Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Belterra Park – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-10-2025
Race 1-Female
5 – Sweet Anniversary – She finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning five of the starts, running 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7- Grace Reformed – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her highest last race speed rating (tie) and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Ah Ca Ira – She ran 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4F workout on Juiy-04.
Longshot:
4 – Rodeo Star – She finished 3rd in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Chasing Daylight
1 – Royal Bobbie
Race 2
7 – Devil in Disguise – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – My Life Story – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Alexis Zorba – He drops in class today, his best turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Billionaires Row – He has finished in the money in two out of three career starts winning one start at Gulfstream and, and he has a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: 1,7/2,3,5,7/1,4,6/3,4,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Five to Two – She won her last race at Aqueduct and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 44% of the races when dropping a horse off a win and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – My Two Sophia’s – She drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races in a horse’s 1st time competing in a claiming race and she has high % winning trainer.
7 – Bam’s Bliss Kiss – She drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from the Turf to Dirt and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Book of Wisdom – She has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Dashing Della
4 – Harlan’s Bond
Race 4-Female
6 – Olga – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the claiming races he has a horse running in, and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Majestic Return – She drops in class today, the shorter distance will help, and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Proud Foot – She drops in class today, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Always Angels – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she can go the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Talkin in Cursive
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,6/3,4,7,8/1,6,7,9/2,3– Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
3 – Deep Satin – She finished in the money in five races out of her six career starts, winning two of the starts, drops in class today, she has a high % winning jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-05.
4 – Heredia – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a good 4F workout on Jun-30.
8 – In Our Time – She ran 6th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Way to Be Marie – She finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Alluring Angel
Race 6-Female
6 – Aporia– She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey and she has a good 4F workout on July-03.
7 – Gracie’s Delight – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters (but 0 Turf winners) she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Hot List – She is a first-time starter, whose Breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Inspire Courage – She is a first-time starter, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey and she has a good 4F workout on July-03.
Race 7-Female
2 – Endorse – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Reality Star – She finished 3rd in her only two starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Lost Horizon –She has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the1st race a horse he trains runs at a route and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Raghba – She finished in the money in three races out of her four career starts, she tried turf in her last race and did not do well so she can improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Resurge
1 – Lobby Rendezvous
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,7/1,4/3,4,5/1,3,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
4 – Movin’ On Up – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr. and she has high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz, jr.
1 – Ozara – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the Non-Graded Stake races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Charlottesapproval – She has won three races out of the last five starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Spinning Colors – She likes Sartoga, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 75% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 100% of the starts.
Alternate:
3 – Poca Mucha
5 – Fun With Flags
Bet: $40.00 Win: 4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/1,7,8 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,4,7
Race 9-Female
4 – Short Shift – She won five races out of her last seven starts, she can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning trainer jockey.
3 – Killy Start – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Our Liberty Belle – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at Aqueduct, her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and she has a good 3F workout on Jul-05.
Longshot:
7 – Problematica – She won two races out of her last four starts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Despo’s Dream
8 – Spring Magic
Race 10-Female
3 – Blue Eyed Scout – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race she a has high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers are added today.
7 – Best Impression – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Handle On You – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Rock Harbor – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race at Aqueduct, she has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
9 – Toxic Girl
5 – Just Words
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Movin’ On Up
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
5 – SWEET ANNIVERSARY – 3rd up – Top TOTAL PACE of 2+ Lengths – 1 of 2 YESes – only class dropper
7 – GRACE REFORMED – the other YES horse also in the 3rd up – weight break
2 – AH CA IRA – getting better by the race – much faster last out – ITM 5/5 on fast
3 – CHASING DAYLIGHT – should be on the lead with a solid C ZONE
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 6/12 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
7 – DEVIL IN DISGUISE – TLRSP#+ 9 – drops nearly 2 lengths in class – Top TOTAL PACE
1 – MY LIFE STORY – SIM FAV – last race a little better than it looks – better final time – IRAD
3 – BILLIONAIRES ROW – great works prepping – plenty of upside in just 4th race
4 – ALEXIS ZORBA – could be on the lead where 50% go w2w – best races upfront
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
5 – MY TWO SOPHIA’S – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – big class drop
3 – FIVE TO TWO – Linda Rice claim and drop winner 4/9 – but very small profit on the win
2 – BOOK OF WISDOM – consistent performer – switch to Flavien should help
7 – BAM’S BLISS KISS – should be on the lead – strong when leading – winner 2/3 at distance
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 3/9 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Almost Fair, 8+ Bonus
4 – PROUD FOOT – only YES horse with top C ZONE – got to have her
6 – OLGA – aggressive 3f work – makes me think they are going to send today
5 – ALWAYS ANGELS – TLRSP# +4 and SIM FAV
1 – MAJESTIC RETURN – for sure this one will go forward – cut back in distance helps?
Race 5: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 3/7 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, None 8+
3 – DEEP SATIN – strong bullet work – 3rd up for the 1st time – Boom or Bust
1 – ALLURING ANGEL – off since September – works are good, will be coming at the end
8 – IN OUR TIME – be out front – catch me if you can SIM FAV
4 – HEREDIA – Group 3 winner at England – should fit her – 2nd up after more than a year off – anything can happen
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 6/12 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – COOPERATION – great works prepping – top ranked 1ster vs all noes
2 – KETO DRINK – 2nd ranked 1ster with a back bullet
6 – APORIA – top turf breeding – regular but OK works
7 – GRACIE’S DELIGHT – could be out front – well bet in both starts
Race 7: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
2 – ENDORSE – TLRSP#+3 and Top TOTAL PACE +9 – 2nd race PARABILITY vs all noes
5 – LOST HORIZON – the other 2nd race PARABILITY horse
6 – RESURGE – tough start in debut – a trio of works – will be better today
1 – LOBBY RENDEZVOUS – better in round 2 off the sidelines – upped EP in last – faster
Race 8: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 3/7 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, None 8+
1 – OZARA – rarely makes 2 starts in a row – finally healthy horse
4 – MOVIN’ ON UP – TLRSP#+3 and nearly 2 length TOTAL PACE –
8 – SPINNING COLORS – won 3 of 4 on Toga Turf – and 2 of 2 at the distance
5 – FUN WITH FLAGS – French form says she should fit – but might not like firm footing
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 3/9 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Almost Fair, 8+ Bonus
3 – KILLY START – should be better in the 3rd start off the sidelines – consistent
1 – SPIRITUAL LADY – upgrades to Irad and should go forward in 2nd up
6 – DESPO’S DREAM – Top TOTAL PACE – faster and better EP in last – cut back helps
2 – LOOKS FIRST – SIM FAV that showed killer LP in last – tough trips in the last few – move inside could help
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 17% w2w *- PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Almost Fair, 4-7 Best, Discount 8+
8 – ROCK HARBOR – room to be better in 2nd up – cut back in distance helps
3 – BLUE EYED SCOUT – good chance to be pacesetter – excuses in last
7 – BEST IMPRESSION – only class dropper – trying to sell for sure – but want a check
11 – BELLA VOCE – tough call over the 10 – but a YES horse with strong C ZONE
