This is the type of Gulfstream card where surface switches, pace setup, and trip dynamics matter just as much as raw speed figures. On today’s show, we break down: Sprint vs route dynamics across all three surfaces Dirt speed vs turf closers vs synthetic consistency Horses improving with surface or distance changes Logical contenders and upside plays hiding in plain sight How the all-weather races fit into the overall card With variety like this, one-size-fits-all handicapping doesn’t work. Each race demands a different approach — and that’s exactly how we attack it. 👍 If the breakdown helps, hit Like 🔔 Subscribe for daily track-specific race analysis
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Terry’s Picks
Gulfstream — 01-29-26
Race 1
7 – The Town – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Nickel C – Finished 3rd vs similar in last two races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Coach Kain – Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Trainer and Jockey also has a high win percentage; Lasix added.
Longshot:
10 – Leo’s Rocket – Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in only start; Dam has 2 winners from 5 starters (but 0 Turf winners).
Alternate:
1 – Vacationer
Race 2-Female
7 – Starship Aspen – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.
5 – La Cyber – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer; Can handle the distance.
2 – Game Changer Jolie – Switches to a high % jockey; Highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
6 – It’s Just a Game – Can improve while returning to a route; Best AW speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed; Blinkers added today.
Alternate:
1 – Spirit of Jamaica
3 – Jessica’s Dream
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7/1,4,5/1,4,5/4,5,8 – Cost $40.50
Race 3-Female
4 – Camm’s Princess – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.
1 – Whirlwind: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey; Can handle the distance.
5 – U Know When U Know – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Pasajera – 50% in-the-money at Gulfstream Park with a 13%-win rate; holds best AW speed in today’s field and has a leading jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Smooth Claret
2 – Bomb Squad
Race 4-Female
5 – Souffle On Fire – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lilys Back – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey; Can handle the distance.
1 – Third Kiss – Rail post is winning at a 19% clip; Drops in class today; High % winning trainer wins 30% of the races in the 2nd grass race; Good 3F workout (Jan-24).
Longshot:
2 – Basilica Light – Finished 2.10 lengths behind similar on AW last start; Highest last race speed rating; Breeding indicates potential on grass; Dam has produced 1 winner from 2 starters, none on turf; Should benefit from shorter distance.
Alternate:
7 – Pretty Geisha
8 – Iliana
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/5,8/3,4,6/2,4,6,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
5 – Dogwood Crossing – Finished in the money in 4 of the races out of last 5 starts at Gulfstream Park, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Blazing Bucchero – Drops in class today; Switches to a high % jockey; High % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
4 – Proud American – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
7 – Wannabeeloved – Finished 3rd in last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Wasamattafoyou
Race 6-Female
6 – All I Do – First time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters; Breeding suits today’s sprint distance; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lady Rockula – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
3 – Turkish Pistachio – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Trainer and jockey has a strong win rate.
Longshot:
2 – Softly Dreaming – Debut runner by a sire with a 16% first-time starter win rate; dam has produced 1 winner from 2. Breeding fits sprint distance, with a top jockey aboard.
Alternate:
11 – Quality of Essence
Race 7
10 – Win With Faith – Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning jockey.
6 – My Voodoo Doll – Performs well at Gulfstream Park with 50% in-the-money finishes and a 25%-win rate; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Souper Attentive – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Indecisiveness – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie); Has a bullet 5F workout (Jan-10).
Alternate:
9 – Java Buzz
1 – Catch a Tiger
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6,10/1,5/2,6/1,2,4,5,6,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
5 – Rockies Balboa – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Winplaceandshow – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – All to Win – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
Longshot:
4 – Hawk – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
Alternate:
3 – Eddie Haskell
Bet: $10.00 DD: 1,5/6
Race 9-Female
6 – Ashima – 7 wins from 12 Gulfstream Park starts; top speed at today’s distance; fastest AW speed in this field; trainer and jockey have strong win rates.
2 – I Love Venezuela – Won 4 races out of last 5 starts at Gulfstream Park; Loves the distance.
5 – Fish Mooney – Likes Gulfstream, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 38% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 77% of the races, winning 46% of the starts.
Longshot:
3 – Oshala – Drops in class today; Trained by a high-percentage trainer: Ridden by a high-percentage jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Insolenta
4 – Let’s Dance Again
Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box:2/6 – $10.00 Exacta: 6/1,2,3,5
Race 10
4 – Just for Luck – Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Trainer and jockey have high win rate.
2 – Two Beers by Ten – Finished 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Canuto – Finished in the money in 6 of the races out of 7 career starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Jurisprudence – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – War Officer
5 – Back in the Saddle
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 9th Race – #6 – Ashima
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Turf
7 – THE TOWN – TLRSP#+ 4 – YES horse – better EP and top PAR+ -shown elite LP
2 – COACH KAIN – 3rd up and catches 1st time Lasix – another YES horse
8 – NICKEL C – SIM FAV – 3SP# increases – maybe more distance helps
9 – HIGH LEVERAGE – one of the top 1sters vs Noes – best back works
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW
3 – JESSICA’S DREAM – 2nd race parability for biggest Class Dropper by far
5 – LA CYBER – SIM FAV and standalone C ZONE
2 – GAME CHANGER JOLIE – Top TOTAL PACE +7 – the other class dropper
7 – STARSHIP ASPEN – only AW race fits
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5/4,5,7/2,4,5/3,5,8
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/2,5,7
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles AW
4 – CAMM’S PRINCESS – will be coming at the end – Irad rides – SIM FAV
7 – SMOOTH CLARET – pacesetter – lone class dropper and Top TOTAL PACE
5 – U KNOW WHEN U KNOW – TLRSP# +4 – moving up the speed ladder
1 – WHIRLWIND – 3rd up and should rebound according to PPs
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf
5 – SOUFFLE ON FIRE – YES horse – flips to Irad
4 – LILYS BACK – the other YES horse – distance 4/0-3-0 – better EP in last – +6 LP too
2 – BASILICA LIGHT – TLRSP#+3 – Major SIM FAV – better 5 ways – pacesetter & top CZONE
1 – THIRD KISS – Top TOTAL PACE left arrow – Lone MSW dropper
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/3,4,5,8/6,8/4,6,9,10
Race 5: 6 Furlongs
8 – BLAZING BUCCHERO – should be better in the 2nd up – Irad and pacesetter
3 – ADIOS MATE – longshot with ES – going to come out hot
5 – DOGWOOD CROSSING – top closer and top TOTAL PACE – Z PATTERN
4 – PROUD AMERICAN – 3SP# increases – TLRSP# +7 and SIM FAV as lone EP
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs
6 – ALL I DO – top rated 1ster
8 – CHANCEOFALIFETIME 2nd rated 1ster with decent works
3 – TURKISH PISTACHIO – 3SP# increases – better ATB
2 – SOFTLY DREAMING – tough call over the 4 & 7 – but we’ll stick with the rankings
Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf
10 – WIN WITH FAITH – almost all of his races are good enough to win this
9 – JAVA BUZZ – going to be out front with best C ZONE by a lot & lots of upside
6 – MY VOODOO DOLL – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – 3rd up for the 1st time boom or bust
4 – SOUPER ATTENTIVE – horse for the GP grass course 4/2-0-1 – 12/0-4-0 elsewhere
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,6,9,10/1,3,5,6/2,3,6/1,4
Race 8: 7 Furlongs
3 – EDDIE HASKELL – EZ debut win – well bet – 2nd race upside – interesting the Tyler G rides here and not…
1 – WINPLACEANDSHOW – showed EP in both races and closed on last with major LP improvement
5 – ROCKIES BALBOA – only YES horse – speed and 1st Lasix
6 – ALL TO WIN – big and only class dropper – Irad
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,5,6
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles AW
6 – ASHIMA – winner 7/12 at GP and 7/11 at Distance – better in or same in 2nd up
3 – OSHALA – pretty much all or nothing 9/5-0-1 – great work between races
2 – I LOVE VENEZUELA – correct distance 5/4-1-0 – 1st up is the ?
1 – INSOLENTA – Tied for SIM FAV – better EP – potential Lone E
Race 10: 1 Mile Turf
1 – CANUTO – 1 length class dropper – TLRSP#+4 – Top TOTAL PACE +8 – SIM FAV
4 – JUST FOR LUCK – 7 point LS edge and will be rolling late – 2nd up and switch to Irad
6 – WAR OFFICER – Saffie Joseph Alpha Angle 1st start with a new horse 30 vs 20
10 – JURISPRUDENCE – let’s end with a flyer – top C ZONE and just ¾ a length from winning both on turf
$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/4,6,7,10
