Belmont Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Belmont Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs
Belmont Picks and Comments
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 4,8,7,6
2. 4,1,2,6
3. 4,3,5,6
4. 1,7,2,3
5. 8,2,4,6
6. 1,9,2,5
7. 3,8,4,7
8. 6,1,4,5
9. 8,7,5,1
PLAYS
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 15% w2w – PP: Rail Discount – 2-7 Fair, 8+ Best
4 – UKRAINIAN PRINCESS – Solid Overlay, with 2nd best C-Zone
8 – POWER AND GLORY – Top overlay, top EP/LP combo, should be shotgun
7 – PERPETUAL PRAISE – very likely pacesetter according to sim and pace sheet
6 – SPATIAL REALITY – take your pick between the 6 and 3
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 4/6,7,8
Race 2: 1 3/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 1 Race won by Early Speed form 2/3 but not w2w
6 – RHEAUME – solid C-zone and EP/LP combo
4 – UNION DOLLY – Top EP/LP combo – high probability leader according to pace and SIM
1 – ANATOLIAN – best combo of SIM Scores, Overlay, ES and C-Zone
2 – EVER SUMMER – top C-zone score and lone P horse in a field of mostly middle and back types
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,6/1,2,5,6/1,4,6
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: 11 races – Early Speed – 18% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, outside in 2-7, 8+ No Wins
4 – SHE CAUGHT MY EYE – likely pacesetter and by far top C-Zone – LONE EP
5 – CHAYSENBRYN – +7 EP/LP combo and should be forwardly placed with top overlay
1 – GAGLIANO – tough call over the 6, essentially the same EP/LP and C-Zone, so with go with lower SIM ODDS and higher ML ODDS
3 – SA FORADADA – tough call over the 6 but better SIM ODDs and EP/LP Combo
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,5/1,4,5/1,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 7 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 11 Races – Stalkers – 0 w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus – 4-7 Squeezed so Far
4 – PRINCE OF TROY – top overlay, strong combo of EP/ C-Zone – LONE P
1 – LT. MITCHELL – Tie Top EP/LP Combo and should be pacesetter with 2nd best C-Zone
3 – DREAMPOINT – 2nd best overlay and 2nd best EP/LP combo
7 – SCREW LOOSE – tie top combo EP/LP but most LP in race – fair odds
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,4/1,3,4,7,9/1,3,4
Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Mostly Fair (A little Outside In), 8+ No Wins
8 – OUR SON JAKE – +8 EP/LP edge, +5 LP advantage, big overlay, likely pacesetter, strong C-zone, post hasn’t won yet – one of two Ps in a field of closers
4 – BERT BERT BERT – the other P, second best C-Zone
2 – GOING IN STYLE – good combo of SIM EP and #1 C-Zone score – TOP EP in Pace Sheet
1 – SORPRESO – tough call over the 5, we’ll take Better SIM, C-ZONE, Rail edge and Longer Odds
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,8/1,2,4,5,8/1,4,8
Race 6: 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 4 Races 50/50 – 2 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2 from 2/3 and 2 from 4-7
1 – SILENT MELODY – +6 EP/LP Edge, SIM Fav and overlay, very likely pacesetter
2 – THE SPLENDID ONE – TOP C-ZONE score and overlay with a stalking trip in a field of closers
5 – ARISAEMA – the other stalker P horse, nice late kick with 2nd best C-ZONE
3 – DREAM ON CARA – another SIM OVERLAY with 2nd best EP/LP combo with 2nd best LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,5/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,5
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: 11 races – Early Speed – 18% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, outside in 2-7, 8+ No Wins
4 – SISTER LINDA – Tie TOP C-ZONE, fair value odds,
3 – BUSTIN BAY – SIM FAVORITE, 2nd best EP/LP Combo and LONE P in a field that prefers to be middle back
8 – CINDERELLA’S CAUSE – Tie TOP C-ZONE, best combo with EP
5 – MIA BEA STAR – TOP EP/LP Score, +5 L:P EDGE – tough call over the 7
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,8/3,4,5,7,8/3,4,8
Race 8: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 3 Races – Stalkers – 0 w2w – PP: All Winners 4-7
7 – SLIPSTREAM – TOP LP #, TIE BEST C-ZONE
5 – GUN IT – Overlay, high C-ZONE and one of 2 Ps with a field of mid and back types
4 – COMEDY TOWN – 2nd Best EP/LP Combo –
1 – MID DAY IMAGE – Terry Angle and Tie TOP C-ZONE
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/1,2,4,5,7/4,5,7
Race 9: 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 4 Races 50/50 – 2 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2 from 2/3 and 2 from 4-7
4 – TONY O – LONE P, Top EP/LP Combo, Big Overlay, chance to be on the lead
8 – ONE HEADLIGHT – SIM FAVORITE, ML FAV,
7 – SLAPINTHEFACE – +5 LP EDGE, good chance to be forwardly placed with OK C-Zone and slight overlay
10 – ZAPRUDER – Top C-ZONE by a decent Margin
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,7,8/1,4,7,8,10/4,7,8
