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Aqueduct Picks Live Stream – Nov 07, 2024 – Horse Racing Today

Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Free Aqueduct Racing Picks

Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:

Aqueduct – 11-07-2024

Race 1

4 – Moore’s Law – He won his last race at Saratoga, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Costa Terra – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Summer Cause – He won his last race at Monmouth Park and has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

3 – Army Times – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (6 3-0-1).

Alternate:

2 – Barese

Race 2

6 – America’s Honor – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Salvation – He can improve while returning to dirt, he has a high % winning and trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from turf to dirt and has a trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-0).

2 – Social Hour – He can improve while returning to dirt and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – My Mitole – He has a trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 1st race at route a horse he trains runs in and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

4 – Brave Bear

7 – Tapizar’s Temper

Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #2,3,6,8

$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,6,8/1,4,6,7/3,5/4,5,8 – Cost $48.00

Race 3-Female

7 – Miss Lao – She won her last race at Aqueduct, and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the allowance races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Maggy’s Palace – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.

6 – Brown Suga Babe – She has won two out of her last three races and she has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Bustin Bay – She likes Aqueduct finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 31% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 61% of the races, winning 28% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

9 – Mosienko

Race 4-Female

5 – Naughty Destiny – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last start and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.

3 – Majulu – She has a high % winning trainer and blinkers added today.

7 – Cerretta – She has a high % winning trainer and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

1 – Artistic Success – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse running in and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.

Alternate:

2 – She’s a Natural

Race 5

8 – Confabulation – He ran 3rd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Oct-31.

4 – Always Be Smart – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Wajda – He drops in class today, he has a trainer who wins 29% of the races in the 1st race at route a horse runs in, blinkers added today and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-02.

Longshot:

9 – Just Be Honest – He finished 3rd in his last race and his early speed running style helps his chances.

Alternate:

3 – True Connection

$.50 Pick 4: #4,5,8,9/3,5,7,9/8/1,2,5,6,7,8 – Cost $48.00

Race 6-Female

5 – Vegas Weekend – She finished in the money in the last five races, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning jockey.

9 – Jackson’s Dixie – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her only start, and the distance will not be a problem.

3 – Latest Edition – She has the highest last race speed rating and she has a trainer who wins 19% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.

Longshot:

7 – Bank On Anna – She has a high % winning jockey, drops in class today and blinkers added today.

Alternate:

8 – Mon Petit Chou

6 – Boss Lady Kim

Race 7-Female

8 – Rhiannon – She was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs tougher in her last start as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, she has a high % winning jockey and a bullet 4F workout on Nov-01.

6 – Revalita – She has finished in the money in five races out of the last seven starts, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning jockey.

9 – Vino Rouge – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a good 4F workout (Nov-01).

Longshot:

4 – Can’t Fool Me – She finished in the money in the last five races, winning two of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

2 – Roswell

Bet: $16.00 Win $26.00 Place: #8 – $3.00 DD: 8/1,2,5,6,7,8

Bet: $10.00 Exacta: 8/4,6,9

Race 8

7 – Spoken Bluntly – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Wind Dancer – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.

6 – Vitalize – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Allofasuddenlee – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race.

Alternate:

8 – Price Is Truth

2 – Scherzando

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #8 – Rhiannon

Rich’s Picks:

Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 25% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4+ Bonus Outside In

4 – MOORE’S LAW – TLRSP#+ 7 – right distance 4/2-1-0 others 3/0-0-1

1 – SUMMER CAUSE – very consistent performer – does well off the sidelines – top TOTAL PACE +13

3 – ARMY TIMES – plenty of early speed with a 33 Q30 score

6 – COSTA TERRA – speed and fade with a solid work between races

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 8+ Small Discount

3 – MY MITOLE – MSW dropper that just needs to rerun his debut

6 – AMERICA’S HONOR – missed last out – closer getting extra distance today – helpful – TLRSP+4

2 – SOCIAL HOUR – the other MSW dropper – return to Irad and dirt is the difference

8 – SALVATION – another that goes back to dirt where he ran better in his debut

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 8+ Small Discount

6 – BROWN SUGA BABE – real wide trip in last – cut back in distance helps

1 – MAGGY’S PALACE – should be plenty better in 2nd up and more distance helps

4 – BUSTIN BAY – drops from a NGSTK and plenty of decent works prepping

9 – MOSIENKO – tough call over the 7 – switch to Irad helps

Race 4: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount

3 – MAJULU – inside speed with a 30 Q30 scrore

5 – NAUGHTY DESTINY – very consistent performer – a lot of good works prepping

2 – SHE’S A NATURAL – TLRSP#+5 and MSW dropper

1 – ARTISTIC SUCCESS – maybe most upside in 2nd start regular improvement

Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 8+ Small Discount

4 – ALWAYS BE SMART – TLRSP# +13 – and drops in class

8 – CONFABULATION – early speed – climbing the class ladder and gets Irad

5 – WAJDA – going long for the first tile – 30% angle for Chad Brown – alpha for him vs 24% overall

9 – JUST BE HONEST – really – you can pick any of the next 4 horses – been closest in the last 3

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Outside In – 8+ Way Best

3 – LATEST EDITION – TLRSP# +8 – SIM FAV

9 – JACKSON’S DIXIE – just missed in her last – better in 2nd up

8 – MON PETIT CHOU – just needs to run two back – maintenance work to fit up

1 – SHE CAUGHT MY EYE – if a win is coming -will be on fast – like today and drops off the claim

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalker/Closers, 15% w2w – PP: Inside three best with Dominant rail, 4+ Similar Discount

8 – RHIANNON – bullet work and drops from a G3

6 – REVALITA – highly consistent – will be coming and you know Irad will give a solid ride

2 – ROSWELL – maybe too much early speed as a left arrow horse – serious back class

10 – AWESOME CZECH – been close – but this is her right distance 4/3-0-0 – now no win in 6 at any other length

Race 8: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount

7 – SPOKEN BLUNTLY – consistent and could be at her best in the 3rd start after a layoff – Top TOTAL PACE +5

3 – HARD PAR – MSW dropper with the TLRSP#

2 – SCHERZANDO – better 2/4f pace and room to be better in 2nd up

1 – WIND DANCER – MSW dropper with a decent series of works prepping

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