It’s Breeders’ Cup weekend at Keeneland, and Terry and Rich are breaking down the biggest two days of racing with the wagers and horses we like most on Friday, October 30, and Saturday, October 31, 2026.
We’re cutting through the noise and putting our strongest opinions on the table.
For each day, Terry and Rich will give you:
- BEST BET OF THE DAY — Our strongest play of the day.
- LONGSHOT OF THE DAY — The price horse we think can blow up the tote board.
- VALUE BET — A horse whose potential reward outweighs the risk.
- BEST PICK 4 OF THE DAY — Our ticket and strategy for attacking the sequence.
Breeders’ Cup Handicapping with Smart Sheets
We’ll use the Smart Sheets to dig into SIM Odds, speed, pace, C-Zone, race shape and other key numbers to find where the data supports the obvious contenders — and where it points us toward horses the betting public may be overlooking.
The Breeders’ Cup brings together elite horses, deep international fields and enormous wagering pools. You don’t have to be right about every race. You have to be right when the opportunity is there.
Two days. Eight featured plays from each of us. One huge weekend.
Best Bets. Longshots. Value. Pick 4s.
Let’s go get the Breeders’ Cup!
For Breeders Cup Smart Sheets on Friday and Saturday go to Guaranteed Tip Sheet : https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf
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Breeders’ Cup Friday – October 30, 2026
Terry’s Tips and Rich’s Picks | Keeneland
It’s Breeders’ Cup weekend at Keeneland, and Terry and Rich are breaking down the biggest two days of racing with the wagers and horses we like most on Friday and Saturday.
We’re cutting through the noise and putting our strongest opinions on the table.
For each day, Terry and Rich will give you:
- BEST BET — Our strongest play of the day
- LONGSHOT — The price horse we think can blow up the tote board
- VALUE BET — A horse whose potential reward outweighs the risk
- PICK 4 — Our ticket and strategy for attacking the sequence
We’ll use the Smart Sheets to dig into SIM Odds, speed, pace, C-Zone, race shape and other key numbers to find where the data supports the obvious contenders — and where it points us toward horses the betting public may be overlooking.
The Breeders’ Cup brings together elite horses, deep international fields and enormous wagering pools. You don’t have to be right about every race. You have to be right when the opportunity is there.
Two days. Eight featured plays from each of us. One huge weekend.
Best Bets. Longshots. Value. Pick 4s. Let’s go get the Breeders’ Cup.
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 8 – #9 Sun Goddess
9 – Sun Goddess finished in the money in all eight career starts, winning six races. She has high % winning trainer Aidan O’Brien and high % winning jockey Ryan Moore is in the irons.
Rich’s Picks
Race 7 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
#5 MISS MONICA (PP: 5 ML 5/2)
+10 SIM SP# and Top TOTAL PACE +10
LONGSHOT OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 10 – #10 Folsom Blues
10 – Folsom Blues ran 2nd in his last race, a G1 event. Has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of a horses 1st at route and has high % winning jockey.
Rich’s Picks
Race 6 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
#12 PRIMETIME EMMY (PP: 12 ML 12-1)
PRIMETIME EMMY arrives as a French longshot but thrived in her pair of turf tries on good footing. The track should be fast and firm on Friday. Group 3 French win at Chantilly.
BEST PICK 4 OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips – Pick 4
Races 7–10
Race 7
10 – Emphatic undefeated in 3 career starts, Early speed running style helps chances and is trained by Brendan Walsh and ridden by Tyler Gaffalione.
5 – Miss Monica has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, the last win a G1 event. and she has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-25. He is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Flavien Prat.
2 – Domain Expansion won her last race at Santia Anita; Has the highest last race speed rating (tie); Good 5F workout (Oct-21).
3 – Foxiest has improve in each of her first two races, each increasing the distance, she is a closer and should do well with today’s additional distance. She is trained Brad Cox and has high % winning jockey Junior Alvarado.
8 – Manuka Honey undefeated in 3 career starts and is trained Brian Lynch and has high % winning jockey Luis Saez.
Race 8
9 – Sun Goddess finished in the money all eight career starts, winning six races. She has high % winning trainer Aidan O’Brien and high % winning jockey Ryan Moore.
Race 9
5 – Hughes undefeated in 4 career starts. His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters. He is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Flavien Prat.
Race 10
10 – Folsom Blues finished in the money in six races out of six career starts, winning two races and is trained by Joseph O’Brien and ridden by Dylan Mcmonagle.
5 – How’s Al Today has won three races out of 4 career starts, the last win a at Churchill Downs. His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a good 4F workout (Oct-24).
14 – Great Barrier Reef finished 3rd in his last race, a G1 event. He has high % winning trainer Aidan O’Brien and high % winning jockey Ryan Moore is in the irons.
Terry’s Suggested Pick 4 Wager
$.50 Pick 4: All/9/5/All – Cost $84.00
Race 7: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12
Race 8: 9
Race 9: 5
Race 10: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14
Total Cost: $84.00
Rich’s Picks – Pick 4
Races 7–10
Race 7
5 – MISS MONICA
Best Bet
Race 8
9, 10
SUN GODDESS should be hard to beat, Since GREEN EMPRESS hasn’t her maybe AMUSINGLY CAN?
Race 9
3, 5
The two Bob Baffert horses could be the exacta.
Race 10
2, 5, 12, 13, 14
Maybe the most open BC for Friday and Saturday.
Rich’s Suggested Pick 4 Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 5/9,10/3,5/2,5,12,13,14
Total Cost: $10.00
VALUE BET OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 6 – #3 Libertango
3 – Libertango finished in the money in five races out of five career starts, winning three races. He has high % winning trainer George Boughey and switches to a high % winning jockey Flavien Prat.
4 – Brickyard Belle has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, the last win a G3 event. Has a high % winning trainer and jockey. Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a Bullet 4F workout (Oct-19).
10 – Harper’s Corner has finished in the money in four out of four career races, winning two races and has a Bullet 4F workout (Oct-123).
9 – Final Objective won his last race at Doncaster (GB), a G2 event, has high % winning jockey James Doyle.
8 – Force Noir finished 2nd in his last race, a G1 event only beaten by a neck, and has high % winning jockey David Egan.
Terry’s Suggested Value Wager
$20.00 Win: 3
$5.00 Exacta Box: 3/4
$4.00 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,8,9,10
Total Cost: $62.00
Rich’s Picks
Race 10 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
#14 GREAT BARRIER REEF
Jockey Ryan Moore has gotten the most out of GREAT BARRIER REEF and could do so again at a decent price.
Rich’s Suggested Value Wager
Exacta Key Box: 14/2,5,10,12,13
Breeders’ Cup Saturday – October 31, 2026
Terry’s Tips and Rich’s Picks | Keeneland
It’s Breeders’ Cup weekend at Keeneland, and Terry and Rich are breaking down the biggest two days of racing with the wagers and horses we like most on Friday and Saturday.
We’re cutting through the noise and putting our strongest opinions on the table.
For each day, Terry and Rich will give you:
- BEST BET — Our strongest play of the day
- LONGSHOT — The price horse we think can blow up the tote board
- VALUE BET — A horse whose potential reward outweighs the risk
- PICK 4 — Our ticket and strategy for attacking the sequence
We’ll use the Smart Sheets to dig into SIM Odds, speed, pace, C-Zone, race shape and other key numbers to find where the data supports the obvious contenders — and where it points us toward horses the betting public may be overlooking.
The Breeders’ Cup brings together elite horses, deep international fields and enormous wagering pools. You don’t have to be right about every race. You have to be right when the opportunity is there.
Two days. Eight featured plays from each of us. One huge weekend.
Best Bets. Longshots. Value. Pick 4s. Let’s go get the Breeders’ Cup.
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 10 – #2 Nitrogen
2 – Nitrogen finished in the money in all eighteen career starts, winning nine races. He has high % winning trainer Mark Casse and high % winning jockey Jose Ortiz is in the irons.
Rich’s Picks
Race 6 – Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
#1 FURTHER ADO (PP: 1 ML 5/2)
FURTHER ADO is undefeated in a pair of Keeneland starts with margins of victory of 11 and 20 lengths. That’s taking a horse for the course to a different level.
LONGSHOT OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 4 – #7 Evanescence
7 – Evanescence has a perfect record at Keenland winning three races out of three starts. Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Rich’s Picks
Race 9 – Breeders’ Cup Mile
#1 DETERMINISTIC (PP: 1 ML 8-1)
Most of this field is middle back. If Kendrick can have him close to the lead in any around 48 seconds at the ½ mile marker – they ain’t catching him.
BEST PICK 4 OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips – Pick 4
Races 4–7
Race 4
2 – Ways and Means Won last race at Saratoga, Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters and is trained by Chad Brown and ridden by Flavien Prat.
Race 5
3 – Bacio is ½ length from having a perfect career record, the last win a G1 event and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Comanche Brave comes in from Europe after winning the last two races; Likes the distance.
9 – In Our Time won his last race at Kentucky Downs and is trained by Joseph Saffie, Jr. and has high % winning jockey Micah Husbands.
10 – Cy Fair has won five races out of eight career starts and all wins comes at today’s distance.
6 – Yellow Card won his last race Churchill Downs. He has a high percentage winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Joe Shiesty won two races out of four starts at Keenland. His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters. He is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Flavien Prat.
Race 6
1 – Further Ado ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but trainer Brad Cox wins 32% of the races when bringing beaten favorites back. Ridden by Flavien Prat.
7 – Bracket Buster has received 100 plus speed rating in the last five races. He has a high percentage jockey.
5 – Coal Battle ran 2nd in his last race and has a bullet 5F workout (Oct-22).
4 – Chunk of Gold is always knocking at the door finishing in the money in the last eight starts, winning two races. Should improve at the shorter distance.
Race 7
12 – Blue Bolt has won nine races out of twelve career starts and loves the turf.
1 – Gimme a Nother has won the last four races in a row, the last win a G1 event. and has high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Precise has won six races out of thirteen career starts. He has high % winning trainer Aidan O’Brien and high % winning jockey Ryan Moore iin the irons.
5 – Kathynmarissa has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, has high % winning trainer and jockey. Loves the distance.
6 – Thought Process won his last race at Santa Anita, has high % winning trainer and jockey. Loves the distance.
Terry’s Suggested Pick 4 Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 2/3,6,7,9,10,11/1,4,5,7/1,5,6,11,12
Race 4: 2
Race 5: 3,6,7,9,10,11
Race 6: 1,4,5,7
Race 7: 1,5,6,11,12
Total Cost: $60.00
Rich’s Picks – Pick 4
Races 4–7
The sequence will likely have 4 big favorites, so I singled by Best Bet and am taking shots at trying to beat the others.
Race 4
2, 4, 9, 11
Race 5
2, 3, 6, 7, 9, 10
Race 6
1 – FURTHER ADO
Best Bet
Race 7
5, 8, 12
Rich’s Suggested Pick 4 Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,9,11/2,3,6,7,9,10/1/5,8,12
Total Cost: $36.00
VALUE BET OF THE DAY
Terry’s Tips
Race 8 – #13 Englishman
13 – Englishman finished in the money in five races out of five career starts, winning four races. He has high % winning jockey Jose Ortiz. His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Bullet 4F workout (Oct-23).
11 – T O Elvis has won the last five races, the last win a G1 event at Churchill Downs. Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Nakatomi has finished in the money in seven races out of eight starts at Keenland, winning five races and is trained by Wesley Ward and ridden by Tyler Gaffalione.
7 – Built has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, has high % winning trainer and jockey. Loves the distance.
Terry’s Suggested Value Wager
$20.00 Win: 13
$5.00 Exacta Box: 11/13
$5.00 Exacta Key Box: 13/7,9,11
Total Cost: $60.00
Rich’s Picks
Race 11 – Breeders’ Cup Turf
#2 BENVENUTO CELLINI
This 1 ½ mile marathon screams jockeys’ race and once again, Ryan Moore sits on a horse that should benefit from the race shape. BENVENUTO CELLINI might get overlooked based on his last two starts but they were on soft footing. His past performances say he clearly prefers firmer footing.
Rich’s Suggested Value Wager
Exacta Key Box: 2/3,6,10,12,13
