Finger Lakes takes center stage today with a nine-race card featuring a little bit of everything, including four competitive stakes races. Rich rides solo through the entire card, using Smart Sheets to break down speed, pace, projected race shape and value in search of the horses that have an edge the betting public may be overlooking.
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Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Stalkers, Rail Stinks – Rest All Good
4 – LOVE COIN – best PAR+ by plenty -SIM SP#+8 with top TOTAL PACE +6
5 – ALMEZ – has shown solid EP & LP at times – just needs to combine them
1 – CORVUS – Yes Horse on the pace and lone dropper – most others middle back
3 – SUNDAY’S CURRENCY – another YES horse that should be forward
$0.50 Pick 5: 4/2,3,5/1,4,6/1,4/3,4,6,8
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bad
5 – SUN KISSED BLISS – 2nd race Parability
3 – SWEET SUGAR PIE – 2nd race Parability just 1 point less than the 5
2 – PWR OF PERSISTENCE – 3rd rated 2nd race Parability
4 – COZZY TRICKSTRESS – caught wide in debut on the lead – could happen again
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bad
4 – D I WIRE – maybe too much ES for the rest – +12 ES – Lone E and standout C ZONE
1 – COVERED OPTION – only YES horse – popped in last and drops
6 – BIG POPPY – 2nd race Parability vs all other noes and…
5 – BAJAN SUGAR – top rated 1ster
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PPs all Fair
4 – SPUN SIZE – TLRSP# +7 -SIM SP# +7 and Top TOTAL PACE +5
1 – SHORT SHIFT – maybe too fast for the rest +8 ES and biggest dropper
7 – CAROL SAID NO – steady performer – solid C ZONE -Small Z Pattern
2 – ITWILLBEFUN – horse for course? 5/2-0-2 – Else 20/1-3-2
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,2,7,6
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bad
3 – SHAYAPRAYER – 2nd race Parability and 1st Lasix
6 – CELESLIA – YES hose – could pop or drop in 2nd up – Flakes 4/0-3-1
4 – GATTATIZ – another YES horse – drops and track drops – even $$$ SIM FAV
8 – LIVELY PAL – Toga Shipper – should be involved early – super consistent – tough post
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,6,8
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PPs all Fair
5 – GALILEANS GIRL – better EP/Fractions and drops – most upside – 2/2 at Distance
4 – MY FIRST DINAH – biggest class dropper and most LS
7 – OH – standout C ZONE with lots of upside too – won 1st two – on the pace and lookout
1 – ANNAGENDA – 3SP# increases – maybe best value in the race
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,7/3,6,7/5,7/1,2,7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PPs all Fair
6 – LORD KING – on the lead – highest average race and SIM SP#
7 – STICKUPWITHOUTAGUN – huge drop -+4 TLRPSP # – almost alarming – looking for a check
3 – THREE THIRTEEN – top Total Pace – first on dirt – but the last work was hot
1 – MUSCLE SHOALS – has got the Swampers and the only with better EP/Fractions
Race 8: 1 Mile – Early Speed, Rail Bonus, 2-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
7 – BOW DRAW – best PAR+ 70% – could be forward – lone E then – Top TOTAL PACE
5 – SWEET ANNIVERSARY – winner 5/9 at Flakes – rarely make 3 starts in a row
6 – ZI END – moving up the speed ladder – winner 8/13 at Flakes
4 – GIANT AT WORK – biggest in race edge +6 LS – strong C ZONE
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PPs all Fair
2 – HE HAS IT ALL – out on the front with by far the most upside – biggest dropper
1 – DOUBLE SHOT – super consistent – but trainer is low win percentage
7 – NEWPORT BRIDGE – LS with top TOTAL PACE – drops – more distance can help
9 – MISTER J T – 3 SP# Increases – will be coming at the end
