With fewer horses in some spots, finding the right horse isn’t enough. The real question becomes whether the odds justify the bet. Rich and Terry will put the Smart Sheets to work looking for pace advantages, vulnerable favorites, overlays and opportunities where the numbers may tell a different story than the tote board.

We’ll dig into SIM Odds, SIM Speed, C-Zone, % Chance to Lead, Early and Total Pace and projected race shape as we work through all nine races.

Who gets to the front? Who gets the right trip? And where can we turn a competitive race into a profitable opinion?

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Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf

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Race 1 – Female

1 1/16 Miles – Early Speed, Outside In

Terry’s Picks

5 – Fedupwiththefed: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; high-percentage winning jockey; Good 4F workout (Oct-15).

2 – Katie King: Ran 2nd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Top trainer and jockey win rate.

3 – Lady Wisdom: Won 25% of career starts; Top trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

4 – Full Pour: Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Rich’s Picks

5 – FEDUPWITHTHEFED – maybe too much ES +7

2 – KATIE KING – standout C ZONE in a short field

3 – LADY WISDOM – most upside and lone dropper

4 – FULL POUR – somebody needs to be 4th of 4 – Paco

Race 2

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Only 2/3 under Par, 8+ Best

Terry’s Picks

2 – Abrigado: High % winning trainer wins 30% of the races in the 2nd race after claim; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Should improve while returning to dirt; Drops in class today.

5 – Ican: High % winning trainer wins 26% of claiming races; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong jockey stats.

4 – Mouqeer: Highest last race speed rating; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Rule Sixty Two: Best Dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and combo in last 14 days (5 2-0-0).

Alternates:

3 – The Markinater

1 – Waitin’onasunnyday

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,5/2,3/2,7/1-11 – Cost $44.00

Rich’s Picks

5 – ICAN – the most upside in the race – Linda Rice owned and trained – not in for a price

2 – ABRIGADO – lone Dropper and David Aragona has the Franco/Rice combo at 4/5

4 – MOUQEER – super consistent – SIM FAV – SIM Speed # and Top TOTAL PACE

1 – WAITIN’ONASUNNYDAY – should be involved early and better in 2nd up

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 5/2,3,5,7,8/7/5,8,9,10

Race 3

7 Furlongs Turf – Stalkers, 2/3 and 8+ Best, None from Rail, 4-7 Tough Too

Terry’s Picks

2 – He’s My Kind: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

3 – About Face: Finished 3rd in last race; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

8 – I’m a Gunner: Finished 3rd in only start; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

7 – Weseeulator: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 3 career starts, Finishing 3rd in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternates:

1 – Fort Griffin

4 – Spherica

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 2

$10.00 Exacta Box: 2,3

$5.00 Exacta: 2/3,7,8

Cost: $55.00

Rich’s Picks

8 – I’M A GUNNER – 2nd race upside would put him past the best of the rest

2 – HE’S MY KIND – top TOTAL PACE and top SIM Speed # with >50 PAR+

7 – WESEEULATOR – rough trip in last – limited resume says big pop potential in 2nd up

3 – ABOUT FACE – lone turf works – cutting back in distance helps

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 8/2,3,5,7

Race 4 – Female

6 Furlongs – Early Speed, Only 2/3 under Par, 8+ Best

Terry’s Picks

7 – Emerald Ember: Finished in the money in 5 races out of 7 career start, winning I race; Returning to dirt should help; Drops in class today.

2 – Expecto Patronum: 3rd as favorite last out; trainer wins 22% with beaten favorites; Highest last race speed rating; Top jockey win rate.

3 – Margarita Molly: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Top jockey win rate.

Longshot:

1 – Amelia’s Echo; ; Strong trainer jockey and stats..

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$20.00 Win: 7

$10.00 Exacta Box: 2,7

$10.00 Exacta: 2/7

Cost: $50.00

Rich’s Picks

7 – EMERALD EMBER – SIM Speed# +6 and Top TOTAL PACE +6

3 – MARGARITA MOLLY – on the pace and the biggest dropper – tr 0/23 in 26

2 – EXPECTO PATRONUM – 2nd up – ehh, small regression and big drop in prior two

1 – AMELIA’S ECHO – held speed longer

Race 5 – Female

6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Closers, 1-7 Similar, 8+ Bad

Terry’s Picks

5 – It’sgoodtobequeen: First time starter whose Breeding suggests she will like the grass; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; high % winning trainer and jockey.

9 – Great Happenings: Ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in only start; Highest last race speed rating.

8 – Liberty’s Advance: Breeding suggests she will like the grass; the shorter distance may help; Blinkers added today; Top trainer and jockey win rate.

Longshot:

2 – Probable Choice; Returning to Turf should help; Drops in class today; has a high % winning jockey.

Alternates:

7 – Gallipoli Girl

4 – Seize the Storm

Terry’s Suggested Wager

$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,7,8,9/3,5/1,5,7/2,5,11 – Cost $54.00

Rich’s Picks

8 – LIBERTY’S ADVANCE – YES horse with +10 SIM Speed vs experienced

9 – GREAT HAPPENINGS – YES – one of the biggest droppers – Graded Stakes 2nd Race PARABILITY – been off more than a year – post sucks too

5 – IT’SGOODTOBEQUEEN – top Rated 1ster with back bullet

10 – FUNNY GAL – really could put anybody here – going with 2nd rated 1ster

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,8,9,10,11/4,6/7/5,7

Race 6 – Female

1 Mile Turf – Stalkers, 2-7 Best, Rail Discount, 8+ Worst

Terry’s Picks

3 – Majestic Moonlight: Can improve while returning to Turf; Drops in class today; has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% taking a horse from Maiden to Maiden Claiming.

5 – Olatz: Finished 3rd in last race; Strong trainer stats.

1 – Timeless Melody; Top trainer and jockey win rate.

Longshot:

6 – Outro; Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Good 4F workout (Oct-15).

Alternates:

9 – Just Tell Anne

6 – Outro

Rich’s Picks

6 – OUTRO – TLRSP# +13 and Top TOTAL PACE +7

4 – PORTIXOL – drops with 2nd race Parability can challenge the 6

3 – MAJESTIC MOONLIGHT – YES horse – best published work between races

9 – JUST TELL ANNE -YES horse – tough call over a few others, 2 strong works and switch to Manny a tell?

Rich’s Suggested Wager

$3 Exacta Key Box: 6/1,3,4,9,10

Race 7

1 1/16 Miles – Early Speed, Outside In

Terry’s Picks

1 – Expensive Cut: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

7 – Screaming Uncle: Won last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – Nantz: Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Jackson Heights: Switches to a high % winning jockey; Drops in class today.

Alternate:

2 – Laughing Boy

Rich’s Picks

7 – SCREAMING UNCLE – out on the lead with STANDOUT C ZONE and Drops – 3rd up

5 – NANTZ – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – crushed in lone race at close to the distance

1 – EXPENSIVE CUT – Most Upside and SIM FAV

3 – JACKSON HEIGHTS – lone closer the other 4 are early speed

Race 8 – Female

1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Closers, Strong Inside 3, None 4-7, Bonus 8+ in 5 Races

Terry’s Picks

5 – Exonerate: Drops in class today; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

2 – Epico: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

11 – Berman; Won last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

6 – Rossbeigh; High-percentage trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

8 – Mosconi

Rich’s Picks

5 – EXONERATE – 3P# Increases w/ TLRSP# + 19 and SIM Speed +6

7 – PRINTER’S ALLEY – Top TOTAL PACE +11 – happy to return to grass – extra distance ?

2 – EPICO – YES horse that catches Flavien

6 – ROSSBEIGH – tough call over the 4 – more consistent closer

Terry’s Best Bet of the Day

PARX Racing – Race 3 – #2 He’s My Kind

2 – He’s My Kind: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; high-percentage trainer and jockey.

Terry’s Best Bet Wagers

$20.00 Win: 2

$10.00 Exacta Box: 2,3

$5.00 Exacta: 2/3,7,8

Cost: $55.00