Belmont at the Big A Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Sam Houston Race Park – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Belmont at the Big A Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Aqueduct – 5-15-2025
Race 1-Female
3 – Calling an Audible – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Giant At Work – She has finished in the money in two races out of her four career starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Twirly – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden-to-maiden claiming race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Gabby’s Legacy – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer and blinkers are added.
Alternate:
1 – Immigration Law
4 – Houdini’s Bride
Race 2-Female
1 – Bells Beach – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Into Amore – She has finished in the money in three races out of her four career starts, drops in class today and blinkers are added today.
4 – Prides Crossing – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on May-08.
Longshot:
2 – Toned Up – She has finished in the money in six races out of her last seven starts, finishing 3rd in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Kiss Me Hardy
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/2,11/1,4,6/1,4,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
2 – Tour Jete – She has won two races out of her last three starts, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and likes the distance.
11 – Call Her Bluff – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and likes an off track.
10 – Gone and Forgotten – She finished 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Snappin Buttons – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and she has a high % winning jockey.
Race 4-Female
4 – Snowyte – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Mazayaat – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Meursault – She has a high % winning trainer who horses he trains wins 32% of the 1st race at a route, she has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on May-08.
Longshot:
3 – High Note – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Here’syourtrouble
7 – Sheer Will
Race 5
9 – Cold as Hell – He won his last race at Aqueduct, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Laser Sharp – He has finished in the money in eight races out of her nine career starts, winning two starts.
1 – Determinedly – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Heaven Street – He switches to a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when bringing a horse back after being 90+ days away.
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,9,10 /5,7,8/2,5,6,7/1,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 6-Female
7 – Cdakhat – She came in from Gulfstream Park and ran 3rd in her last race at Aqueduct and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Blue Eyed Scout – She has finished in the money in three races out of her six career starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Shaman Princess – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last three races and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Just Words – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Last Mango
Race 7-Female
5 – Into Stardom – She has won her last race at Aqueduct and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Grace Reformed – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the allowance races he has a horse running in.
7 – Pretty Magical – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Lika Rolling Stone – She has won two races out of the last three starts, she switches to a high % winning jockey and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Chasing Daylight
4 – Amy’s Light
Race 8
9 – Benny The Waiter – He comes in from Gulfstream Park after finishing 3rd in his last race, cuts back in distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Antisocial – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Shadow Banking – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests he will like the grass, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on May-08.
Longshot:
4 – Discotheque – He ran 2nd in his last three races, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a 4F workout on May-10.
Alternate:
2 – Cuando
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 9 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1/3/9 – $10.00 Exacta: 9/1,3,4
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #9 – Benny The Waiter
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ None
7 – GIANT AT WORK – should be forward and has been decent on an off track
2 – TWIRLY – Pure MSW dropper and getting incrementally better by race
3 – CALLING AN AUDIBLE – proper distance 5/0-4-1
4 – HOUDINI’S BRIDE – 3rd up – best race by a decent margin was in the mud
Race 2: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Closers, 0/3 w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3 and the other 2 from 4-7
4 – PRIDES CROSSING – 3rd up – better EP and does have a run on an off track
1 – BELLS BEACH – SIM FAV – either of the last 2 races would do
5 – INTO AMORE – likely pacesetter and has a win on an off track
2 – TONED UP – can’t pass on a Linda Rice horse at AQ
Race 3: Off Turf – 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ None
1 – SNAPPIN BUTTONS – huge chance to get to the lead w/ strong C Zone
2 – TOUR JETE – SIM FAV – first up record is OK and distant 2nd place run in the mud
10 – GONE AND FORGOTTEN – better EP in her last – getting a little extra distance helps
11 – CALL HER BLUFF – won 2/4 on an off track – most upside in the race
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ None
6 – MAZAYAAT – pacesetter with a strong C Zone and 1 ½ Top Total Pace edge
4 – SNOWYTE – SIM FAV – must think big things for her – ran in BC Juvenile Fillies
1 – MEURSAULT – maybe most upside in the career third start
3 – HIGH NOTE – decent run on the slop in last
Race 5: Off Turf – 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Big Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
9 – COLD AS HELL – TLRSP# + 7 with a 1 length ES edge and Top Total Pace
10 – LASER SHARP – ITM 8/9 races and strong effort in mud – 2nd up
1 – DETERMINEDLY – been off for more than a year – works are OK
4 – HEAVEN STREET pacesetter – OK off the bench – but Oh for 4 at AQ
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Big Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
7 – CDAKHAT – SIM FAV – Top C ZONE and Top TOTAL PACE – most race win here
5 – BLUE EYED SCOUT – good chance to be on the lead +5 ES edge
2 – LAST MANGO – biggest in race advantage with a 1 ½ length LS edge – maybe most upside in just 3rd race
3 – CITY BLOCKS – most upside in the race – decent works prepping for first since Nov
8 – SHAMAN PRINCESS
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ None
5 – INTO STARDOM – solid chance to be out front – won in the mud last out
2 – GRACE REFORMED – SIM FAV – TLRSP#+4 – consistent performer
7 – PRETTY MAGICAL – better fractions in last – faster by more than 5 seconds
6 – LIKA ROLLING STONE – top C ZONE – same fractions at 7f as 6f – 5/1-1-1 on an off track
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Big Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
2 – CUANDO – only YES horse in the race – top C ZONE – better fractions and drops
3 – SHADOW BANKING – 2.95/3 firster versus all others Noes and Maybes
4 – DISCOTHEQUE – better ATB in last – should forward – rerun last
9 – BENNY THE WAITER –expensive horse – clearly they want to run it on grass – only question is the surface
