Horse Racing Today – Thursday, February 3, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Terry and Rich discuss…

Horse Racing Picks

Aqueduct Full Card Picks

Terry’s Best Bet

Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Charles Town

Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips and Commentary

Terry “Hunny Bunny’s” Handicapping

Race 1

5 – Long Term – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race – He has a high % winning trainer Todd Pletcher who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1) – Blinkers added today.

6 – Improper – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start receiving the highest last race speed rating – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Pathological – May improve with Lasix & Blinkers added

3 – Union Lights – Changed to jockey Trevor Mccarthy.

Alternate:

7 – Eagle in Love

1 – Regal Empire

Race 2

5 – R Doc – Won last race AQU and moves up in class- Several good workouts including a bullet work in his last workout.

6 – Hot Stepper – Won last race Aqueduct – Has a high % winning trainer whose entries win 28% of the races 2nd time Lasix.

4 – Lanfrankophile – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Jockey in the last 7 days (11 3-0-2)

7 – Convertible Freeze – Won last race and earned the highest last race speed – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Lasix added.

Alternate:

1 – Ginnsu Warrior

Race 3

6 – Default Protection – Won last race AQU – She has a high % winning trainer and Jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-2).

2 – Honey Money – She has done very well with Jockey Trevor Mccarthy in the irons winning the last race at AQU – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (4 2-1-0).

1 – Blushable – Won two out of the last three races, the last race at Aqueduct – She has high % winning trainer William Morey E (11 /4-1-2 /36%).

3 – Courageous Girl– Finished 3rd in last race at Aqueduct – The trainer wins 22% of the time when going from a sprint to route – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-3-0).

Alternate:

4 – Vienna Code

5 – Bravo Regina

Race 4

2 – Actualize- Bumped the gate at the break and ran 3^rd.  He switches to a high % winning trainer whose entries win 25% of the races: 1st time Lasix – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-0-2) – Sharp 4F workout (Jan-28)

6 – Cathedral Beach – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start -The trainer wins 18% of the races in the entries 2nd career race.

3 – Capone – Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters Bullet 4F workout (Jan-26).

7 – Our Shot – Decent workout – Lasix added

Alternate:

1 – Dads Good Runner

Race 5

4 – Stanhope – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race – Highest last race speed rating – Drops in class today – Early speed running style helps chances.

6 – Brockmoninoff – Likes to lead the race to win and won last race at Aqueduct by doing this.

8 – Eucharist – Won last race Aqueduct and has a couple good workouts to prepare for this race.

2 – Dee Bo – Drops in class today- Jockey Dylan Davis is in the irons.

Alternate:

1 – Exxtop

5 – Our American Star

Race 6

8 – Total Effort – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at today’s distance -The trainer wins 21% when bringing a beaten favorite to the races – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (4 2-1-0).

6 – Romantic Man – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Highest last race speed rating

2 – Alite – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race -His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

9 – We Ready – Ran a disappointing 6^th after being bumped at the start – Decent workout on 08Jan at Bel tr.t 4f ft :51 B 6/52

Alternate:

4 – My Boy Colton

Race 7

1A – Scorpion Dynasty – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race

8 – Victory Built Finished 3rd vs similar in last race and received the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

4 – Malibu Star – Drops in class today – The trainer wins 26% the 1st Time his entry runs in a Claiming race – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Ghostmon Won last race Aqueduct – Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

7 – Tale of Mineshaft

6 – Brunate

Race 8

5 – Chestertown – Finished 3rd in last race after being bumped and steading at 3/16 pole – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.

3 – Little Menace – Finished 3rd in last race at Aqueduct – The trainer wins 27% 1st race after being claimed – Can improve at the shorter distance.

1 – Buy Land and See- Finished 3rd in last race.

4 – Little Menace – Finished 3rd in last race – May improve at the shorter distance – Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (11 3-3-0) 

Alternate: 

Race 9

6 – Eminency – Beaten only 3/4 lengths vs similar in last start – Received the highest last race speed rating (tie) – The trainer wins 24% when bringing a beaten favorite to the – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters -Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-3).

4 – Pineapple Man – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – May improve at the longer distance – Lasix added.

3 – Beach Boy Al – Beaten only 1 length vs similar in only and start and received the highest last race speed rating (tie).

2 – State Planning – The trainer wins 40% of the time when using Lasix the 1st time on his entries ñ Can improve at the longer distance – Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0).

Alternate:

1 – Devious Banker

9 – Infeasible

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 77 races, 59 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: Play Fair, slight disadvantage rail

6 – Improper – best LP#s by a lot, TPLRS#, strong work since, LRSP>PAR, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions

5 – Long Term – Top Pedigree, improved from debut in race 2, faster fractions despite running 3f longers

7 – Eagle in Love – first time starter vs. not much after top two, 17F works since Dec 31

2 – Pathological – some good works since Nov 20 debut, 1^st Lasix,

 

Race 2 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 77 races, 59 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: Play Fair, slight disadvantage rail

6 – Hot Stepper – 3 SP#Increases, DROP 70-55, Top LP,

7 – Convertible Freeze – 4SP#Increases, won last by 8 ¼ with TPLRSP, 1^st Lasix

4 – Lanfrankophile – top EP#s by a lot, top EP# w/o a lot of other speed, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree

3 – Dontbelate – tough call with R DOC, ran a better 1 mile final time than R DOC

5 – R Doc

 

Race 3 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 77 races, 59 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: Play Fair, slight disadvantage rail 

6 – Default Protection – won last by 12 with better fraction in 1M vs 6F debut, Top Pedigree, 2 good works since

1 – Blushable – won 2/3 @ Distance, 4f and LP improvement in her last

2 – Honey Money – much better fractions in last, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, top LP#s by a long shot

4 – Vienna Code – TPLRSP#, DROP 100-82, Fastest 1/4 Fractions, 20 off or less w STP, 4SP#Increases

 

Race 4 – 6 Furlongs: 100 races, 70 won by speed 37 w2w -PP: slight inside 3 bias, fair 2 and out 

2 – Actualize – top EP#s by a good margin, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 1^st Lasix

3 – Capone – 400k horse, bullet and go, real strong 19f works from Jan 3,

1 – Dads Good Runner – Top Pedigree, debut 2f/4f numbers were off the charts, gets 1^st Lasix, 16f of good works since Jan 4^th.

6 – Cathedral Beach – trainer George Weaver 18% winner in second start, had issues in last, better works than the 5 since, tough call versus CHECK THAT CHIP

5 – Check That Chip

 

Race 5 – 6 Furlongs: 100 races, 70 won by speed 37 w2w -PP: slight inside 3 bias, fair 2 and out

4 – Stanhope – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Top EP/LP#s

6 – Brockmoninoff – Top EP#s by a decent bit, walking up the performance ladder, AQ 2(1-1-0)

8 – Eucharist – 4SP#Increases, 2/3 at the distance, 0/5 at any other,

2 – Dee Bo – consistently better speed numbers than the rest, two good works since last start

 

Race 6 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 77 races, 59 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: Play Fair, slight disadvantage rail

6 – Romantic Man – 20 off or less w STP, LRSP>PAR, Top Late Pace#

8 – Total Effort – BTN Favorite, claimed J: Wayne Pots 17% off the claim, 2 Fastest Opening ¼ Fractions, Trevor gets off the 4

9 – We Ready – 2^nd after layoff, should be a little better, top EP/LP combo

4 – My Boy Colton Top EP by a decent margin, well bet against many of these

2 – Alite – sneaky better fractions last out despite going 1m vs 6f

 

Race 7 – 6 Furlongs: 100 races, 70 won by speed 37 w2w -PP: slight inside 3 bias, fair 2 and out

4 – Malibu Star – 1^st off the claim, 13/50 Tr; Kelly Breen, 2^nd off the bench, biggest DROP 82-28

2 – Ghostmon – resume says will be better in 2^nd off bench, Top Pedigree

7 – Tale of Mineshaft – 11 F works since last race Dec 3^rd, last work was fast, 1^st run for T: Rob Altras, expect more early pace today, DROP 49.7-28

3 – Litterbox – 2 Fastest Opening ¼ Fractions, up the performance ladder

8 – Victory Built – TOP EP#s

 

Race 8 – 7 Furlongs: 44 races, 33 won by speed, 18 w2s -PP: Slight outside to inside bias

1 – Buy Land and See – 4SP# Increases, should be better in r2 off the sidelines,  Fastest ¼ Fractions, TOP EP and LP#s

5 – Chestertown – DROP 100-84, AQ 7(3-0-3), 3^rd off the bench, good work since last

3 – Little Menace – Top Pedigree, 1^st off the claim for Tr: Rob Altras 28%, well bet in last, almost w2w

4 – Famished – all that’s left

 

Race 9 – 1 Mile (1 turn): 77 races, 59 won by speed, 24 w2w – PP: Play Fair, slight disadvantage rail 

6 – Eminency – Top Pedigree, Top EP/LP combo, sneaky better fractions last out going from 6.5-7f

3 – Beach Boy Al – tie for the TPLRS# in debut, a strong work since, should be close to the pace

7 – Hes Got It – 2^nd best EP/LP combo, show some internal race improvement in his last

4 – Pineapple Man – has early pace and gets 1^st Lasix, Top EP#s, improved from debut, bet well in both starts