Horse Racing Today

Delaware Park Picks & Analysis Today | Mud, Routes & Chaos

Delaware Park features a challenging 9-race card today with multiple route races contested in muddy conditions. Wet tracks, longer distances, and changing race dynamics create a completely different handicapping environment where positioning, stamina, and adaptability become critical. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to secure position early in route races Pace scenarios impacted by muddy conditions Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators for off tracks and distance races Mud races often create chaos, especially in routes where pace pressure, kickback, and stamina all play major roles. Some horses improve dramatically on wet tracks while others fail to handle the surface at all, creating opportunities for value if the right profile emerges. Today’s focus is on identifying: Which horses are most likely to handle the mud Which pace profiles fit longer races on wet tracks Which runners are being overlooked despite fitting today’s conditions This is a data-driven breakdown designed to help uncover where races are most likely to be won—and where value may exist across today’s Delaware Park card.
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Terry’s Picks

Delaware – 5-28-2026

Race 1

7 – Yodel E. A. Who: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

6 – Vanzzy: Finished in the money in the 3 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 2 races; Can handle the distance.

1 – Collection Day: Won last race at Delaware; Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

3 – Book Runner: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 21% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.

Alternate:

4 – Whiting Field

2 – Winooski

Race 2Female

3 – Luminous Secret: Won the last 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats ad this combo in last 14 days (3 3-0-0).

1 – Laughing Fit: Finished 2nd as the favorite in the last race; The high % winning trainer wins 21% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.

5 – Chacarera: Ran 2nd in last race; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

2 – Miti Fast Flower: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Can go the distance.

Alternate:

6 – Beachgrass

$.50 Pick 4: 1,3/5,6/2,3,4,10,11/2,3,6,8,9 – Cost $50.00 

Race 3-Female

6 – Chill Bean: Won last race at Tampa Bay; The high % winning trainer wins 50% of the races drops off claim; Has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Channel Loop: Comes in from PARX Racing after finishing poorly caused by trouble at the start of the race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – C C Girl: Finished 3rd in last race; Best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed; Good 4F workout (May-20).

Longshot:

7 – Wicked Kitten: Early foot will be a plus; Strong jockey stats; Likes the distance.

Alternate:

3 – Fontina

2 – Turbo Millie

Race 4-

2 – Love Yourself: Ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Trainer wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a Sprint-Sprint-Route.

11 – Beale Street Boy: Ran 2nd in last race; The high % winning trainer wins 30% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming the horse; Strong jockey stats.

10 – Pure Octane: First time starter who has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 5F workout (May-16).

Longshot:

4 – Slobberknocker: Drops in class today; Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters; Trainer wins 23% of the races when using 2nd time Lasix.

Alternate:

3 – Citrine

Race 5-Female

8 – Wood Lily: Won last race; Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Highest last race speed rating.

6 – Stylish Gem: Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer wins 21% of the races when shipping in.

3 – Lilliput: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Should improve at the shorter distance.

Longshot:

9 – Rules for Three: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race.

Alternate:

2 – Uptown Art

5 – Sweet Summer Love

Race 6-Female

2 – Synergism: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

7 – Bidibidibombom: Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Fabia: Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Good5F workout (May-22); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

11 – American Select: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

10 – Saucy Six

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,7,11/3,7/4,7,9,12/4,5,6 – Cost $48.00

Race -7-

3 – Impressiveness: Won 3 races out of the last 4 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Ball of Fire: Finished in the money in the 3 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Can handle the distance.

1 – Ready as Ever: Won last race at PARX Racing; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

6 – Ice Shot: Finished in the money in the 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer; Drops in class today; Bullet 4F workout (May-14).

Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box:3/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 3/1,6,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,3,7

Alternate:

2 – Santinni

5 – Micanopy

Race-8-Female

4 – Academy: Won 2 races out of the last 4 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking from a sprint to route.

12 – Wyoming Class: Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Good 4F workout (May-16).

7 – Falfurrias: Is one for one at Delaware Park; Drops in class today.

Longshot:

9 – Bolt From Above: Switches to a high % jockey; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

8 – Smuggler’s Gold

Race 9-Female

6 – Izzy’s Rock Star: Finished 3rd in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning jockey.

4 – Adios Senoritas: First-time starter; sire wins 17% with debut runners; dam is 1-for-1 with winners; breeding fits this sprint; strong trainer-jockey combo.

5 – Rio Oso: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

2- Mom Esterina: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.

Alternate:

1 – Run Chachy Run

3 – Code Name Maisie

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #3 – Impressiveness

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge

1 – COLLECTION DAY – Big LS edge of 2 lengths with Top TOTAL PACE of a length

7 – YODEL E. A. WHO – biggest class dropper – Delaware 7/4-1-1 – Ness and Paco

6 – VANZZY – Standout C ZONE – could get a decent price

3 – BOOK RUNNER – potential overlay on the lead all by myself

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge

3 – LUMINOUS SECRET – Better EP/FRACTIONS for SIM FAV and TOP TOTAL PACE

1 – LAUGHING FIT – should challenge early – strong on a wet track 5/2-3-0 – 1 win in 20 on anything else

2 – MITI FAST FLOWER – nice overlay for the lone class dropper that has fired first up vs similar company

5 – CHACARERA – easy call over the 6 – YES vs NO – Top C ZONE

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/1,3,5,6/2,3,10,11/5,6,8

Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge

6 – CHILL BEAN – only with better EP/FRACTIONS – comes from FLA with a decent DEL work

1 – C C GIRL – another Florida (Tampa) Invader – off track 2/1-0-1

3 – FONTINA – catch me if you can with 1 length EP edge for Top TOTAL PACE

5 – CHANNEL LOOP – YES horse – SIM FAV with best PAR+ and most upside

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,3,5,6

Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – OFF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge

2 – LOVE YOURSELF – 5 Ways Better YES horse in the 3rd up coming from Laurel

11 – BEALE STREET BOY – Standout C ZONE for the other YES horse for Ness

10 – PURE OCTANE – the next two are the same – 2.67 firsters with back bullets – but they paid $185k for this one

3 – CITRINE – See above

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,10,11

Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 1/8 w2w – PP: 2/3 The Best, Rail and 4-7 Same Discount, 8+ None

8 – WOOD LILY – Penn Shipper with TLRSP#+ 10 – expect some track to track regression – how much – IDK – it is one of the tools I am working on for Smart Sheets

6 – STYLISH GEM – biggest in race edge of +6 LS for Top TOTAL PACE

5 – SWEET SUMMER LOVE – Better EP/FRACTIONS for the biggest class dropper

4 – MISSY’S MAP – tough call over a few other – but most upside and best average race

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,5,6,8

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF

11 – AMERICAN SELECT – Chaos Race – SIM FAV with best C ZONE by a bit

2 – SYNERGISM – Paco and Ness – can win from anywhere on the track

1 – FABIA – biggest class dropper and Top TOTAL PACE

7 – BIDIBIDIBOMBOM – could be lone E – improved a little in each race – but needs to improve by more than a length to get to PAR – no bad races in 3

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,11/1,3,7/7,12/1,3,4,5,6

$5 Exacta Key Box: 11/1,2,6,7

Race 7: 1 Mile – Early Speed – PP: Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ By Far Best

3 – IMPRESSIVENESS – Ness horse and certainly consistent – won lone off track race with ease

7 – BALL OF FIRE – Top TOTAL PACE with the best Average Race

1 – READY AS EVER – 5 Ways Better and biggest in race Edge +5 LS

5 – MICANOPY – FLA invader with best C ZONE – only over 50% – with overlay potentia

Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF

12 – WYOMING CLASS – Strong SIM FAV with TOP PAR + on the drop and biggest in race edge +8 LS

7 – FALFURRIAS – Left Arrow Pacesetter with Top TOTAL PACE +7

4 – ACADEMY – biggest Class Dropper with the most upside in the race

11 – SOBIESKI – could be the longest shot – only with better EP/FRACTIONs

$4 Exacta Key Box: 12/4,7,11

Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 1/8 w2w – PP: 2/3 The Best, Rail and 4-7 Same Discount, 8+ None

4 – ADIOS SENORITAS – 1ster vs Noes and Maybes

6 – IZZY’S ROCK STAR – improving in every race -missed my a neck in the mud

5 – RIO OSO – potential pacesetter that was better 5 ways

3 – CODE NAME MAISIE – 2nd start upside for the biggest class dropper

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