISCREANT – TLRSP# +8 – plenty of good works since
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Not So Good
Any can win – just ranked 1st timers from highest to lowest
1 – JUSTINQUESO – NOV 26 CD 4f work of 46.4 is fast
6 – LUNA LOUSKA – NOV 2 GP 4f work of 47.3 is good too
2 – DOMINANT DIVA – NOV 24 GP 4f work of 47.1 is fast too
4 – LAULAUGA – good works, good breeding, strong trainer record
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Best
3 – HITS DIFFERENT – 3rd up and drops in class
4 – MOTOWN MIKA – lone E and could be pacesetter -drops in class
6 – DELIGHTFUL DIXIE –shipper that might have the most upside in the race – 1st AW run but the turf record says no worries – works are solid too
7 – LITA – all or nothing type – Irad rode home for the win in her last – up in class and needs to improve to hit par
Race 8: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Best
5 – BLACK FURY – only horse with a par run on the resume – better EP and fractions
6 – FULANITO – highly consistent performer – ITM 4/5 career starts – hangs late sometimes
3 – ASHER’S EDGE – Irad – ITM 6/6 at GP and 4/4 on AW
4 – ADIOS NOW – drops from a pair of NGSK races
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
4 – STRAND OF GOLD – has run well at GP off the sideline – Irad – All or Nothing at GP 6/2-0-0
7 – MUSICAL ROMANCE – another that runs well following rest – can be anywhere on the track
8 – IPANEMA PRINCESS – best turf breeding – consistently performs at a level that wins here
2 – CINDYLOUWHO – big overlay that worked for us yesterday – try again today
