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Gulfstream Park Picks & Analysis: Smart Sheets, Bias Insights, and Rich’s Winning Strategy for Every Race

We turn the page to 2026 the right way — with 10 races at Gulfstream Park as the Championship Meet continues to deliver top-level competition, sharp form cycles, and full-field intrigue. Rich and Terry open the new year breaking down the entire card with: 🏇 Race-by-race Gulfstream analysis 📊 Smart Sheets insights to spot surface and pace advantages 🔥 Early-meet angles and trainer patterns 🎯 Best Bet notes and multi-race structure ideas 💡 Value opportunities created by class moves and trip setups New year. Fresh momentum. Same disciplined approach that carried us through 2025. Let’s kick off 2026 the right way — from Gulfstream Park.

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Terry’s Picks

Gulfstream — 01-01-26

Race 1-Female

1 – Striking Finale – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); She has a high % winning trainer; Lasix added.

4 – Vanish – Drops in class today; Breeding suggests she will like the grass; Has a bullet 3F workout (Dec-24).

6 – Angelic Quality – Has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.

Longshot:

5 – Blazing Bridgette – Finished in the money in 2 of the races out of 4 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer; a good 4F workout (Dec-27).

Alternate:

7 – Colonial Sense

Race 2-Female

2 – Spicy Guacamole – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Misprint: Won 4 races out of the last 5 starts; Has a high % winning trainer; Can handle the distance.

7 – Happy Ride – Finished 2nd as favorite last out. Trainer wins 24% with beaten favorites; jockey has a strong win rate.

Longshot:

5 – Chloe’s Toy: Performs well at Gulfstream with 59% in-the-money finishes and a 21%-win rate; holds the top speed figure for this distance and features a top-percentage jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Rockets Sister

1 – Fulminate

$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,7/3,4/4,5,8/1,2,4,7 – Cost $48.00

Race 3

3 – What It Tiz – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer; Likes the distance.

4 – Guys Trip – Finished in the money in the last 5 races, winning 1 race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

1 – He’s a Daredevil – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a18% clip; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Friolento – Drops in class today; Trainer and Jockey also has a high win percentage.

Alternate:

2 – Stop Being Greedy

6 – Orb Alpha

Race 4

8 – Operation Torch – Placed in 7 of 9 starts with 1 win; Drops in class; Returns to a route; Top-percentage winning jockey aboard.

5 – Shrug – Drops in class today; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; bullet 4F workout (Dec-27).

4 – Souper Attentive – Finished 2nd as favorite last out. Trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; jockey has a strong win rate.

Longshot:

7 – Maruvy – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a jockey who has a high win percentage.

Alternate:

1 – Governing Party

9 – Yankee Drummer

$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,7,8/1,2,4,7/5,6/3,4,5 – Cost $48.00

Race 5

7 – Sosua Summer – Finished in the money in 4 of the races out of last 5 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Switches to a jockey who has a high win percentage.

1 – Fulanito – Likes Gulfstream, finishing in the money in 78% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; can handle the distance; Trainer and Jockey also has a high win percentage.

2 – El Apagon – Early speed running style helps chances; Has won 2 races out of 2 starts at today’s distance; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

4 – Fluid Situation – Finished in the money in 3 of the races out of last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Cruzin Man

6 – Louie the Sun King

Race 6

6 – Shape Note – Placed in the money in 4 recent starts, winning 3; High-percentage trainer with a 42%-win rate after a horse’s victory; strong jockey stats.

5 – Hottakejake – Likes Gulfstream, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.

4 – High Limit Room: Won 3 of last 4 races; top speed at this distance; gets a high-percentage trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Fast Fixer – Finished in the money in 4 of the races out of last 6 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Nic’s Bro

2 – Snowname

Race 7

3 – Double Neat – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Storm the Streets – Ran 2nd (on Dirt) in last race; Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.

5 – Replevin – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

9 – Berlone – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

8 – Dream Dancer

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,9/2,7/2,7/1,3,4,5,7,8 – Cost $48.00

Race 8-Female

7 – Secane – Finished 3rd as favorite last out. Trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; Trainer and jockey has a strong win rate.

2 – Haute Diva: Finished in the money in 5 of the races out of 6 career starts, winning 1 race; Trained by a high-percentage trainer.

6 – Jetty’s Home – Won last race at Churchill Downs; Trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 25% of dirt starts; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Nycon – Won last race at Churchill Downs at today’s distance.

Alternate:

1 – Vita Mia

Bet: $40.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta Box:2/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/2,3,5,6

Race 9-Female

2 – Dancing N Dixie – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; trainer and jockey have high win rates.

7 – Mama Bella: Finished in the money in 6 of the races out of last 8 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Charlie’s Wish – Won last race at Churchill Downs; Trained by a high-percentage trainer; Has a good 4F workout (Dec-27).

Longshot:

5 – Oshala – Won last race; Trained by a high-percentage trainer.

Alternate:

6 – For Flying

4 – Show Off

Race 10

5 – Honey Dutch – Finished 3rd in last race; Can improve at the shorter distance; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a good 4F workout (Dec-24).

4 – Zeppelin – Won his debut race at Churchill Downs; Trainer and jockey have high win rates; Has a 4F workout (Dec-21).

7 – Glorious Boy – Won 2 of last 3 races; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

1 – A Million Dreams– Finished in the money in last 5 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

8 – Alpyland

3 – Grand Mahogany

Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 8th Race – #7 – Secane

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Almost Fair, Inside a little better

4 – VANISH  – Top TOTAL PACE +17 – 3rd race bounce back

5 – BLAZING BRIDGETTE – better early in last and 1st Lasix could boost late – Only YES

8 – DRUPE – top ranked firster vs all noes and maybes

9 – SALLY J. – a flyer – speed and fade in debut – 1st Lasix and 2nd race upside

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,5,8,9

Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Small Bonus

2 – SPICY GUACAMOLE – TLRSP#+3 – better middle out and chance for more in 3rd up

3 – MISPRINT – consistent with some early pace – in form right now for sure

5 – CHLOE’S TOY – is tied ad the SIM FAV with Top TOTAL PACE – works suggest new barn might push her a little more forward

7 – HAPPY RIDE – going to be forward where the POW says 42% go w2w

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5/1,2,3,4/5,7,8,9/1,6

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 A little Under Par, 8+ Best

3 – WHAT IT TIZ – could be lone E vs a field that is middle back – top CZONE

4 – GUYS TRIP – some strong works prepping – but trainer 0-19 w/ 46-90 days away

1 – HE’S A DAREDEVIL – strong rail – decent works – ITM 5/7 at the distance – 0/4 at any other

2 – STOP BEING GREEDY – should be better in the 2nd up – lone class dropper

Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Almost Fair, Inside a little better

5 – SHRUG – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – seen tougher and bullet work prepping

8 – OPERATION TORCH – lowest level of career – tr wins 36% first time claimer vs 7% overall

7 – MARUVY – trying turf for the 1st time off the claim for D’Angelo barn – taps Irad

9 – YANKEE DRUMMER – TLRSP#+ 3 – 4 works since – 1st up a little spotty

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,7,8/1,2,5,6/4,6/2,3,4,8

Race 5: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Mostlty Fair 1-7, 8+ Big Bonus

6 – LOUIE THE SUN KING – Top TOTAL PACE – extremely consistent – ITM 7/8 at the distance

1 – FULANITO – should go forward – Iran on top for the 1st time – fires in 1st up

2 – EL APAGON – class dropper – won both at the distance – just seems to hang late

5 – CRUZIN MAN – on the gas with the top C ZONE

$5 Exacta Key Box: 6/1,2,5,7

Race 6: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Mostlty Fair 1-7, 8+ Big Bonus

6 – SHAPE NOTE – TLRPS#+7 – Top TOTAL PACE – Top PAR+ and C ZONE

4 – HIGH LIMIT ROOM – clearly in form at the moment – better 5 ways in last

5 – HOTTAKEJAKE – robust effort in last – resume says as good in 2nd up

3 – FAST FIXER – chance to be forward and also has solid LP

Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Best, 4+ Hit Hard

3 – DOUBLE NEAT – Irad coming off a dominant win on the grass – does pair strong efforts

2 – DONTSPLASHTHEPOT – SIM FAV at a price – cutting back from 2 miles – should be fit

4 – STORM THE STREETS – consistent for sure – should be forward and drops

8 – DREAM DANCER – Top TOTAL PACE and crushed in only grass go

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/5,6,7/1,2,3,5/2,4,5,7

Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 A little Under Par, 8+ Best

7 – SECANE – only YES Horse – bounce back race in 3rd career race after regressing in race 2

5 – NYCON – dominated in her last – another with 3rd race bounce back potential

6 – JETTY’S HOME – Tied for the SIM FAV that should be on the lead

4 – DUNMORE BEACH – will be coming late and moved up the speed ladder in each race

Race 9: 1 1/8 Miles AW – Bias: Early Speed, 3/11 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Hit Hard, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Dynamic

1 – DESIGN – SIM FAV at a price with Tyler G – why not?

3 – CHARLIE’S WISH – shows stakes level LP most of the time – been off a bit – decent works for Top TOTAL PACE

5 – OSHALA – better early, better fractions despite going longer, resume says more in 3rd up

2 – DANCING N DIXIE – definitely been in versus tougher – just doesn’t remember how to win

$4 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,3,5,6

Race 10: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Almost Fair, Inside a little better

7 – GLORIOUS BOY – going to be closing and coming off a hot work since

5 – HONEY DUTCH  – Tied for SIM FAV – will definitely try to go forward and Irad rides

2 – SQUIRE – only YES horse with best C ZONE and we get a big price

4 – ZEPPELIN – got to give this longie a shot – bad start, big rally in debut to win – horse that finished 3rd came back to win next out

$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,4,7

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