Delaware Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Delaware Park on a $100 Budget
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Delaware Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Curteis – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Happyize – He finished 9th as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Gaming Soul – He finished 3rd in his last race.
Longshot:
2 – Swallow Beach – He has a bullet 4F workout on May16th.
Alternate:
3 – Ship Master
7 – Marcus Junius
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 -1st race #4,6 – 2nd race #3 – 3rd race #7,8 – 4th race #1,2,4 – 5th race #4,5
Race 2
3 – Smarthumor – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Triple Titos – He ran 2nd in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Sidney’s Bid – He ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
1 – The Colora Kid – He drops in class today and has trainer who wins 28% of the claiming races he has a horse in.
Alternate:
4 – Wild Irishman
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 –2nd race #3,5 – 3rd race #7,8 – 4th race #1,2,4 – 5th race #4,5
Race 3
8 – Ragtime Belle – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Sun Bee – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Chez Soleil – She ran 2nd in her last race.
Longshot:
5 – Creole – She is trying grass for the first time, has a Dam who has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Turf winner and has a bullet 4f workout on May 17th.
Alternate:
6 – Determined Gold
2 – Good Accelebrate
Bet: $5.00 Exacta Box: 7-8
Race 4
4 – Lord Darnley – He has won two races out of the last three starts, running 2nd vs similar in his last race and the shorter distance can help.
2 – Mystic Link – He has won two races out of the last four starts and has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Maythehorsebwithu – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Burgee – drops in class today and can improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
5 – Chrome Finish
Bet: – $.50 Pick 5 – 4th race #1,2,4 – 5th race #4,5 – 6th race #4,5 – 7th #11 – 8th race #2,3,7,8
Race 5
4 – Lusty – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her only start, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 58% of the races in the 2nd route race he has a horse in.
5 – Perfectly Golden – She finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in her last race, but her breeding suggests she will like the grass as her Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Turf winner and she has a 4F bullet workout on May-17.
8 – Kake’s Tap Dancer – She drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – She’s Like Thunder – She drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Gypsy Queen
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 5th race #2,4,5,8 – 6th race #4,5 – 7th #10,11 – 8th race #2,3,7,8
Race 6
4 – Parish Belle – She finished 2nd in all three of her career races, the shorter distance may help, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Fly High – She drops in class today; Lasix is added, and she has a trainer who wins 36% of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
7 – Marvelette – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Sundog – She has finished in the money in three out of her last four races.
Alternate:
3 – Best Worst Idea
2 – Tough Game
Bet: None
Race 7
11 – Bode’s Maker – He has a perfect record at Delaware Park winning the only race he competed in, drops in class today and has won six out of nine starts on the grass.
10 – Gunslinger – He has won five races out of the last seven starts at Delaware Park.
3 – Kobla Mas – He finished 3rd (on Dirt) in his last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Wicked Finn – He ran 2nd vs tougher in last race and drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Samui Sunset
Bet: $10.00 Win: #11
Race 8
7 – Mavilus – She takes a major drop-in class today, likes Delaware Park winning two out of five starts and the distance will not be a problem.
2 – R Averie Lynn – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
3 – Let’s Be Honest – She finished in the money in four races out of her last four starts, winning two of the races and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Prospera – She can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race, ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Alternate:
4 – Karen’s Way
10 – True Atka
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: 50/50 – 19% w2w – PP: All a Little Under Par Except 4-7
6 – CURTEIS – biggest class dropper making third start off the break
4 – HAPPYIZE – comes in from Tampa and is another 3rd up horse
2 – SWALLOW BEACH – we’ll take a flyer here after his best listed workout
5 – GAMING SOUL – could be pacesetter and gets a weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,6/2,4,6/1,2,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: 50/50 – 19% w2w – PP: All a Little Under Par Except 4-7
3 – SMARTHUMOR – TLRSP# at TB, drops in class and usually improves 2nd up
1 – THE COLORA KID – has some EP in previous races, a decent work between race and 10 pounds off
5 – TRIPLE TITOS – top DP# and improved in the 2nd half of last race, work between and better in second start after a layoff
2 – SIDNEY’S BID – most consistent from race to race, just doesn’t win
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/5,6,7,8/1,2/3,4,5,6
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias, Big Discount 4+
7 – SUN BEE – Chris P angle, 2nd by a head last out, a little more energy late
5 – CREOLE – can’t ignore team Russell, well bred for grass and 1st Lasix, bullet and go work
8 – RAGTIME BELLE – Probably the biggest class dropper, TLRSP# – first time making two starts in a row
6 – DETERMINED GOLD – big time upped her 2/4f pace#s at Keen 100K, ran better 2/3 of second starts after a layoff
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,8/5,7,8/5,6,7,8,10
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 23% w2w – PP: Slight Outside In Bias
2 – MYSTIC LINK – TLRSP# – 2nd by a neck, a little improve early and late, drop in class
1 – MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU – maybe most upside in the race, not sure what happened in last, drops in class
6 – BURGEE – tough call over the 4, but has been consistently better in race to race
4 – LORD DARNLEY – track dropper, has been showing speed of late
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias, Big Discount 4+
4 – LUSTY – Team Russell again, decently bet in debut, Chris P angle, tr Brittany Russell 32% second career start
3 – DAZZLING DEDE – strong breeding for grass – good works pattern getting prepped
6 – GYPSY QUEEN – been well bet in both races, three works between starts, going to be more fit today
5 – PERFECTLY GOLDEN – 1st off the claim for Jamie Ness – 31% angle, I just wonder if she is a dirt horse
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/4,5/7,8,10,11/2,7
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias, Big Drop 8+
5 – FLY HIGH – debuted at Belmont and was well bet, had all sorts of problems, off since July – best pedigree by a wide margin
4 – PARISH BELLE – finished 2nd in all 3 races – CD dropper, been off since July, plenty of decent works getting ready
3 – BEST WORST IDEA – tr Jose Ramirez winner 4 of 9 second after a claim, some EP
7 – MARVELETTE – track dropper from CD, 1st Lasix and Kendrick – works just aren’t inspiring
6 – SUNDOG
1 – UNFOLDING BEAUTY
2 – TOUGH GAME
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 43% w2w – PP: None from Rail, Best 4-7, 2/3 & 8+ a touch under par
11 – BODE’S MAKER – turf 9/6-1-0, won lone run on Delaware grass, has some versatility in his game
7 – SAMUI SUNSET – most of his turf races would be good enough to win this – time off is the concern
8 – PETIT FILS – should improve in 2nd after a layoff, win last 2nd up at DP – strong LP
10 – GUNSLINGER – can’t ignore 7/5-0-0 at Delaware, is lead dependent and there is plenty of competition to her inside – works race in last 10 was from post 10
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,8,11/7,8,11/6,7,8,10,11
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias, Big Drop 8+
2 – R AVERIE LYNN – down in class, DP 8/5-3-0, distance 8/2-4-1
7 – MAVILUS – drops from a pair of NGSTK races, 3 good works between races
5 – CABRA CHICA – not a fan of Penn shippers, but DP 2/1-0-1, distance 6/4-0-1
3 – LET’S BE HONEST – better fractions at 7f v 6f, cut back in distance helps
