Belmont at the Big A features an 8-race card today with a strong mix of turf and dirt races, all set up on fast dirt and firm turf conditions. With both surfaces in play, today’s card offers a variety of race shapes and opportunities for disciplined, data-driven handicapping.
This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify:
• Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile
• Pace control and projected race flow
• Total Pace and C-Zone advantages
• Simulated odds compared to the morning line
• Profile of a Winner indicators across surfaces
With a balanced mix of race types, the key is adjusting approach based on surface and distance—understanding when speed holds, when pace collapses, and where value can be found in competitive fields.
Today’s focus:
• Identify controlling speed on both surfaces
• Recognize turf dynamics vs dirt pace scenarios
• Find overlooked contenders that fit the race shape
• Build stronger Pick 4 and vertical tickets
Fast track. Firm turf. Versatile card. Let’s find the edge.
Belmont at the Big A delivers an 8-race card packed with turf and dirt opportunities, and today Terry and Rich break down the entire card using Smart Sheets pace analysis, C-Zone ratings, Total Pace figures, and simulated odds.
Today’s card features multiple playable exactas, Pick 4 sequences, and value opportunities for disciplined players looking to capitalize on race shape and pace advantages.
Watch as we break down every race, identify the controlling speed, uncover longshots, and build winning tickets.
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Terry + Rich Full Card Picks
Race 1
Terry’s Picks
6 – Mary Lois
3 – Stand the Rain
4 – Consensus View
Longshot: 5 – Chartist
Rich’s Picks
5 – Chartist
6 – Mary Lois
3 – Stand the Rain
4 – Consensus View
Suggested Bet:
$5 Exacta Key Box: 5 / 3,4,6
Race 2
Terry’s Picks
6 – Blenheim Baby
5 – Lady Wisdom
4 – That’sthefactjack
Longshot: 7 – Pocket Queens
Rich’s Picks
6 – Blenheim Baby
5 – Lady Wisdom
7 – Pocket Queens
4 – That’sthefactjack
Suggested Bets:
Terry: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,6 / 1,2,4,5 / 1,3,6 / 2,5,7,9
Rich: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,6,7 / 1,2 / 1,3,5,6 / 2,6,7,9
Race 3
Terry’s Picks
1 – Island Charm
2 – No Need to Panic
5 – Nina Lee
Longshot: 4 – Mia Sophia
Rich’s Picks
2 – No Need to Panic
1 – Island Charm
5 – Nina Lee
4 – Mia Sophia
Suggested Bet:
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2 / 1,4,5
Race 4
Terry’s Picks
6 – Munnings Express
1 – Les Reys
3 – Leslie’s Humor
Longshot: 2 – Pandora’s Gift
Rich’s Picks
6 – Munnings Express
5 – Ready to Jam
1 – Les Reys
3 – Leslie’s Humor
Race 5
Terry’s Picks
2 – Flight Command
5 – Hurricane Mo
9 – Perfect Dream
Longshot: 7 – Bet Bold
Rich’s Picks
7 – Bet Bold
2 – Flight Command
9 – Perfect Dream
6 – Vapor Trail
Suggested Bets:
Terry: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6,7,9 / 4,7 / 1,8 / 1,3,6,7
Rich: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,6,7,9 / 1,4 / 1,5,8 / 1,3,5,7
Rich: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,6,7,9
Race 6
Terry’s Picks
4 – Secured Landing
7 – Frizzante
1 – Determinedly
Longshot: 3 – Celestial Glaze
Rich’s Picks
4 – Secured Landing
1 – Determinedly
3 – Celestial Glaze
7 – Frizzante
Suggested Bet:
$2 Pick 3: 1,4 / 1,8 / 7
Race 7
Terry’s Picks
1 – Mursal
8 – Proud Foot
5 – Jackson’s Dixie
Longshot: 7 – Despo’s Dream
Rich’s Picks
8 – Proud Foot
1 – Mursal
5 – Jackson’s Dixie
7 – Despo’s Dream
Suggested Bets:
$20 Win: #1 Mursal
$10 Exacta Box: 1 / 8
$10 Exacta: 1 / 5,7,8
$5 Exacta Box: 1,5,8
Race 8
Terry’s Picks
7 – Heads in Beds
3 – Lupine
1 – Artistic Success
Longshot: 6 – Midnightloveaffair
Rich’s Picks
7 – Heads in Beds
3 – Lupine
1 – Artistic Success
5 – Rockyta
Suggested Bet:
$3 Exacta Key Box: 7 / 1,3,5
Best Bet of the Day
Terry’s Best Bet: Race 7 — #1 Mursal
