Belmont Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Belmont Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Laurel Park
Belmont Park Picks and Plays
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Only 5 Races – 4 won Early Speed – 2w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Edge
5 – PRINCESA CELINA – Wesley Ward, 1st timer with a rash of bullet works
4 – LESLIE’S LOOT – like the April 15th work 3f in 35.4
1 – ROUND THE TOWN – a little better works than the 3
3 – SLAINTE MHATH – Another Wesley Ward horse
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 4/All
Race 2: 6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Bias: Just 2 races – Early Speed, 0 w2w – PP: all 4-7
6 – ICY STARE DOWN – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice – 22% – and strong C-Zone
1 – BRISKY FROLIC – some early speed and drops in class
5 – JUST A NYQUIST – won her last and was better ATB – moves up
3 – FANTAIL – has some back class and if she finds it here, could go w2w
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 6/1A,2,3,5/7,9/2,4,7,8
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
3 – HAMMERIN AAMER – a little drop in class after running a little faster fraction, good fit for Trevor
1A – DURKIN’S CALL – cutting in class, last race better than it looks with better times and 2/4f pace#s
2 – CARIBBEAN – Tie TLPRSP#, claim and rise for Linda Rice, consistent performer, cut back in distance could help
5 – GENTLEMAN JOE – could be part of the early speed, definitely ran faster last time out
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1A,2,3/1A,3/1A,2,3,4,5
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf: Bias – Stalkers/Closers – 20% w2w – PP: Rail Fair. 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Penalty
7 – COLLABORATION – better in both races after debut, tr Linda Rice 26% 2nd Lasix and horse has EP, but can close too
9 – AMANDA’S FOLLY – Tr Linda Rice wanted this one in if it was off the turf and here she is – although, lone off track run didn’t go all that well
3 – SMOKIE EYES – class dropper, been off since November, works are OK, finished 2nd in Debut
8 – LADY JASMINE – has beaten a few in here and upped her game in a little from race to race, better in round two off he sidelines today?
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9/7,3,9/3,4,7,8,9
Race 5: 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed, 2/5 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2/3 fair, 4-7 Bonus
8 – INFLATION ADJUSTED – high floor, low ceiling type, steady performer won lone BP go and resume says he should be a little better 2nd up
4 – AL’S ROCKET – Pletcher/Ortiz – in 4 races with Jose, horse less than a length from winning 3
2 – Q F SEVENTY FIVE – best Belmont #s by a decent margin, but once again, Trevor on a frontrunner
7 – FIGHTER IN THE WIN – major class drop – last one sucked, maybe didn’t like the slop? Beware if it gets wetter
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,8/2,4,8/2,3,4,7,8
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
6 – MAGGIE T – got some early speed, got Kendrick, should be a good combo in 2nd after a layoff following faster fractions than usual in the 1st up
5 – SHE CAUGHT MY EYE – has some EP, probably most upside in the race, problem is nasty regression in only two second starts after a layoff, will need to reverse that trend
7 – WISHING ON A STAR – looks like a great fit for Trevor here, who is masterful as having horse at the end and this one has shown some brilliant LP at times
2 – DASHING DELLA – we’ll go with fair odds and the top C-Zone score here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,6/1,3,4,6/2,5,7/1A,2
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
1 – BUSTIN BAY – just win at this level, has some EP and the rail dominated at this length in the last BP meet
3 – SUNSET LOUISE – definitely faced the toughest competition, been off since October, real good string of works
6 – SWEET MYSTERY – TLPRS#, big jump in only other round two off the bench, BP 2/1-0-1, Distance 4/1-2-1
4 – DUFRESNE – might have a decent EP edge over the rest and with Kendrick riding, you know he’s going forward
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,6/1,3/1,2,3,4,6
Race 8: 6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Bias: Just 2 races – Early Speed, 0 w2w – PP: all 4-7
5 – TURN OF EVENTS – Belmont 9/4-1-1, runs strongly after a layoff, winner last two, including one of his Belmont Ws
7 – BIG PACKAGE – probably the most back class, top Belmont record for sure, been off since September and didn’t fire the last time he had a similar break
2 – DOCTOR JEFF – kind of a tough trip last time out, two maintenance woks since, has a lot of mid race pop, look for a big move out of the turn
6 – FLUID SITUATION – tough call over the 3, but top EP/LP combo, high c-zone and more versatile as a PC type
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/5,7/2,3,5,6,7
Race 9: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 19% w2w – PP: None from Rail – 2/3 & 8+Penalty, 4-7 Best
1A – LOON CRY – probably the better of the two entries, but either could win – Terry Angle
2 – ADMIRE MY CROWN – maybe a crazy pick here, has EP, was better ATB in last and maybe picks it up in second after a layoff. Plus J Davis was on HC this week
7 – MZ BIG BUCKS – only second start, showed some heart in debut, you don’t know what you are going to get here, whereas all the others had multiple chances to win
8 – CERRETTA – more consistent than the 5, should be as good probably better in round 2 off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1A,2/1A,2,7/1A,2,5,7,8,12
