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Belmont Park Picks Today | 8 Races, Plenty of Ways to Find an Edge

Belmont Park features eight races on November 5, 2026, with fast dirt and firm turf. Terry Hollywood Hay and Rich use Smart Sheets to analyze SIM Odds, SIM Speed, Early and Total Pace, C-Zone, % Chance to Lead and race shape. Get their race-by-race selections, longshots, exactas, Pick 4 wagers and Terry’s Best Bet of the Day.

We’re back at Belmont Park with eight races, and today’s card gives us a little bit of everything — turf and dirt, routes and sprints, with fast dirt and firm turf providing ideal conditions.

A balanced card like this means there isn’t one handicapping angle that fits every race. Rich and Terry will use the Smart Sheets to dig into SIM Odds, SIM Speed, Early and Total Pace, C-Zone, % Chance to Lead and race shape to identify where the advantages may be hiding.

In the sprints, we’ll be looking closely at early speed and positioning. In the routes, pace setup and who has enough left late could become much more important.

And as always, the biggest question isn’t simply who can win? It’s whether the odds give us enough reason to bet them.

Eight races. Fast and firm. Let’s find the value.


Download Today’s Smart Sheet: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/11/BEL_20261105_5c4fd9_HRT.pdf

Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf

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Race 1

7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail and 8+

Terry’s Picks

3 – B My Lady: Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

4 – So Angelina: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to Dirt; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

6 – Boxajoe N Tootzrol: Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

1 – Acidentlyonprpse: First time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and 1 stakes winner; Rail post is winning at 25% clip; High % winning trainer who wins 23% of Maiden Claiming races.

Alternates:

2 – Princess Eliana

5 – Cara’s Chrome

Rich’s Picks

6 – BOXAJOE N TOOTZROL – 2nd race parability way past par

4 – SO ANGELINA – only YES horse = must have

1 – ACIDENTLYONPRPSE – highly rated 1ster vs 1 other maybe and noes

3 – B MY LADY – 3rd race bounce back

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 6/1,2,3,4


Race 2

1 Mile Turf – Closers, 1-7 Fair, 2/3 best, 8+ Discount

Terry’s Picks

3 – Sky Chart: Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; high-percentage winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (Nov-01).

6 – Global Investment: First time starter whose Breeding suggests she will like the grass; Well Bred; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – Fango Creek: Best Turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Manana Island: First time starter whose Breeding suggests she will like the grass; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

5 – Black Mountain

1 – Miss Snaffles

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/1,2,7/1,4,5,6/2,3

Cost: $60.00

Rich’s Picks

3 – SKY CHART – 2nd race Parability way past par

2 – FANGO CREEK – Yes horse = must have – better EP/Fractions and drops

4 – MANANA ISLAND – highest rated 1ster

6 – GLOBAL INVESTMENT – 2nd highest 1ster

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4/1,2,4,7/1,5/1,3,7,9


Race 3

6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Closers – Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Bad

Terry’s Picks

7 – Navy Chief: Won his debut race at Monmouth; Has not raced for more than a year but has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% 90+ days away and has several workouts in a row for his return; high-percentage jockey.

2 – Frostelle: Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Top trainer and jockey win rate; Blinkers added today.

1 – Azizam: Highest last race speed rating; high % winning trainer who wins 24% of Claiming races; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong jockey stats.

Longshot:

8 – Lord Chatham: Beaten only 1-length vs similar (on AW) in last start; strong trainer and jockey stats and this combo in last 14 days (2 2-0-0).

Alternates:

4 – Life Is Gravy

3 – Shangrala Road

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$10.00 Win: 7

$5.00 Exacta Box: 2,7

$5.00 Exacta Box: 1,2,7

Cost: $50.00

Rich’s Picks

7 – NAVY CHIEF – been off for more than a year – most upside in 2nd career start

1 – AZIZAM – closer – SIM FAV and Top SIM Speed

2 – FROSTELLE – most upside and likely pacesetter

4 – LIFE IS GRAVY – route to sprint – bullet work


Race 4

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail and 8+ Bonus

Terry’s Picks

1 – Lough Currane: Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 6 starts; Highest last race speed rating; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Cruisin Crossbay: High-percentage trainer and jockey; trainer wins 28% moving from Maiden to Maiden Claiming; may improve returning to a sprint; trainer/jockey combo in last 14 days (3 2-0-0).

5 – Ace in Hand: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.

Longshot:

4 – Bourbon Hangover: Should improve while returning to Dirt; Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance a plus.

Alternates:

7 – Summer of George

2 – Ours to Start

Rich’s Picks

1 – LOUGH CURRANE – Only YES horse – +7 SIM Speed and most upside

5 – ACE IN HAND – if he can get to the lead lone E potential as top C ZONE by a wide margin

7 – SUMMER OF GEORGE – 3rd race bounce back

6 – CRUISIN CROSSBAY – Kendrick and Rice – think he is going to go forward

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 1/4,5,6,7

Race 5

1 Mile Turf – Closer, Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Discount

Terry’s Picks

2 – Proper Jack: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; high % winning trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Summer Brother: Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in only start; Breeding suggests he will like the grass; has a high % winning jockey.

7 – Hetch Hetchy: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Top trainer and jockey win rate.

Longshot:

6 – The Wrath of David: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Good 4F workout (Oct-27).

Alternate:

5 – Iron Confessor

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6,7/3,4,5/8/1,2,4,8,9,10

Cost: $36.00

Rich’s Picks

1 – TICKET TO FAME – Lone YES = Must have

3 – SUMMER BROTHER – Top Rated 2nd race Parability

9 – RIDDLE ME THIS – 2nd Race Parability – 1 point behind the 3

7 – HETCH HETCHY – 3rd race bounce back – a little faster last out

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,7,9/2,4/4,8/1,4,8,9,10


Race 6

7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Rail and 8+

Terry’s Picks

4 – General Partner: Won 3 starts out of 11 career races; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Lunar Module: Finished 3rd in last race; Can go the distance.

3 – Eliminate: Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2; Has a high % winning jockey and trainer.

Longshot:

6 – Awesome Native: One for one at Belmont Park; Likes distance.

Alternates:

4 – General Partner

1 – Amberjack

Rich’s Picks

2 – TWO EAGLES RIVER – TLRSP# +10 and SIM Speed +8 – Top TOTAL PACE +7

4 – GENERAL PARTNER – most upside in the race – right distance 2/4 and 1/7 at others

6 – AWESOME NATIVE – super consistent – fast works – maybe too fast

3 – ELIMINATE – 3rd start after a layoff – cutting back in distance could help

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$5 Pick 3: 2/8/4

Race 7

1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Closers, Strong Inside Out

Terry’s Picks

8 – Ice Chocolat: Won last race at Belmont; high-percentage trainer and jockey; Bullet 4F workout (Oct-28).

3 – Late Call: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; can do the distance.

6 – Classic Creation: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

2 – Clear Conscience: Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

1 – Polar Bear Plunge

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 8

$10.00 Exacta Box: 3,8

$5.00 Exacta: 8/2,3,6

Cost: $55.00

Rich’s Picks

8 – ICE CHOCOLAT – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – should be on the lead and most LS

4 – AMERICAN GRANT – YES horse with most upside – 2nd race upside too

9 – BELOUNI – has some upside potential too – a couple of tough races in a row

3 – LATE CALL – turf is definitely the right surface –


Race 8 – Female

1 1/16 Miles Turf – Stalkers. Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus

Terry’s Picks

4 – Spinning Class: Won 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Can go the distance.

9 – Money Trail: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Top trainer and jockey win rate.

1 – Call Me Precious: Won last race; Rail post is winning at 21% clip

Longshot:

2 – Determind Princess: Top trainer and jockey win rate.

Alternates:

10 – Unlikely Queen

8 – Bertrille

Rich’s Picks

4 – SPINNING CLASS – most upside – TLRSP# -12 – SIM Speed +6

8 – BERTRILLE – YES horse and maybe the best value in the race

9 – MONEY TRAIL – distance 7/0-4-2 – may not win – maybe ITM

10 – UNLIKELY QUEEN – strongest closer – tough call over the 1

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,8,9,10


Terry’s Best Bet of the Day

Belmont Park – Race 7 – #8 Ice Chocolat

8 – Ice Chocolat: Won last race at Belmont; high-percentage trainer and jockey; Bullet 4F workout (Oct-28).

Terry’s Best Bet Wagers

$20.00 Win: 8

$10.00 Exacta Box: 3,8

$5.00 Exacta: 8/2,3,6

Cost: $55.00

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