It’s another fast and furious afternoon at Del Mar, and Rich is rolling solo with a full 10-race card loaded with value plays, pace advantages, and bias insights. The Smart Sheets point to a clear edge for early speed, but several races feature powerful closers ready to pounce when the pace collapses. Using TLRSP# ratings, C-ZONE indicators, and track bias data, Rich’s Parx Ranks highlight which horses are best positioned to win, place, or deliver double and Pick-4 value. Whether you’re building tickets or tracking trends, today’s card has opportunity written all over it.
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Terry’s Picks
Del Mar – 10-30-2025
Race 1–
5 – Kid Charlemagne – Finished 3rd last time against stronger competition, drops in class today. Trained and ridden by high-percentage winners.
3 – Medici – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Luck Lucky – He comes in from Ireland after finishing his debut race in 4th, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 3F workout on Oct-25.
Longshot:
1 – Army Man – He has finished 4th in his debut after trouble at the start of the race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Iriseach
8 – Prime Artist
Race 2–
1 – Unbreakable Trust has finished in the money six times from ten starts, won twice, and is unbeaten at this distance.
2 – Western Freedom – He drops in class today, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Winds of Freedom – He has won two races out of four starts at Del Mar, and he has a high % winning trainer and can go the distance.
Longshot:
6 – Far Western – Ran 2nd in last race, he has an early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance will be a plus.
Alternate:
7 – Panuco
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5/2,3/1,2,3/1,3,4,6,8 – Cost $45.00
Race 3–
3 – Honey’s Choice: Runner-up last time, top trainer and jockey, strong 5F workout (Oct-24).
2 – Brigante drops in class; fastest turf speed among starters; top-percentage jockey; trainer/jockey combo: 11 starts, 3 wins, 4 places last 14 days.
4 – Born to Rock – A strong closer who was blocked in his last race; paired with a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Raging Inferno – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests he will like the grass and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Green Screen
1 – Whynotanotherone
Race 4–
1 – One Smokin Dude: Finished 2nd against similar last time; tied for fastest dirt speed among today’s field. Trainer wins 21% of claiming races.
2 – Cultural finished second on turf last time, has early speed that suits a shorter distance, and is trained by someone who wins 20% of races when switching horses from turf to dirt.
3 – Mr. Machupicchu – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a bullet 4F workout (Oct-22).
Longshot:
5 – Magic Connection – He can improve while returning to dirt, and he has a bullet 3F workout (Oct-27).
Alternate:
4 – Tee N Off
6 – Chasing Rain
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5/1,3,5,6,8/3,6/2,6 – Cost $50.00
Race 5-Female
4 – Corporal Violette – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Queen Sienna – With 7 wins from 14 starts in South America and top jockey Mike Smith aboard, she has been training regularly for her US debut.
8 – Delightful Laura – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, can improve with blinkers added today, and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Starts Now: Ran 6th as favorite last out; now with a trainer who wins 25% with beaten favorites, dropping in class, and paired with a top jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Angelic Appeal
7 – She’s a Joker
Race 6-Female
3 – Amelia’s Echo – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Clubhouse Cutie – Drops in class today and she has the 2nd best Prime Power: 112.7.
8 – My Kimmie – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Turkey Bird – She can improve while returning to dirt and drops in class today.
Alternate:
5 – West Fresno
4 – Surfin Candyr
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,8/2,6/3,4,7,11/2,3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 7–
2 – Tempus Volat – He finished in the money in both of his starts at Del Mar, winning one of the races, he likes the distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Friendly Confines – He won last race at Del Mar, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Geometry – With 2 wins in 5 starts, he benefits from a trainer who wins 29% of Non-Graded Stakes races and a successful jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Mescalero – He won his debut race at Santa Anitia, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Lyle The Crocodile
1 – Bodi Zafa
Bet: $20.00 Win & 20.00 Place: 2 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 2/6- $10.00 Exacta: 2/4,5,6,7
Race 8–
7 – Tommy Norris finished 2nd against similar competition last race, has the joint-fastest dirt speed among today’s entrants, and is trained by a high-percentage winning trainer.
11 – Another Bulleit – Ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in last race, can improve while returning to dirt and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
4 – Rocky Colavito – He is a first-time starter, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has two bullet workouts in a row.
Longshot:
3 – Low Tox – Debut runner with a sire winning 23% of first starts and a dam with 1 winner from 3. Breeding favors sprint distance, recent sharp 5F workout (Oct-22), and has a high-percentage jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Mystic Moses
5 – Eye of the Smiley
Race 9-Female
4 – Take Another Card – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today; has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races the 2nd time using Lasix and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – The Mizen Queen – After coming in from Ireland to the USA he finished 2nd in his first race winning the next start and she has a high % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
3 – Ambaya – She has finished in the money in all three career starts, winning 1 race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Ribbons – She has placed in four of five career starts, won once, and holds the top speed figures for today’s distance and turf among the field.
Alternate:
5 – Tigerish
9 – Polythene Pam
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #2 – Tempus Volat
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside Stalkers
3 – MEDICI – YES horse with TLRSP# +3
7 – MIGHTY TORO – 2nd race PARABILITY to compete with the 3 if it doesn’t improve
1 – ARMY MAN – another with 2nd race PARABILITY and the rest are maybes and noes
2 – LUCK LUCKY – 2nd race upside, how much we don’t know as he comes in from Ireland
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,7
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Speed, PPs are Fair except 2/3
5 – WINDS OF FREEDOM – TLRSP# +3 – SIM FAV – better in 2nd up
2 – WESTERN FREEDOM – takes a sizable drop in class – highly suspicious
6 – FAR WESTERN – 3 SP# increases in a row and chance for 1 more in 3rd up
3 – RUN ABBOUDY RUN – could get the lead with top C ZONE
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/2,3/1,2,3,5/4,6,7,8
Race 3: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside Stalkers
2 – BRIGANTE – Only YES horse with a TLRSP#+3 – big drop
3 – HONEY’S CHOICE – boom or bust in 3rd career start
6 – AMERICAN KING – today’s 2nd race upside longshot? The rest or noes and maybes
8 – GREEN SCREEN – tough call over the first timer – but tr Graham Motion 27% first route vs 18% overall
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Speed, PPs are Fair except 2/3
2 – CULTURAL – out front, finally healthy making two starts in a row for the 1st time
1 – ONE SMOKIN DUDE – Only YES that was better 5 ways – TLRSP# +4 – could regress
3 – MR. MACHUPICCHU – super consistent – but, usually goes forward and fades – bullet between starts
5 – MAGIC CONNECTION – return to dirt and distance where he has his lone win helps
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2/4,6,8/2,3,5,6,7/3,6,7
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Outside Closers
4 – CORPORAL VIOLETTE – SIM FAV – biggest in race edge +5 LS and Top Total Pace
8 – DELIGHTFUL LAURA – headed to the front with plenty of competition
6 – QUEEN SIENNA – Mike Smith on a Peruvian invader – SA works are OK
7 – SHE’S A JOKER – tough call over the 3 – I’ll take Irad and the better LP
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/6,7,8
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Outside Speed
5 – WEST FRESNO – 2nd race parability – to the lead and keeps it?
3 – AMELIA’S ECHO – YES horse and SIM FAV and has the most late kick
6 – CLUBHOUSE CUTIE – the other YES horse, which you have to have
2 – ANTE UP TONY – we’ll take a crack with a 1st and the Oct 17 5f work on 59.1
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,6/3,4,6,7/2,3,4,6/1,4
$5 Exact Key Box: 5/2,3,6,7
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside Stalkers
7 – MESCALERO – 2nd race parability is more than enough to take this
3 – HIDING IN HONDURAS – maybe over his heads, destroyed the comp in AW debut – should translate to turf
6 – FRIENDLY CONFINES – LRSP# +5 – any of the last 3 races will do
4 – GEOMETRY – SIM FAV and very hard call over the 2
$6 Win: 7
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Outside Speed
Despite having YES horses – I am going all 1sters at the YESes have had many chances to win
2 – START THE RIDE
6 – JOKER WENT WILD
4 – ROCKY COLAVITO
3 – LOW TOX
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,6
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Inside Stalkers
4 – TAKE ANOTHER CARD – most consistent and popped in debut – 1st up here too
1 – RIBBONS – SIM FAV best PAR+ and better EP – Top Total Pace
2 – THE MIZEN QUEEN – some of the best turf breeding – solid works
7 – LILA – will take a shot – has stakes level LLP at times – best published work between starts
