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Terry’s Picks
Belmont At The Big A -4-14-26
Race 1-Female
1 – Through the Years – Ran 2nd vs similar in only start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 3F workout (May-08).
3 – Just Peachy – First time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (May-07).
2 – Fire Song – First time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (May-05).
Longshot:
5 – Honey Honey – First time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Decent workouts.
Alternate:
4 – We Goin
Race 2-Female
5 – Long Term Market – First time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
2 – Highgrove – First time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
3 – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
Longshot:
4 – Run Wild – First time starter whose Sire wins 17% with 1st time Starters; Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters and 1 stakes winner; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
Alternate:
1 – Amended Dreamer
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5/5,6/1,3/1,3,4,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
6 – Celtic Dawn – Won her debut race at Saratoga; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Jockey has high win rates.
5 – D’s a Rock – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 3 races; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Trainer has high win rates.
2 – Sunshine Lily – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Power of Women – Ran 2nd in last race; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
Alternate:
3 – Amy’s Light
4 – Oklahoma Smoke
Race 4
3 – Dark Assault – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (May-06).
1 – Silver Talent – High %winning trainer who wins 30% of a horses 1st race at a route so the longer distance can be helpful; Has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Chili Palmer – First time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Moon On Fire – Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Blinkers added today.
Alternate:
4 – Chess Match
Race 5
6 – Jubilee Parade – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Sidearm: Finished 3rd in last race; Trainer has high win rates; Switches to a high % winning jockey.
7 – Grunge – Dam has 5 winners from 9 starters and 1 Turf winner; Has a high % winning trainer; Good 4F workout (May-05).
Longshot:
3 – Frostelle – Ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – He’s My Kind
4 – Marble Hall
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,7/1,3,6/4,5/1,3,4,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
1 – Oil Capital – Won 2 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Day One Starter – Finished 3rd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 20% with beaten favorites; Switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Tiger Twenty Four –Trainer and jockey have high win rates; Good 4F workout (May-08).
Longshot:
4 – Buttah – Likes Aqueduct, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; At today’s distance finishing in the money in 100% of the races.
Alternate:
2 – Divine Peace
Race 7-Female
5 – Lady Rose – Won last race at Aqueduct; Trainer and jockey has high win rates; Lasix added.
4 – Margarita Molly – Won last race at Aqueduct at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Killa Sally – Won last race at the Fairgrounds; Early speed running style helps chances; Trainer has high win rates.
Longshot:
3 – Cravings – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Trainer has high win rates.
Alternate:
7 – Sparkling Mama
Bet: $20.00 Win: 5 – $10.00 Exacta Box:4/5 – $10.00 Exacta: 5/2,3,4 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,4,5
Race 8-Female
3 – Bounding Along – First time starter; Trainer and jockey has high win rates.
1 – Khali’s Storm – Finished in the money in the last 7 races, finishing 3rd in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Just Tell Anne – High %winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from maiden to maiden claiming race.
Longshot:
4 – Lady Delilah – Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Grit N Glitter
Best Bet of the Day at Belmont At The Big A – 7th Race – #5 – Lady Rose
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Stalkers, 3/9 w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
1 – THROUGH THE YEARS – missed by a nose in debut as even money fav for Ward
2 – FIRE SONG – Top Rated 1ster with a back bullet
3 – JUST PEACHY – 2nd Rated 1ster with top Turf Breeding
4 – WE GOIN – 3rd Rated 1ster – but tr 0/31 with 1st timers
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 7 Races 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
4 – RUN WILD – Top Rated 1ster with a Bullet and Go
5 – LONG TERM MARKET – Prat and Brown on 2nd Rated 1ster
2 – HIGHGROVE – Brad Cox horse with solid works series
3 – MORNING MENACE – looks better than the other experienced horse
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/1,4,5,6/1,2/3,4,5,6
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 7 Races 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
6 – CELTIC DAWN – 2nd Race PARABILITY was past par
5 – D’S A ROCK – only YES horse – has to be in included
1 – POWER OF WOMEN – could get to the lead and stay there
4 – OKLAHOMA SMOKE – 3rd race bounce back – 2nd race after more than a year off
Race 4: 1 Mile – Early Outside In Speed – None from Rail
2 – CHILI PALMER – 3.0 1ster with a back bullet
1 – SILVER TALENT – 2nd Race PARABILITY but winless rail
3 – DARK ASSAULT – only YES Horse – 1st ups have not been his best
6 – MOON ON FIRE – more upside than the 4 – only the 3rd start
Race 5: 6 Furlongs Turf – Stalkers, 3/9 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
6 – JUBILEE PARADE – going a little longer today helps
5 – HE’S MY KIND – 1st timer and tr Clement hits at 29% debuting on grass
3 – FROSTELLE – only YES horse – a little better fractions for SIM FAV
4 – MARBLE HALL – potential pacesetter – rerun last race works
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/1/2,4,5,7/ALL
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 7 Races 1 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
1 – OIL CAPITAL – TLRSP#+5 – Top TOTAL PACE +8 and Standout C ZONE
4 – BUTTAH – switches to Flavien Prat – ok off the sideline
6 – TIGER TWENTY FOUR – should be part of the early pace – has won off the bench
3 – DAY ONE STARTER – super consistent horse that was TC nominated
$2 Pick 3: 1,4/ALL/3,8
$20 Win: 1
$10 Exacta: 1,4
Race 7: 1 Mile – Early Outside In Speed – None from Rail
7 – SPARKLING MAMA – on the lead with top C ZONE and lone dropper
5 – LADY ROSE – Off since NOV – won lone race at a mile with ease
4 – MARGARITA MOLLY – speed, 1st Lasix and Kendrick – could combo
2 – KILLA SALLY – SIM FAV and top TOTAL PACE +6
$3 Exacta Key Box: 7/2,4,5
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Stalkers. 2/8 w2w – PP; Rail Discount, 2/3 Worse, 4-7 Best, 8+
3 – BOUNDING ALONG – got to have the top rated 1ster versus these
8 – I REST MY CASE – 3rd race bounce back ability – Only MSW dropper – pacesetter
1 – KHALI’S STORM – BAQ – 13/0-3-6 – recent resume 2nd or 3rd in last 6 races
6 – SUCCESSFUL AGENDA – got to have the other 1ster versus these
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,6,8
