Aqueduct Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Aqueduct on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Charles Town
Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Warrior Richard – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, earned the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (14 5-4-0) Jockey.
5 – Stormandy – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Will Be Famous – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Uncle Dan – He drops in class today, has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-2-0) and he has a good 4F workout on Feb-03.
Alternate:
4 – That’s My Business
1 – Pine Alley
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,5,6 / 5,6,7
Race 2
7 – Winning Drive – He has done well at Aqueduct finishing in the money in 41% of his starts, winning 24% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 60% of his starts, winning 30% of the races, drops in class today and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won three out of three races.
5 – Zertz – He has an early foot and will try to lead all the way to the finish line with Jockey Eric Cancel in the irons.
6 – Poppy’s Pride – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Icy Storm – He will be closing to try and win the race and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1A – R Boy Bode
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #,5,6,7- 3rd race # 1- 4th race # 1,3,5,6,7 – 5th race #3,5,6,7
Race 3
1 – Big Bean Christine – She has finished in the money in her last five races winning two of the starts at Aqueduct and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Preposterous – She can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race, has high % winning trainer Linda Rice and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Diamond Collector – He finished 3rd in his last race, returning to a sprint should be a plus and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Cupids Girl – She has been a bridesmaid in her last three races and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
6 – True Empress
2 – Game Theory
Bet: $10.00 Win # 1
Race 4
3 – Fire King – He won his last race at Aqueduct, has a high % winning Jockey and trainer who wins 28% of the races in a horses next start after winning their maiden race.
5 – Outlaw Country – He has finished in the money in three out of his career five races, winning of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Larz – He won one of his two career races at Aqueduct, had trouble in his last race which effected the race finish, has a high % winning trainer and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
7- Basic Truth – He won his last race at Aqueduct by 9-lenghts and earned the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
6 – Rol Again Dancer
Bet: None
Race 5
5 – Lifetime of Chance – He has finished in the money in all four of his career races, and ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
3 – Miracle Mike – He has a high % winning trainer, has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-1-0) and can improve with Lasix added.
6 – Disarmed – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at Aqueduct and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Art of Courage – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
2 – Radio Red
4 – Pop Coyer
Bet: None
Race 6
5 – Naked and Famous – He won his last races at Aqueduct, has a high % winning trainer and a trainer /jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-1-2).
4 – Eminency – He has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 19% of the races when running a horse in the first race after claiming the horse.
1 – Vive Bien – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt and a sprint, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6- Ginnsu Warrior – He switches to a high % winning jockey, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – Jet Speed
7 – Raw Courage
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race #1,2,4,5,6 – 7th race # 3,5 – 8th race # 1,4,7,8 – 9th race #3,9
Race 7
3 – O’Trouble – She has won two races in a row, going for a hat trick, has a high % winning trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Glory Road – She won her last races at Aqueduct, has a high % winning jockey and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
2 – Two Thirty Five – She drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
4 – Risk Profile – She finished a disappointing 7th after being bumped at the start but had finished in the money in the previous four races, drops in class today and returning to a sprint should help.
Alternate:
6 – Super Garner
8 – Lost in Rome
Bet: $5.00 Win # 3
Race 8
1 – Stone Creator – She has finished in the money in four races out of five career races, has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Carbon – She has finished in the money in six of his nine career races, winning one of the starts and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has finished in the money in six out of eight races, winning three.
8 – Juliana’s Rose – She has a high % winning jockey and a decent workout on 01Feb.
Longshot:
4 – Shadolamo – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race
Bet: None
Race 9
3 – October Bliss – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and switches to high % winning trainer Linda Rice who wins 26% of the races in maiden claiming races she enters a horse in.
9 – Empire Ride – He switches to a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
8 – Who Me – He has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
Longshot:
9 – Empire Ride – He is first-time starter and his Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters.
Bet: $5.00 Win # 3
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
6 – WARRIOR RICHARD – TLRSP# with better fractions through 6f in 7f vs 6 1/2f
5 – STORMANDY – was way better in 2nd career start, 28% 2nd time Lasix
2 – WILL BE FAMOUS – upped her 2/4f #s in last and better in 3rd off the break? Could be lone E
4 – THAT’S MY BUSINESS – down multiple classes, Top LP
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/5,6/2,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – WINNING DRIVE – very likely to make gains in round 2 off the bench, tr Ron Altras 32% 2nd off the claim
5 – ZERTZ – last effort was better than it appears on paper, 3rd off the bench, race 3 was best in the last 3 race cycle
6 – POPPY’S PRIDE – most probable pacesetter and drops in class
1A – R BOY BODE – could sneak in as the lone E horse
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,7/1,3/1/3,5,6,7
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
1 – BIG BEAN CHRISTINE – AQ 9/2-2-3, Distance 8/1-2-4, 2nd off the claim tr Raymond Handal
3 – DIAMOND COLLECTOR – 3rd off the break, AQ 6/1-3-1
6 – TRUE EMPRESS – another fan of AQ 10/3-1-3 and distance 8/2-1-3, a bit better in first ½ mile last out
4 – CUPIDS GIRL – consistent performer of late, doesn’t like to win but likes to be in gimmicks
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,6/1,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 22% w2w – PP: Outside In, 8+ Best
1 – LARZ – likely pacesetter with +6 2/4f EP advantage, run back to the debut should be enough
7 – BASIC TRUTH – TLRSP# in maiden win last out, 2nd try
5 – OUTLAW COUNTRY – lone P horse, drops in class and might benefit from 1st Lasix
3 – FIRE KING – tough call over the 6, tr Jose Camejo winner 26% Sprint-Route-SPrint
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 1/3,5,6,7
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
5 – LIFETIME OF CHANCE – TLRSP# as BTN FAV – AQ 4/0-2-2, same fractions at 1M as 7f
6 – DISARMED – 2nd after the claim 18% angle for tr Rudy Rodriguez vs 10% overall
3 – MIRACLE MIKE – was $0.90 at the SPA in July – like the last work
7 – ART OF COURAGE – first time starter with intermittent very good works
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/5,6/3,4,5,6,7
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 42% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
5 – NAKED AND FAMOUS – impressive 2/4f gains in last, potentially more to come in 3rd start after a layoff
2 – JET SPEED – 1st off the claim for tr Charlton Baker 20%, some EP and gets a weight break
6 – GINNSU WARRIOR – TLRPS#, better ATB, fast track is the key 8/1-4-1
4 – EMINENCY – Manny Franco and tr Mertkan Kantarmaci run 2 together with a win and ITM finish and $10.70 ROI
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/2,3,5/1,7,8/3,8
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 22% w2w – PP: Outside In, 8+ Best
3 – O’TROUBLE – AQ 9/5-3-1 – Distance 5/1-2-1, TLRSP# – lone EP
5 – GLORY ROAD – has a +6 LP and can be brilliant in the stretch at times
2 – TWO THIRTY FIVE – dropping in class, oof, smoking 2/4 pace #s in last – wonder if they are correct
6 – SUPER GARNER – +6 EP edge at the quarter, a couple of good works in last two, big track upgrade
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,5/3,5/2,3,4,5,6
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 22% w2w – PP: Outside In, 8+ Best
1 – STONE CREATOR – has some EP, been off since May, bullet and go if she is ready
7 – CARBON – left arrow horse, consistent performer, last race better than it looks according to pace# and times
8 – JULIANA’S ROSE – nice mid move in last, cutting back in distance could help hold pace longer
3 – TEMPERMENTAL – could benefit from the 6 scratching and TLRSP#
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 1,7,8/3,8
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 25% w2w – PP: Absolute Outside In Bias
8 – WHO ME – aggressive EO edge, +9 2f, +10 4f, TLRSP and Drops
3 – OCTOBER BLISS – 1st off the claim for tr Linds Rice, just missed at this level last out
9 – EMPIRE RIDE – getting Lasix and 1st gelded, 2nd off the break, if he can run a complete race
7 – AMMAN – 1st time starter without a lot to beat after the first 3
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,8,9/3,8/3,5,7,8,9
Aqueduct Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
