Delaware Park Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Delaware Park Picks
Terry’s Picks
Delaware Park – 10-01 -2025
Race 1
1 – Home Invasion: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today; Has a top-winning jockey.
11 – Gap to Gap: Finished in the money in 5 races out of his last 6 starts; Drops in class; Has a high-percent winning trainer.
6 – Soo Handsome: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
9 – Super Tiz: Trained by a high-percentage winner (33% in first route races), returns to dirt and drops in class, with potential to improve.
Alternate:
5 – Frame Up
2 – Bourbon Time
Race 2–Female
5 – Harmony Road: She has finished in the money in all three career races, winning the last start; Has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Phlying Phyllis: Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high-percent winning trainer and jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Our Best Song: 3rd last race; top jockey; strong at this distance.
Longshot:
1 – No Need to Ask: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
2 – Money Magnettes
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6/6,10,11,12/2,3,4,8/9,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
6 – Centeya: She has finished in the money in 5 races out of her last 6 starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
12 – Al Gimaam: She has finished in the money in her last 3 starts, winning one of the races and can go the distance.
10 – Sea Shanty: Finished second in her last race; trained by someone whose horses wins 18% of claiming races.
Longshot:
11 – Beckett’s Map: Trained by a high-percentage winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and has a high-percentage winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Nicky Jolene
Race 4–Female
2 – Meatballsforaries: After a poor turf effort, she returns to dirt, where she’s finished second in both previous starts. Dropping in class, she’s trained by a 20% turf-to-dirt winner with a strong jockey.
8 – C’est Chouette: Drops in class today; Trained by a high-percentage winner and has a high-percentage winning jockey.
3 – Last Flag Flying: Drops in class today; Trained by a high-percentage winner who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race and has a high-percentage winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – On the Beam: She is a First-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 6 starters; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Southern Lady
7 – Modern Miss
Race 5-
9 – Notturno: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – Warrior Wayne: Has finished in the money in 3 races out of her last 4 starts, winning 1 of the races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Specialagentjonson: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Roundtop: Finished in the money all 3 races, winning 1 start; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Magic Mover
Race 6–Female
2 – Tempting Lady: Won last race at Churchill Downs, Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high percentage winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Hold On: Drops in class today; Has finished in the money in 3 races out of her last 4 starts, winning 1 of the races; Has a high % winning jockey and she can handle the distance.
7 – C. C. Foxii: Drops in class today; Trained by a high-percentage winner who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse Down 2+ classes.
Longshot:
8 – Ritz On Broadway: Has finished in the money in 7 races at Delaware Park; Has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Charlize Chub
5 – Mandy’s Miss
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,7,8/1,2,7,11/4,5/1,2,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 7–Female
11 – My Gal: Top trainer and jockey win rate; class drop; fastest turf speed today; solid 4F workout (Sep-23).
1 – Amendment: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Blinkers are added today.
2 – Silver Flame: Drops in class today; Trained by a high-percentage winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in to run; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Forget Tomorrow: Finished 4th only missing by 2-1/2 – lengths and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Dance On Air
Race 8
5 – Do It for Michael: He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 50% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 38% of the starts.
4 – Frack Baby: Is one for one at Delaware Park; Beaten only 1- length vs similar in last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Pedro Nunes: Drops in class; has a trainer who wins 24% when shipping horses and a top jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Platform: Has one win out of two starts at Delaware Park and has a top trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Wistucky
7 – Hot Stott
Bet: $20.00 Win: 5 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 4,5 – $10.00 Exacta:5/1,4,8 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 5/1,4,8
Race 9–Female
5 – Vivid Artiste: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Nohai: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
2 – Lace Curtain: Ran 2nd in last race; Drops in class today and has a high-percentage winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Key Witness: She is a First-time starter whose Dam has 6 winners from 6 starters and 1 stakes winner and has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Fifth of June
3 – Electrica
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – Do It for Michael
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Best, 4+ Same Discount
9 – SUPER TIZ – TLRSP#+ 6 – likely to be out front – not sure about post and 2 turns
1 – HOME INVASION – faster early fractions last out – move to rail helps
11 – GAP TO GAP – 3rd up for a class dropper – Z pattern in last
5 – FRAME UP – Top Total Pace horse with one of the best PAR+ scores
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Outside In
6 – OUR BEST SONG – SIM FAV that should be part to of the pace
4 – PHLYING PHYLLIS – boom or bust in 2nd start following more than a year off
5 – HARMONY ROAD – very consistent so far – favorite in 2/3 starts – solid works
2 – MONEY MAGNETTES
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,6/4,6,8/2,3,4,6/8,9,11,12
Race 3: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 4 Races, Closers, 0 w2w – PP: None from Rail – Otherwise Fair
4 – NICKY JOLENE – SIM FAV – top LS – ITM 4/5 on DP grass – no wins
8 – UNICYCLE – could be out front in a race dominated by mid back types –
6 – CENTEYA – bad start in last – Z Pattern – expecting a cleaner trip
11 – BECKETT’S MAP – Big Z pattern in last – turns around in 11 days – saw one win like that yesterday
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Outside In
6 – SOUTHERN LADY – you know the drill by now – Maidens, all noes, 1st timers to the top
4 – ON THE BEAM
3 – LAST FLAG FLYING – MSW dropper in 3rd start – boom or bust
2 – MEATBALLSFORARIES – 2nd at this level 2 times – back to dirt after trying turf
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 11 Races, Closers, 0 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, None 8+
9 – NOTTURNO – winner of 2 in a row – jockey Jorge Ruiz killing it at Delaware – 38% wins
12 – WARRIOR WAYNE – won lone trip on Delaware turf 2 back – rerun that race and it’s a lock –YES Horses
11 – SURPRISE PACKAGE – track dropper – right distance 4/2-1-0 – jy Sonny Leon cold 1/26
8 – SPECIALAGENTJONSON – will be closing – extra distance today could help a lot
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
2 – TEMPTING LADY – Class and Track dropper with solid works – 3SP# increases
7 – C. C. FOXII – probably better in the 2nd up last was a little better with slightly quicker fractions
9 – PERFECT PINK – might be a crazy pick – but speed and top C-Zone – worth a shot at 20-1
3 – HOLD ON – ITM 4/6 at DP – concerned with regression last out – might need time off
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,7,9/1,2,11/4,5/1,2,5,7,9
$15 Pick 3: 2/11/4,5
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: Stalkers. 2/7 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Big Discount, 4+ Outside in Bonus
11 – MY GAL – TLRPS#+5 SIM FAV – track dropper facing the easiest field to date
1 – AMENDMENT – got to have the rail horse with the decided edge – much better EP – by far best C ZONE – lone E – watchout if she leads early
2 – SILVER FLAME – have to consider this one on the drop – aside from the 11 – next biggest
7 – FORGET TOMORROW – one of the Top PAR+ horse – behind only the 11
$20 Win: 11
$5 Exacta Key Box: 11/1,2,3,7,8
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Outside In
5 – DO IT FOR MICHAEL – Only Yes, pacesetter potential with most LS = Top TOTAL PACE +7
4 – FRACK BABY – TLRSP# +3 with more upside – crushed his only DP run
1 – PEDRO NUNES – rail not so hot – but maybe most upside in 5th start – track and class drop
7 – HOT STOTT – tough call over the 8 – but better odds and Smart Sheet numbers
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
1 – NOHAI – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – a pair of seconds in last 2
5 – VIVID ARTISTE – TLRSP# +5 and track dropper – but boy is Sonny Leon cold
9 – FIFTH OF JUNE – going to be close to the front with top C ZONE as biggest class dropper
7 – KEY WITNESS – tough call over the 2 – but gets top Jy Tr combo as 1ster – WTH
