Belmont Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Belmont Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Belmont Park Picks and Comments
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 1,6,7,9
2. 3,6,1,2
3. 7,6,8,2
4. 1,4,8,2
5. 2,8,5,11
6. 1,8,9,3
7. 2,8,9,3
8. 1,3,7,5
9. 1,8,5,2
PLAYS
Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf: 3 Races – Tactical Speed, 1 w2w – All wins 4-7
7 – SORORITY PARTY – 1st timer with solid series of works, Irad and Maker winning at 31%
6 – RUN FOR YOUR HONEY – one of the better turf pedigree numbers with good works
1A – GRAB THE GLORY – better of the 2 entries? But get two for 1
2 – SHEZA BERNARDINI – just had Dylan on the show, Tr and Owner the same – Goldophin bred
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1A,6,7/6,7/1A,2,6,7,8
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Bad Rail, 2/3 under par, 4-7 Plus, 8+ under par
3 – GOOD SAM – likely pacesetter as an EP horse, top EP/LP horse, early speed and 1st Lasix
6 – MIDNIGHT STROLL – drops from a G3 and last race w/ better 2/4f pace#s, improves 2nd up
2 – HONEY MONEY – first off the claim with Dylan again, bullet work on Jun 4th, only in all published
1 – MISSY GREER – decent first up record with some good works prepping for first race since Dec 30
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6/5,7/1,2/2,8,11
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 12 Races – Stalkers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail and 4-7 Bonus, 2/3 and 8+ a little under par
5 – MAMA BANNED ME – we’ll take a shot with our good friend Trevor, MCL winner last out but TLRPS# with faster fractions, 3rd up
7 – PARATUS – drops in class after much better EP# through first half, resume 50/50 on up/down in 2nd up
8 – GOOD RAPPORT – got MCL win in first on BP 1 1/16 Inner Turf, not so sure he’ll be as close to pace today
1 – GHOSTLYPRINCE – some of the better LP #s, 4 incremental SP# increases in a row with 3 maintenance works between races
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7/5,7,8/1,5,7,8
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 9 Races – Early Speed – 33% w2w – PP: No Rail, 2/3 discounts, 4-7 Big Bonus, 8+ no win
1 – CATCHYASOON – let’s try to break the curse of the rail with potential pacesetter and to c-zone
2 – HAPPY FARM – drops in class, has back class, last race better than finish with better times compared to previous 7f run, been a while since this 9 yo had a break, might need a layoff
5 – EMERALD FOREST – top EP/LP score and SIM FAV – comes in from OP – Belmont works getting better and better
4 – LAFITTE’S FLEET – tough call over the 3, but Irad rides here and had better early pace numbers last out
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,5/1,2,4,5
Race 5: 7 Furlongs Turf -Bias: Tactical Speed – 6% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4+ under par
11 – LUNA WARRIOR – TLPRSP# on GP AW, great turf breeding, some great works getting prepped on BP grass
8 – MOMENT OF INSIGHT – Irad and Brown – hitting at 39% – decent works and Pedigree
2 – BILLY’S GOT ISSUES – better ATB in last, Dylan again, hope he has a great day after coming on the show, extra distance helps in 2nd after a layoff
7 – LAWFUL – should be closing, consistent performer, David Jacobson barn hot at BP winning at 33%
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,8,11/8,11/1,2,7,8,11
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – Bad Rail, 2/3 under par, 4-7 Plus, 8+ under par
1 – ANGELIQUE – won debut as 55 cent favorite, 3 maintenance works between race,
8 – DANSEUR D’ORO – blowout MSW win at BP in last, same fractions at 7f as 6
3 – TOSCONOVA BEAUTY – tied for TLSPR# at Flakes, maybe – 6 wins in 8 races on a fast rack – track upgrade not as concerning as she showed well at Saratoga
9 – CLOVER STREET – never OTM on fast 4/1-2-1, coming off his fastest race time wise
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,8/1,2/1,3/1,2,8,12
Race 7: 6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Bias: 13 Races – Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: BIG Rail Bonus, 2/3 Par, 4-7 penalty, 8+ Fair
2 – RUNNINGWSCISSORS – Irad and David Jacobson winner 7/11 together, major early race improvement in last, smoke them in lone BP 6f inner turf race
1 – BIG PACKAGE – just can throw out a rail that’s winning at 39% – it would be nuts, BP turf 9/3-2-1
9 – INTO THE SUNRISE – been off since April 13, down in class with some fast work getting ready
8 – OUTLAW KID – another coming off break, since Dec 30, won only other 1st up, May 27th work at Toga says he is ready
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,9/1,2/1,2,7,8,9
Race 8: 1 Mile -Bias: Early Speed – 20% w2w – PP: Rail Best, 2/3 bonus, 4+ under par
3 – STAGE RAIDER – most upside in the race, sometimes brilliant early, sometime last, put them together and it won’t be close
1 – TONAL IMPACT – TLRSSP# – killer 2/4 EP improvement, Terry angle, little concerned about small regression as two previous peak number followed by a step back
7 – UNCLE MOONLIGHT – Belmont fan 6/3-0-1, just 1 win in 6 elsewhere, distance 7/3-2-1
2 – KINETIC SKY – gets the 24% win rail, usually strong 1st up, distance 6/2-1-2
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,7/1,3/1,2,3,6,7
Race 9: 7 Furlongs Turf -Bias: Tactical Speed – 6% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4+ under par
1 – ROBYN AND ELI – missed by a ½ only trip at this level – been facing much better
2 – FOLLOW THE FED – should improve 2nd off the bench and Flavien stays
8 – DADDYSLILBOSSLADY – MSW dropper after decent effort at GP
12 – MAGGIE – missed by a nose at this level last out, stalker and Trevor, good fit
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,8,12
