PARX Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Grants Pass Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry’s Picks
PARX Racing – 9-29 -2025
Race 1–Female
3 – Sonadora Girl: Finished in the money in 4 of her 6 starts at PARX Racing, with 2 wins and switches to a high-percent winning trainer.
5 – Gia’s Fuego: Finished in the money in her last 4 starts, with 2 wins and likes the distance.
2 – Could Be a Cougar: Has a leading trainer and jockey; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Union Belle: Performs well at PARX Racing, finishing in the money 42% of the time and winning 17% of her starts and can handle the distance finishing in the money 50% of the time and winning 36% of her starts.
Alternate:
4 – Bucks Some
1 – Five Star Fran
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/4,5,7/3,4,5,6/2,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 2–Female
5 – Alyvia’s Girl: Finished in the money in 7 races out of her 8 last starts, with 2 wins and has a top trainer.
4 – Kates Warriorheart: Finished in the money in 6 out of 7 career starts, with 1 win; Drops in class today and gets a leading trainer.
7 – Flag Song Flyin: Finished 2nd against stronger competition last time; drops in class today; holds the top speed figure at this distance and has the fastest dirt speed of today’s field.
Longshot:
6 – Incan Moon Goddess: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
3 – Ravenite
1 – Melittlefrostgirl
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/3,4,5,6/2,4/3,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
6 – Mose Perfect: Finished 3rd but has a trainer has a strong record with returning beaten favorites (34%-win rate) and has a top-winning jockey.
4 – Smooth Flyin Mike: Drops in class today; Has a high-percent trainer and moves to a high-percent winning jockey and recently posted a bullet 4F workout (Sep-18).
5 – Vanzzy: Finished in the money in 4 races out of 5 last starts; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a top-winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Missouri River: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a top trainer and has a good 4F workout (Sep-19).
Alternate:
2 – Hoku
Race 4–Female
2 – La Cienega: Has won 3 races out of her last 4 starts, running 2nd vs tougher in last race only missing by a neck; Drops in class today and has a top trainer.
4 – Goldcrest: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to a sprint and gets a leading trainer.
3 – Waitwaitdonttellme: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; High % trainer who wins 21% of the sprints he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
6 – Creative Copy: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; High % trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
5 – Fuhgeddaboudit
7 – Rolls Royce Joyce
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,6/3,6,8,9/3,6/1,3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
8 – Bahamian Baby: Finished in the money in 3 races out of her 4 last starts; Early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance is a plus.
9 – Savannah Georgia: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
3 – Supersonic Betty: She is a First-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Faux Pas: She has finished in the money in 10 races at PARX Racing; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
1 – Hurricane Jane
Race 6–Female
3 – Pam Pam: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has a high percentage winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Leftover Sushi: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Telephone Line: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will help; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Shetalkstomuch: Ran 3rd in last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Pearls and Heels
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6/1,2,3,4,5/5,6/1,3,4,7,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 7
1 – Secured Landing: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (13 5-3-2).
3 – Asmodeus: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Transcendental: Has a high % trainer who wins 37% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
2 – He’s Got Swagger: Won last race at Monmouth Park and has a top trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Cisco Kid
6 – Smoke Wagon
Race 8
6 – Bolt of Aurum: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – River Dog: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 60% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
8 – Gordian Knot: Won 45% of the starts at PARX Racing and switches a top trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Party At Sam’s: Finished 3rd in last race and has a top trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
11 – Electric Eel
Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 5,6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/3,5,8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 5,6,8
Race 9–Female
1 – Brooklyn Rhapsody: Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Finished 3rd vs similar in last race. Highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Be My Queen: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances and has a good 4F workout (Sep-20).
3 – Bailout Billy: Won last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Maggie Mischief: Won last race at PARX Racing by 11-lenghts and has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Byebyejealouseye
2 – Calisa
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Bolt of Aurum
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – SONADORA GIRL – YES horse that was better 5 ways – could pop in 2nd up
2 – COULD BE A COUGAR – could be out front – the other YES horse
1 – FIVE STAR FRAN – rail bonus – only class dropper with better EP and fractions
5 – GIA’S FUEGO – SIM FAV and top Total Pace
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/3,4,5/4,6/2,3,4,6
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,5
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – ALYVIA’S GIRL – Only YES horse – biggest class dropper – bounce back in 3rd up – Top Total Pace +7
4 – KATES WARRIORHEART – last race was only ITM miss in 7 races – rebound coming
3 – RAVENITE – the other class dropper with better EP and Fractions
7 – FLAG SONG FLYIN –was better ATB and tough call over the 1
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5/4,6/2,3,4,6/3,4,6,8
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
6 – MOSE PERFECT – left arrow horse – should be upfront – with Top Total Pace +6
4 – SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE – Ness/Sanchez and a pair of good works prepping
3 – MISSOURI RIVER – will be coming late and ITM 7/11 at PARX
2 – HOKU – 3rd up and has run fairly well at Parx – closer
$5 Exacta Key Box: 6/3,4
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – LA CIENEGA – big SIM FAV – winner 3 of 4 at the distance – pacesetter – Left Arrow
6 – CREATIVE COPY – has the biggest in race edge of 1 length LS and should be close early
4 – GOLDCREST – class dropper with a sturdy effort in last
3 – WAITWAITDONTTELLME – 5 quality races in 6 Parx races
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6/3,4,6,8/3,6,8/1,2,3,5
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – SUPERSONIC BETTY – no choice but to put this 1st timer on top – Aug 8 work 4f in 47.1
8 – BAHAMIAN BABY – could be close to the front and has the most late speed
6 – FAUX PAS – only YES horse but recent form stinks – still have to have her
4 – IRIE AND MELLOW – no choice but to take the other 1ster
2 – MISTRESS ALANA
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,6,8
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – Lone E with a 2 length ES edge, Top Total Pace and decent C Zone
8 – TELEPHONE LINE – very consistent in 3rd up – better EP and cuts back a little in distance
3 – PAM PAM – Ness and Pennington and TLRSP# +3 – missed by a nose at this level in last
4 – PEARLS AND HEELS – quick turnaround – just 9 days – either going to boom or bust
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,6,8/1,3/5,6,8,12/1,2,3,8
$5 Exacta Key Box: 6/3,4,8
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
1 – SECURED LANDING – Sanchez and Ness – Parx 5/3-2-0 – both 2nds less than a length
3 – ASMODEUS – SIM FAV – should be better in 2nd at Parx after track dropping – TLRSP# +3
5 – CISCO KID – run back to Aug 20 race and it’s a wrap – 3rd off the bench
2 – HE’S GOT SWAGGER – track dropper? Ran well the last time he flipped from turf to dirt
$14 Win 1
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – BOLT OF AURUM – smoked in lone Parx race – shampoo, wash, rinse and repeat is all that’s needed – been off a while – hot works though
8 – GORDIAN KNOT – can’t ever pass on Sanchez with a chance – 3rd up with a strong work
5 – RIVER DOG – 8 of his last nine races on dirt would likely do – will try to make a bold move
12 – PARADISE VALLEY – biggest in race edge with +5 LS and best C ZONE – should get to use it
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – BROOKLYN RHAPSODY – lone PC with a 2 length LS and 1 length Top Total Pace
8 – MAGGIE MISCHIEF – won last by 11 – drifted late – got a feeling some regression coming off a peak effort
3 – BAILOUT BILLY – popped in last, chance to do more in 2nd up – regressed badly in only other round 2
2 – CALISA – won lone PARX race with ease after coming from NYRA – stumbled and rushed in last – rebound in 3rd up possible
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,8
