Belmont @ the Big “A” Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Belmont @ the Big “A” Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Race 1
3 – Glint – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Az U Chase Me – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Steel Vengeance – He drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and should improve while returning to dirt.
Longshot:
5 – First Trumpet – He has a win at Aqueduct and at today’s distance, drops in class today, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help.
Alternate:
2 – Final Denile
6 – Solo Empire
Race 2
2 – Annexperience – He ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), and and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Identity Crisis – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start after experiencing plenty of trouble during the race, and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – King Puck – He hit gate and finished poorly in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Askingforafriend – He is trained by high % winning trainer Michael Maker, switches to high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz, JR., his Dam has 3 winners from 5 starters and 1 Turf winner and blinkers are added today.
Alternate:
4 – Rhyton
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5/1A/1,2,3,6/1,2,3,5,6 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
1A – Blue Eyed Scout – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race at Aqueduct, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Sunset Park – She won her last race at Aqueduct, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Last Mango – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 3rd race off layoff switches to high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz, JR.
Longshot:
5 – Bussia– She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in dirt starts he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
4 – Dat Dares Right
6 – Shock
Race 4-Female
2 – Mendee – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race by closing at a mile and with the additional 3/8 mile she can catch the frontrunners, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Inesperee – She finished 2nd in two races out of three career starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Our Prosperity – She finished 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in the 2nd time he uses Lasix with a horse.
Longshot:
3 – Abundant Love – She has high % winning jockey, her best turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed and she has a bullet 4F workout on (Jun-10).
Alternate:
5 – Cailin Dana
Race 5
3 – Uncle Jim – He has finished in the money in two races out of four starts at Aqueduct, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Lou – He is owned and trained by Linda Rice, her horses she trains win 25% of the races in the 2nd race after she claims a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Social Hour – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – E Z Bourbon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at 20% a clip, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Hot Spun
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6 /3,5/2,6/1,7,8,9,12 – Cost $50.00
Race 6-Female
3 – Will Be Famous – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 63% of the races and winning 31% of the starts.
5 – Willow Bend – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Miss Lao – She won her last race at Aqueduct and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Kitten’s Appeal – She has finished in the money in her eight races out of ten starts at Aqueduct, winning two races, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Equus
6 – Always Angels
Race 7
2 – Cugino – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Exact Estimate – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Big Everest – He has finished in the money in seven races out of eight starts at Aqueduct, winning five of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Master Piece – He has won two races out of four starts at Aqueduct, , drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Bet: $20.00 Win & $30.00 Place: 2 – $10.00 Exacta Box:2/6 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,6,8
Race 8-Female
12 – Artistic Success – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey and blinkers added today.
9 – Good Mission – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Endless Vow – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in 2nd time he uses Lasix with a horse, switches to a high % winning jockey, may improve while trying grass as her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and 1 Turf winner and returning to a sprint can help.
Longshot:
8 – Gattatiz – She has a high % winning jockey, she has the highest last race speed rating and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
7 – Inflammabelle
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #2 – Cugino
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – STEEL VENGEANCE – should be up on the lead – Top TOTAL PACE +7
3 – GLINT – much faster early fractions in last, no need to run that fast today
2 – FINAL DENILE – biggest class dropper – first up record spotty
4 – AZ U CHASE ME – good works since last race in mid-April
Race 2: 6 Furlongs (Outer Turf) – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – Major Outside In
5 – IDENTITY CRISIS – 2nd up improvement puts him over par – none have done that
4 – RHYTON – 1st timer with 2.6/3 – with a back bullet
2 – ANNEXPERIENCE – a pair of seconds in two races – better in second up
1 – KING PUCK – money burner – beaten FAV in the last two – first in more than 9 months
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 61% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Tough, 4-7 Best, 8+ Bonus
2 – SUNSET PARK – SIM FAV – +3 TLRSP# – a pair of maintenance works – Top TOTAL PACE +5
1A – BLUE EYED SCOUT – missed by a neck in the last at this level in the 3rd up
3 – LAST MANGO – incrementally getting better – maybe Irad helps hit full potential
5 – BUSSIA – only the 2nd time making 2 starts in a row – improved nicely last time
Race 4: 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) – Bias: Stalkers, 0/3 w2w – PP: All from Posts 1-3
2 – MENDEE – SIM FAV that was better ATB in last
1 – INESPEREE – by far best C ZONE – will be closing
3 – ABUNDANT LOVE – should be as good or maybe a little better in 2nd up
5 – CAILIN DANA – could be out front and has some late legs too
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 20% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2-7 Underperform, 8+ Probably Best I’ve ever seen
5 – SOCIAL HOUR – short field – should be out front – Lone E Potential
3 – UNCLE JIM – by far the most upside – rerun Feb 28 race and it’s over
2 – LOU – winner 2/3 at the distance – solid work between races
1 – E Z BOURBON – benefit of the rail – should be close to the pace and close
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2+ Fair
3 – WILL BE FAMOUS – claim and drop of more than a length – fires off the bench
7 – KITTEN’S APPEAL – maybe pacesetter – ITM 8/10 at AQ – Top TOTAL PACE
5 – WILLOW BEND – small drop – good C ZONE – finished behind top 2 head to head
8 – MISS LAO – can’t ignore a Brad Cox horse – if Manny sends – she should compete
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Bias: Stalkers, 2/15 w2w – PP: 4-7 Best, Rest Discounted
1 – BIG EVEREST – Left Arrow SIM FAV – should be forward vs mid pack and back – has LS
2 – CUGINO – definitely faced better than most he sees here– solid first up record
6 – EXACT ESTIMATE – ITM 6/7 on turf and could have won 6 of 7 with a little luck
8 – MASTER PIECE – drops from six consecutive Grade II stakes races
Race 8: 6 Furlongs (Outer Turf) – Bias: Stalkers, 37% w2w – Major Outside In
8 – GATTATIZ – TLRSP# +4 – MSW Dropper with 1st Lasix – off since October
12 – ARTISTIC SUCCESS – another that’s been off for a while – move to Irad a tell?
13 – GRACEFUL WARRIOR – Pure MSW dropper in 2nd up – they wanted to be in this race
7 – INFLAMMABELLE – could be lone E and decent enough effort in only turf race
