We’re locked in at Gulfstream Park for a 10-race card featuring a true mix of all-weather, dirt, and turf racing — with a heavy dose of route races that demand patience and positioning. Route-heavy cards change everything. Pace unfolds differently, stamina becomes critical, and trip awareness separates contenders from pretenders. That’s where Smart Sheets come into play. On today’s show, Rich and Terry use Smart Sheets to: Identify hidden stamina advantages in longer races Spot horses moving forward with added distance Separate dirt speed from turf timing Evaluate Tapeta form versus traditional surfaces Break down each race with structure and discipline Gulfstream route racing rewards riders who save ground and time their moves correctly — and today’s mix of surfaces makes versatility a key factor. If you want a race-by-race breakdown built on surface awareness and pace structure, this is a card worth watching from start to finish. 👍 Like the video if the analysis helps 🔔 Subscribe for daily race-day breakdowns and Gulfstream coverage
👉 Download the Smart Sheets for in-depth data and pace insights.
Smart Sheets Explanations
https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Data-Sheet-Explanations.pdf
👉 Like what we do? You can support the show through the Tip Jar — it keeps us producing daily analysis and picks!
https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=7EY3A57YHD44J
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise
https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Terry’s Picks
Gulfstream – 02-12-26
Race 1-Female
8 – New Lease On Life – Finished 3rd in debut against similar; Trainer wins 31% with second-time starters; Jockey has strong win rate.
5 – Lisa Connects – Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races using 2nd time Lasix; Drops in class today; Features a top-percentage jockey.
6 – Magic Word – Drops in class today; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Soda – Placed in 3 of 6 recent Gulfstream Park races; Trainer wins 40% of Sprint-Sprint-Route horses; Jockey has a strong win record.
Alternate:
7 – Jenn’s Beliefs
Race 2-Female
2 – Magnetic Beach – Ran 2nd vs similar (on AW) in last race only missing the win by a nose, strong trainer and jockey stats.
7 – Pemberley – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Seeking a Prayer – Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2 races; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Gimme Some Luck – Finished in the money in the last 5 starts, finishing 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race.
Alternate:
5 – White Claw Woman
6 – Wudhooh
$.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9/1,4,7/3,9/1,3,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
4 – Nice Try Riley – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (Feb-06).
7 – Magic Red – Early speed running style helps chances; Can improve while returning to a route; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
1 – Jimbo Bailey – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Can go the distance.
Longshot:
6 – UFO – Ran 3rd vs similar in last race; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
Alternate:
5 – Reproche
Race 4-Female
9 – Five Eyes Onmichel – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest last race speed rating; Likes the distance.
3 – Lady Patrick’s – Won 2 races out of 4 career starts; Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Golden Valley – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today.
Longshot:
4 – Beautiful Bolt – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today.
Alternate:
5 – Smooth Claret
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,8,9/1,3,9,10/4,5,6/4,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
10 – Bolero Bay – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Chicken Dance – Undefeated in 2 career starts; Breeding suggests he will like the grass; Jockey have high win rates.
1 – My Favorite Bird – Finished in the money in the last 6 starts, winning 2 races.
Longshot:
9 – Banker’s Jet – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Laser
Race 6-Female
4 – Prom Queen – Runner-up as the favorite last time; trainer wins 31% with beaten favorites. Holds today’s fastest dirt speed and benefits from a top trainer and jockey duo.
6 – Fletch’s Rockette – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Bullet 3F workout (Feb-07).
5 – San Antonio Sara – Finished 3rd in last race after plenty of trouble; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Squander – Beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar (on Turf) in last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey-Lasix added
Alternate:
2 – Song of Sarah
Race 7
4 – Doctrine – Won his debut race at Gulfstream Park; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Immortalised – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
8 – Bronze Bullet – Placed in all 3 starts with 1 win; bred for turf; drops in class today; high-percentage jockey rides.
Longshot:
5 – Zucchero – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Alakan
3 – Sure to Appeal
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,7,8/1,5,6,8/6,7/5,6,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
5 – Calathea – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Mom’s Martini – 4 wins in last 8 races; fastest dirt speed today; trainer wins 27% after a claim; High % winning jockey.
8 – North End Lady – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Mary Marguerite – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Features a top-percent winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Z Train
7 – Plagne Champagne
Race 9-Female
7 – Spicy Guacamole – Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Amande – Finished in the money in the last 2 races out of 3 career starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Misprint – Finished in the money in 6 races out of the last 7 starts, winning 4 races; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Logistics – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Super Sicily
Bet: $20.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta Box:6/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/1,3,6- $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,6,7
Race 10
6 – Saratoga Flash – Second as last race favorite. Trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; Best speed at today’s distance; Trainer and jockey both have strong win records; Bullet 4F workout (Feb-07).
5 – Bluff – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Kigali – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Alley Oop Johnny – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% Claiming races; Has a high % winning jockey; Bullet 4F workout (Feb-05).
Alternate:
3 – Border War
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 9th Race – #7 – Spicy Guacamole
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2+ Fair
8 – NEW LEASE ON LIFE – 2nd race upside
6 – MAGIC WORD – another 2nd race upside potential
4 – SODA – better pace middle out in last – 3rd up
11 – GOOD BIANCA – going to take a flyer – seen too many of these stand out C ZONES win
$1 Exacta Box: 4,6,8,11
Race 2: 1 Mile Turf – Stalkers. 23% w2w – PP: Rail Strong, 2/3 Weak, 4+ Bonus Outside Better
8 – SEEKING A PRAYER – fairly heavy SIM FAV – highly consistent
9 – GIMME SOME LUCK – out front with the Top TOTAL PACE – 1st on Grass – AW says yes
2 – MAGNETIC BEACH – 3 SP# increases – missed by a nose at this level last out
7 – PEMBERLEY – rerunning the last works – resume says maybe small regression
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,8,9/4,5/3,4,9/1,2,3,10,11
Race 3: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 22% w2w – PP: 8+ By Far the Best
4 – NICE TRY RILEY – even money SIM FAV and +13 Top TOTAL PACE
5 – REPROCHE – YES horse along with the 4 – tough trip last out
1 – JIMBO BAILEY – better ATB in his last and by far best C ZONE – TLRSP# +5
7 – MAGIC RED – drops, Lone E and on the lead – solid C ZONE too
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Outside In
3 – LADY PATRICK’S – strong SIM FAV – best PAR+
9 – FIVE EYES ONMICHEL – TLRSP#+ 5 and still has some upside
4 – BEAUTIFUL BOLT – out front with the best C ZONE – drops- better ATB and Fractions
8 – GOLDEN VALLEY – usually comes off the bench hot
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,3,9/1,2,3,10,11/4,5,6/4,8
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Closers, 26% w2w – PP: Outside In – but rail better than 2/3
3 – CHICKEN DANCE – 3rd race bounce back – better EP and Fractions and drops
2 – JUSTIN SMILES – 3 SP# increases and room for more in 2nd up
11 – RAMSES THE GREAT – SIM FAV – has shown EP and LP – put them together
10 – BOLERO BAY – YES horse with the 1 – like the comment – mild urging in dominant 1st win in first turf try
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,2,10,11
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Stalkers, 2/9 w2w – PP: All 2-7
4 – PROM QUEEN – 2nd race upside and already a YES horse
6 – FLETCH’S ROCKETTE – 2nd race upside too – lone class dropper
5 – SAN ANTONIO SARA – 3rd race bounce back effort – some excellent works
2 – SONG OF SARAH – another with 2nd race upside – trouble at the break in debut
Race 7: 7 ½ Furlongs – Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
8 – BRONZE BULLET – betting FAV in 2 of 3 races – crazy good work prepping
4 – DOCTRINE – 2nd race upside – comfortably past par – Big SIM FAV
9 – CABOURG – better EP and ¼ Fractions and lone dropper
3 – SURE TO APPEAL – tough call over the 7 – 3rd race upside and extra distance helps
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,8,9/1,4,5,6/1,4,6,7/6,8
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,8,9
Race 8: 1 1 1/16 Miles AW – Stalkers, 13% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, Otherwise Outside In
4 – Z TRAIN – too BIG a SIM FAV not to have in picks as a YES – interesting Tyler G here and not on the 1
1 – MARY MARGUERITE – showed some excellent LP in last – has some earlier EP too
5 – CALATHEA – should be better int the 3rd up – but regression risk off big run and 1st time making 3 starts in a row
6 – MOM’S MARTINI – won 4 of 5 on AW and all at the distance
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,5,6
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Better than 2/3
7 – SPICY GUACAMOLE – TLRSP# +6 – two easy wins in a row – better ATB
6 – AMANDE – also better ATB and maybe the most upside in just 4th career race
1 – LOGISTICS – SIM FAV – run back to NOV 15th race at WB and it’s a wrap
4 – WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR – works are great prepping – Lone E Potential
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Closers, 26% w2w – PP: Outside In – but rail better than 2/3
8 – KIGALI – TLRSP# +7 and top TOTAL PACE +5 – Best PAR+ – better EP and Fractions and biggest dropper
6 – SARATOGA FLASH – should be better in the 2nd up
2 – MENDELSSOHNS MARCH – strong LP edge and could be right on the pace here
3 – BORDER WAR – Strong SIM FAV – cannot overlook with 100 speed figure ability
$4 Exacta Key Box: 8/2,3,6
