$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Aqueduct on a $100 Budget
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Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Charles Town
Aqueduct Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Charming Charles’ Choices
Picks
1. 7,2,5,1
2. 2,5,3,4
3. 6,1,4,2
4. 10,6,8,4
5. 7,2,6,4
6. 1,7,2,4
7. 1,7,2,4
8. 5,9,8,2
Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed, Small Rail Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Major Bonus
5 – BOINTHEBACK – making the same class drop as the 7, let’s take a shot on the longer odds, more frontend speed and the best EP/LP combo
7 – YOUR MISSION – is likely to be the favorite, 3SP# increases in a row, but prefer Kendrick on speed than closer
4 – PHOEBE’S FROSTY – tr Baker Charlton must have seen something in the last race, moving up from MCL 20k, Charlton hit 8/31 – has +8 EP edge at 4f
2 – MIDNIGHT EXPRESS – class dropper too, works are OK, should be upfront, let’s see if he gets some courage
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7/4,5,7/2,4,5,7
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, Absolute Outside In Bias, 2/3 Strong Penalty
2 – MELTING SNOW – Kendrick on a speed horse and has a +LP edge, tr Rob Atras 27% off the claim
5 – VEGAS WEEKEND – a couple of good fresh starts, works are OK, not so worried about the drop off the claim with the 39k purse
4 – PRAIRIE FIRE – right distance for this girl, 6/2-2-1, just missed in last and maybe better in 3rd off the bench
1 – NEW YORK BANKER – we saw it yesterday, a horse with a strong chance to get to the lead, getting the lead and never giving it up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5/2,4,5/1,2,4,5
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Penalty
6 – MOTION TO STRIKE – better fractions at 6 1/2f v 6f and gets a weight break with Jose Gomez
4 – GANDY DANCING – 2nd off the claim, 30% angle for tr Rob Atras, much better fractions last out, maybe better in second race off the break
3 – ACALTEQUE – Lone EP Horse, just blew up in last with much better ATB, TLRSP#
1 – DOUBLE SHOT – we’ll take the 2 for 1 here, unfortunately both are closers
1A – BUSTIN THE RULES
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,6/3,4,6/1,3,4,6
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Straight Line Outside to Inside Bias
10 – SECOND AND REED – TLRSP#, down in class, the furthest outside and gets first Lasix
6 – BASIC TRUTH – might not look like it on paper, but should contend for the lead with the 7, expect a little more with the class drop
7 – EXCALIBRATE – has a bunch of EP and a 3f bullet work on Dec 14th says he will be quick again
5 – SARATOGA STRONG – going to take a shot here, drops in class, tr Raymond Handal won 9/30 1st Lasix, and gets 10 pound weight break, going to be faster than expected
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Five: 5,6,7,10/1,2,7/1,2,4/1,7/2,8,9
Race 5: 1 3/16 Miles – Bias: Only 1 Race won by a Closer
7 – TONAL IMPACT – won four in a row and each was progressively better than the previous start, third after a layoff was the best of the last three race cycle
1 – ANEJO – AQ 1/1-0-0, really quick work on Dec 28, same routine as last win, bullet and then third race off after a layoff, which as at Aqueduct
2 – BOLD VICTORY – AQ 4/0-2-2, might consider upgrading if the track is off 6/2-3-1
4 – GASOLINE – numbers are just too good to put any lower than this
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 7/1,2,4
Race 6: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed, Small Rail Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Major Bonus
4 – ROYAL SUSPECT – BUMP TO TOP ON OFF TRACK – doesn’t need the lead, but won’t be far from it as EP
2 – MASON MANIA – tr Jeremiah Englehart kills it in second starts with a new horse, 15/44, third off the bench was the best in the last three race cycle – like today
1 – SIMPLY – two for 1 special – pace says they’ll both chase but..
1A – OUSTER – simulation says this one could be on the lead, I don’t see it
6 – SON OF AN EX – tough call over the 7, but been facing better company and reason for hope in 2nd off a layoff
7 – RIA’S ANGEL
8 – DR. MARBOOZ
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, Absolute Outside In Bias, 2/3 Strong Penalty
7 – PIECE OF MY HEART – TLRSP#, better ATB, could be in peak for in third after the layoff, AQ 5/0-4-1
1 – SECRET LOVE – 3SP# increases, another that’s improved ATB, lone PC horse
2 – EASY TO BLESS – could be better in second off the bench and nice work between races
4 – COREY – has some closing ability and back speed
6 – SHORT SUMMER DRESS –
3 – THISTLEFIELD
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Penalty
9 – CHIARA – should set the early tone, three decent works since last start
8 – BONANA FANNA FOE – has a 10 point LP edge, but also has some back speed, looking for a better start today
2 – TREAT STREET – Left Arrow Horse, has some EP and I like Kendrick on this types
1 – TONIGHT WE LOVE – tough call over the 5, but the 5 has been off for more than a year
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7/4,5,7/2,4,5,7
Aqueduct Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
