We’re turning back the clock — it’s Aqueduct, not “Belmont at the Big A!” Today’s 9-race card features a balanced mix of fast dirt and firm turf racing with deep, competitive fields — the kind of card New York fans love. 🏇
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Terry’s Picks
Aqueduct – 11-06-25
Race 1
4 – Power Seeker – Drops in class today. Trained by a high-percentage trainer (25%-win rate in the claiming races) and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Best Bet – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie). He has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Brew Pub – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, he a high % winning trainer and a bullet 3F workout (Nov-03).
Longshot:
1- Lost in Rome – He Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters Trained by a high-percentage trainer, has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout (Oct-31).
Alternate:
5 – Bossmakinbossmoves
Race 2-Female
5 – Believable – Won her debut race at Aqueduct and trained by a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
4 – Secane – Won her debut race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Day to Day – Drops in class today. Trained by a high-percentage trainer (25%-win rate in the dirt starts) and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Shilling – Won her last race at Aqueduct and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Spa Prospector
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5/1,7,8/5,6,7,9/1,4,5,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
8 – Red Velvet Cake – She ran 2nd vs similar in only start; Highest last race speed rating; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Aperitif – Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race. Trained by a high-percentage trainer (31%-win rate with beaten favorites); Can improve while returning to dirt.
1 – Red Boots – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in only start; Trained by a high-percentage trainer and ridden by a high-percentage jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Three Nines Fine – Can improve while returning to dirt; Has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking blinkers off; Early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
2 – Bodegas
6 – Lady Angelina
Race 4
5 – Alan Turing – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race. Highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Conman – He finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Cable Ready – Ran 2nd in last race and he a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Ruse – He has done well on the turf finishing in the money in 52% of the starts, winning 27% of the races and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Miztertonic
Race 5–
1 – Grand Commander – Rail post wins 20%; drops in class, returns to dirt. Trained by a top trainer with strong maiden claiming stats and has today’s best dirt speed.
5 – Last Man Standing: Placed in 4 of 6 starts. Trained by a successful trainer (26% win rate in second post-claim races); jockey also has a high win rate.
9 – Sequential – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race. Trained by a high-percentage trainer whose horses wins 25% of the starts in maiden claiming races and he a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Seeker’s Hope – Highest last race speed rating (tie); Best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Freedom Maker
7 – Party With Smarty
Race 6-Female
3 – Deep Learning – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race as the favorite. Trained by a high-percentage trainer (29%-win rate with beaten favorites). Drops in class today and jockey have strong win rates.
7 – Candy Moonshine – Never out of the money in her 6-race career, winning the last start and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Fille d’Oro –Drops in class today; Both her trainer and jockey have strong win percentages.
Longshot:
1 – Getting Serious – Won last race; Likes the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Tideoftime
4 – Bella Knows
Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box:3/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 3/1,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,5,7
$.50 Pick 4: 3,7/1,7,8,9,10/1,3/1,3,5,7,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 7-Female
9 – Magic in My Eyes – Ran 2nd vs similar in only start. Trained by a high-percentage trainer.
10 – Absolute Smoke – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Hot Currency –Both her trainer and jockey have strong win percentages and blinkers added today.
Longshot:
7 – Margarita Molly – Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Hire the Hat
3 – R U Bluffing
Race 8-Female
3 – Gallant Greta – Finished in the money in 8 races out of 10 career starts, winning 2 races. Drops in class today. Trained by a high-percentage trainer. Has a high-percentage jockey.
1 – Nonna Lynne – Won last race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Saratoga Snow – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Munny Grab – She finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 9-Female
10 – Lotus Petal – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and likes the distance.
3 – Roagna – Can improve while returning to a route and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Fifi La Fume – Won last race at Aqueduct; He is a closer so the added distance may be a plus and likes the turf.
Longshot:
5 – Temple City Taboo – Highest last race speed rating; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Vino Samara
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 6th Race – #3 – Deep Learning
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile
6 – BREW PUB – 3SP# increases with better EP and Fractions
2 – BEST BET – out on the by himself – not sure going longer helps
1 – LOST IN ROME – Top Par + wide trip in last – inside helps – Wrong distance 22/1-2-4
4 – POWER SEEKER – top C ZONE by a good margin – First up History Boom or Bust
Race 2: 1 Mile
4 – SECANE – TLRSP#+3, Triple Digit 2nd Race Parability
5 – BELIEVABLE – another with high level 2nd race upside
3 – SPA PROSPECTOR – by far top C Zone
1 – DAY TO DAY – drops from a couple of Graded Stakes – drop looks good, numbers not so
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5/1,3,7,8/5,6/1,4,5,9
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs
8 – RED VELVET CAKE – 2nd race parability for only YES horse
1 – RED BOOTS – 2nd race parability here too
7 – APERITIF – consistent and could pop career best in 2nd up
3 – NERI – got to have the 1st timer vs all noes
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf
5 – ALAN TURING – TLRSP# +4 – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
6 – CONMAN – triple digit upside in 2nd up
4 – RAMBLIN’ WRECK – killer LP edge – plenty of back class too
7 – RUSE – tough call over the 2 and 9 – a little more AQ turf form
$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/4,6,7
Race 5: 7 Furlongs
4 – SEEKER’S HOPE – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +6
1 – GRAND COMMANDER – only Pure MSW dropper
5 – LAST MAN STANDING – much better early in last – more to come in 2nd up
9 – SEQUENTIAL – Linda Rice – consistent performer – looks plenty better than the rest
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,5,9
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles
5 – FILLE D’ORO – Brad Cox horse coming out a tough trip in the G2 Miss Grillo
3 – DEEP LEARNING – drops from a pair of Graded Stakes – no bad race in 3
6 – TIDEOFTIME – 2nd Race Parability
1 – GETTING SERIOUS – plenty of upside in just 3rd career start
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,6/2,6,7,10/1,3/1,3,9,10
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs
10 – ABSOLUTE SMOKE – YES horse Better 5 ways – TLRSP# +5
7 – MARGARITA MOLLY – the other YES horse – speed and Kendrick – good combo
2 – MATHEA – 1ster with solid back bullet Sep 27 – 4f in 47.1 – 1/213
5 – POWER OF WOMAN – highest rated 1ster vs all noes except 7 and 10
$5 Exacta Box: 10/2,5,7,9
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf
3 – GALLANT GRETA – TLRSP +7 – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace
1 – NONNA LYNNE – no bad races in the last 4
5 – MUNNY GRAB – ITM 3/3 at the distance – first up ITM too, just not winner
6 – CAN’T FOOL ME – drops from a 200K NGST – been very competitive at this level
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Outer Turf
10 – LOTUS PETAL – last race was a little faster
1 – FIFI LA FUME – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace
9 – INFLAMMABELLE – good chance to lead with top C ZONE
3 – ROAGNA – most consistent in the race – going to be coming
