It’s another big day at Gulfstream Park with a 10-race card featuring a true mixed-surface test — fast dirt, firm turf, and races on the Tapeta All-Weather track. Cards like this demand flexibility, surface-specific insight, and strong pace reads. Rich and Terry break down all 10 races with: 🏇 Race-by-race Gulfstream analysis 📊 Smart Sheets insights tailored to surface switches 🔥 Benny and the Bets angles 🎯 Terry’s Best Bet 💡 Pick 4 structure ideas for tricky sequences ⚡ Horses positioned to thrive on dirt, turf, or Tapeta When multiple surfaces are in play, trip, running style, and adaptability become critical — and that’s where today’s analysis shines. Three surfaces. Ten races. One sharp breakdown. Let’s get to work at Gulfstream Park.
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Terry’s Picks
Gulfstream — 01-15-26
Race 1–
1 – Magic Solar – Third last out on all weather; rail wins 20%;. Trainer wins 23% with first-time Lasix. Bullet 3F work on Jan-07.
8 – Mo Mo Mugshot – First time starter whose Breeding suggests he will like the grass; trainer and jockey have high win rates.
10 – Fuoco Vivo – Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when using 1st time Lasix; Jockey also has a high win percentage.
Longshot:
5 – Skedaddling Home – Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Bullet 3F workout (Jan-11).
Alternate:
6 – Cajun Lad
2 – Righteous
Race 2
2 – Herbstreit – Drops in class today; Has high % winning trainer Brad Cox who wins 18% of the races when using 1st time Lasix; Has high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz.
3 – Magneto – Drops in class today: Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
5 – One Bid – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at today’s distance.
Longshot:
9 – Shadidelbas – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey; Lasix added.
Alternate:
6 – My Foolish Notion
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5.6,9/2,3/3,4/2,3,4,5,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
2 – The Prince’s Spur – Won last race at Churchill Downs; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Philharmonic – Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Santos to Wilson – Won 30% of the starts at Gulfstream Park; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Speed Control – Likes Gulfstream Park, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 12% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
Alternate:
6 – Lookin At Roses
Race 4
3 – New York New York – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Western Shaft – Finished in the money in 3 out of 5 starts at Gulfstream Park, winning 1 race; Drops class.
1 – Messagefromtheking – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Drops class.
Longshot:
6 – Ghostly Rose– Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Lasix added.
Alternate:
5 – G Speedy
8 – Bucchero’s Dude
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4/2,3,4,5,9/2,6/2,4,5,6,7 – Cost $50.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Lucky Win Coco – Placed in 3 of 5 Gulfstream Park starts, winning once; and proven at the distance.
4 – Mis Brunellas – Finished in the money in 2 of the races out of 3 career starts; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Sweet Ember – Ran 2nd vs similar (on AW) in only start; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters.
Longshot:
9 – Royal Retinue – Finished in 2 races out of 3 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Ticket to Ride
Race 6
6 – El Guty – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; High-percentage trainer and switches to a high-percentage jockey stats.
2 – Dogwood Crossing – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Fighting Words: Finished in the money in 2 of the races out of 3 starts, winning 1 starts; Paired with a successful trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Cajun’s Cookin – Likes Gulfstream Park, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 11% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 67% of the races.
Alternate:
8 – Imapeppa
4 – Milo
Race 7-Female
6 – Anna’s Promise – Finished in the money in 3 of the races out of 3 starts at Gulfstream Park, winning 2 race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Sarawak Rim – Won 4 races out of 6 career starts; Plenty of trouble in her last G! race affecting the finish; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Senza Parole – Placed in 3 of 4 career starts, winning 2; top trainer and jockey; fast 4F workout (Jan-09).
Longshot:
4 – Fede – Won last race at Churchill Downs; Likes the distance; Good 3F workout (Jan-09).
Alternate:
7 – Here’s the Kicker
3 – Just Basking
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6,7/3,9/1,3/1,6,12 – Cost $42.00
Race 8-Female
9 – City Minute – Placed in 7 of 8 career starts, winning 1; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Volatiled – Finished in the money in last 5 starts, most recently 2nd vs similar on dirt.
1 – Been Busy – Won debut; rail post wins 20% of the time; top trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Baby Blocks – Ran 2nd (on AW) in last race; Likes the distance.
Alternate:
12 – Ithinkiloveyou
5 – Sol Hope
Race 9-Female
1 – My Perfect Lady – Won her debut race at Gulfstream Park; Rail post is winning at 18% clip; trainer and jockey both have high win rates.
3 – Vuela Paloma – Finished in the money in 6 of the races out of 7 starts at Gulfstream Park, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Roxy – Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Neodera – Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Bad Girl Betty Lou
Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/3 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/2,3,9 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,3,9
Race 10
1 – Conn Smythe – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
6 – Astin Style – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.
12 – Ski Bum – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
11 – Animated – Ran 3rd (on AW) in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – No Bills Campaign
9 – Ramblin Betts
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 9th Race – #1 – My Perfect Lady
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf – Off
2 – RIGHTEOUS – highest 2nd race parability vs all noes and 1 maybe
6 – CAJUN LAD – top rated 1ster with a 3f back bullet – could get out fast
5 – SKEDADDLING HOME – 2nd rated 2nd race parabilty
8 – MO MO MUGSHOT – Irad on a first timer
$1 Exacta Box: 2,5,6,8
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles AW
3 – MAGNETO – 2nd race parability has a chance to exceed par vs nos and 2 maybes
6 – MY FOOLISH NOTION – should be a part of the early speed with a top C ZONE
2 – HERBSTREIT – 2nd race upside – strange drop from MSW though
9 – SHADIDELBAS – longshot that could be out front with 2nd race upside
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6/2,3,4/3,4,6/3,4,6
Race 3: 1 Mile
2 – THE PRINCE’S SPUR – TLRSP#+9 – BIG SIM FAV and biggest class drop
3 – PHILHARMONIC – Top TOTAL PACE +6
4 – SANTOS TO WILSON – Lone E that should be out front +9 ES
7 – TICKING – consistent as can be with much better EP in last
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs AW
3 – NEW YORK NEW YORK – one of 2 YES horses with the 5 – finally healthy making 2 starts in a row for the 1st time
6 – GHOSTLY ROSE – off for more than a year – seen better for sure – works suggest he is ready
4 – WESTERN SHAFT – both AW sprints fit for the SIM FAV
9 – SMOKIN JACK FLASH – tough call over a few others – another finally health types making two starts in a row for the first time since last March
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6/3,4,6/3,6,8/2,3,5
Race 5: 5 Furlongs Turf – Off
3 – SWEET EMBER – 2nd race upside way past PAR
4 – MIS BRUNELLAS – some speed and upside with 1st Lasix
6 – CLASSIC MOVE – highly rated 1st time starter with solid works
5 – LUCKY WIN COCO – the LONE YES horse – cutting back in distance with Lasix helps
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,5,6,9
Race 6: 6 Furlongs
8 – IMAPEPPA – SIM FAV and resume says big pop potential in 2nd up
3 – LAZIO – consistent – 3rd up with better fractions and final time
6 – EL GUTY – switch to IRAD helps – on the small class drop
2 – DOGWOOD CROSSING – Top TOTAL PACE – good form and room for more
$5 Exacta Key Box: 8/2,3,6,7
Race 7: 1 Mile
5 – SARAWAK RIM – Major SIM FAV – 1st run since BC – here for a check
2 – SENZA PAROLE – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – great string of works since last
3 – JUST BASKING – biggest in race edge of 2 lengths LS and Top C ZONE
6 – ANNA’S PROMISE – definitely been in against top notch company
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5/1,3,4,9/1,3/1,5,6,12
Race 8: 5 Furlongs Turf – Off
1 – BEEN BUSY – 2nd Race Upside way past par
3 – VOLATILED – 3rd after a layoff could be bounce back race
4 – HEIR TO THE ROAR – always close at the end – win or withing a length in 8 of last 10
9 – CITY MINUTE – 3SP# increases – hit at $69 yesterday – why not today too
Race 9: 5 Furlongs AW
1 – MY PERFECT LADY – TLRSP#+4 and Top TOTAL PACE +6 – more in 2nd race
3 – VUELA PALOMA – highly consistent – AW 4/2-2-0 and 1 of the 2nds was a head bob
9 – ROXY – 3rd after a layoff – faster fractions last out
2 – NEODERA – should be pacesetter where 36% go w2w
$1 Double: 1,3/1,5,6,12
Race 10: 1 Mile Turf – Off
6 – ASTIN STYLE – moving up the speed ladder just missed last out – 3rd up
12 – SKI BUM – drops in class – 3SP# increases in a row – much better EP in last
1 – CONN SMYTHE – just missed at this level in his last – distance 4/0-3-0
5 – LIAM’S SONG – have to have him in your picks no matter what he looks like on paper as lone MSW dropper with 2nd race upside
