Delaware Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Albuquerque
Delaware Park Picks and Comments
22 to 1 Tom’s Tips
Race 1
5 – Honest Rogue – showed speed to the 1/8 pole and then backed up. Newly gelded, switch jockeys. Based on the numbers, lone speed?
3 – Catalina Kid – nothing in the slop last out, better first start, both at MTH, the workouts are average. Favorite may be a bit overbet.
9 – Downpatrick – first time starter, ok workouts, the trainer hasn’t won this year but from 13 starts 3 seconds, and 2 thirds.
Race 2
3 – Anna Rocks – ok effort last out at LRL, wide run, won at PEN at this level, needs to be close to the lead to have a chance.
2 – Abidale – has speed, last five races have been good, ok at distance and should be the favorite.
4 – Musical Cat – showed speed on the turf and dropped back last out, claimed three back and has had issues at the start. Could win or last.
Race 3
4 – Mansueto – awful first race, blew the start and never was in the race. Drops from MSW, adds blinkers, better start, better results.
11 – Call Me a Dreamer – speed last out and beat by a nose, best race of his race career, outside post is a concern if he doesn’t clear, favorite.
1 – Grunion – 7yo with a 3 race career, placed third in a moved turf race so with a better start may be do better
Race 4
3 – Chasing Artemis – try to find that magic level to win at, 5k may be the place, won MC at DEL and has run ok overall in last 4 races. Moved up in last race at TIM.
9 – Sansa Ariel – big drop in class, issues in last race at TIM, won over the track but it’s been awhile. Put in on drop only is this enough to win?
1 – Gem Cat – drops after two not get efforts but did show speed in last, won MC by a nose on the turf, a maiden on the dirt but could pickup a share here.
Race 5
3 – Izzybelle – has speed, won at this distance, last race was too far. Her race to lose if the pace is too fast.
6 – Indy Again – MTO entry will be the favorite, comes off two wins, comes off brief layoff and workouts are ok.
2 – Ms Boombastic – moves up in class and likes to run third. Gaining last time so this could be a nice step up in form run.
Race 6
3 – No More Talk – ran last at SAR for the bottom at that track, drops and has won at 10k level. A question of form but the drop may be what he needs.
5 – First Rule – speed, off claim, moves up, last three races are very good at the 5k level.
1 – Classy Solution – speed, won last two, should be challenged for the lead, hang on for a piece of the purse.
Race 7
2 – Kobla Mas – off claim, trainer 25% win record 1st up, blinkers off, three works for prepare for this race, been completive in lower level races.
4 – Boss Logic – MTO draws in, since layoff has been rolling long with two wins and one second at various tracks, will be the favorite.
7 – Two by Two – off claim, won last two races on the turf but has good record on dirt too, left in the race so with form and record you must consider.
Race 8
3 – Whiskey Prize – some interest last race but didn’t finish, drops back to MC and this right spot. Trainer strong numbers: 37% maiden to maiden claimers, 31% sprint to route, 25% in maiden claimers. Those are very good numbers.
7 – Wind Event – adventures in his first start, better in last race moving at the end, I think he will be closer to the pace and should pickup a piece here.
11 – The Last Jumpstart – draws in, ran ok last out after three average to bad races, a bit wide in last (again, needs a better trip.)
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 43% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
7 – CHICA CHUCK- Top Total Pace – TLRSP# – Ness/Rodriguez, better ATB
3 – CATALINA KID – class and track dropper with Paco riding – winning at 40% at Del
1 – CAJUN JOE – drops in class off the debut and might be the pacesetter
2 – WESLEY THOMAS – upped his speed figure in both races after debut
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Penalty, 4+ Small Bonus
6 – TIZ HERSELF – +15 Total Pace Horse, Top EP & LP – winner 6/8 at Delaware – last work was nice
2 – ABIDALE – a little better in race fractions, Ness/Rodriguez winning at 30% and ITM 70%
4 – MUSICAL CAT – quicker fractions in first half mile in last, flipping back to dirt helps
1 – SNEAKY CHEEKY – tough call over the 3, but has better shot to be forward
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf (OFF)
11 – CALL ME A DREAMER – Lone E, should be as good/better in 2nd up
5 – MAD DOCTOR – class and track dropper, but has been off for more than a year, 1st G/L, steady, consistent and good works coming back
1 – GRUNION – 7 yo with 3 races? Any of his three are competitive here, if he can break a little sharper
4 – MANSUETO – lone MSW dropper with Z pattern in debut
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 43% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
9 – SANSA ARIEL – dropping multiple classes after stumbling at the start
2 – HONEYCAMP – a little better fractions last out, 2nd off the claim for tr Michael Simone – 38% angle
1 – GEM CAT – drops in class, track dropper, weight break and tr Jorge Delgado winner 6/13 at DP
7 – UNBRIDLED SASS – Z pattern, missed as 20 cent favorite in last, going a 1/2f longer today should help
Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf (OFF)
6 – INDY AGAIN – won lone DP race by 6 ½ Lengths with by far best speed #
3 – IZZYBELLA – going to be on the lead and that’s probably where you want to be in a 3 horse field
2 – MS BOOMBASTIC – somebody has to be 3rd of 3
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 47% w2w – PP: Rail Bias, Inside Out, None from 8+
4 – NOTTOWAY – strong chance to be on the lead, TLRSP#, better fractions by more than a second in last
3 – NO MORE TALK – NYRA shipper, class dropper that is DP 3/2-0-1
5 – FIRST RULE – better EP through first half mile, a neck from winning last 3
2 – THE SICARII – aggressive drop in class, lowest level in last 10 – ITM 6/8 at DP
Race 7: 1 1/8 Miles on Turf (OFF)
4 – BOSS LOGIC – +25 Total Pace Edge, Top EP and Top LP – can’t pass what you can’t catch
7 – TWO BY TWO – first off the claim for tr Juan Arriagada – 20% angle for 16% trainer
10 – RATIFY – fast track 10/2-5-1 – all others 14/1-5-0 – no doubt he is fit with a pair of 2 ¼ jumpers
2 – KOBLA MAS – consistent performer, robust LP -need to get off to a faster start, especially in a small field
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Penalty, 4+ Small Bonus
5 – DANGEROUS MIND – going long for the first time after sprint in debut, Ness 31% sprint to route
3 – WHISKEY PRIZE – Another Ness horse on the class drop, major improvement in 2nd start, anything close to a similar step forward and this race isn’t close
1 – RANSEUR – track and class dropper with Paco, how do you pass?
9 – RULE BREAKER – Track dropper with some back speed, works are blah, but potential is there
