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Gulfstream Park Picks Live – February 16, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Gulfstream Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Gulfstream Park Picks and Comments

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping

Race 1

3 – Penumbras Maker – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.

2 – Love Appeals – She is a first-time starter, has a high % winning trainer and has several good workouts in a row.

5 – Delahaye – She is a first-time starter, has a high % winning trainer and has two bullet workouts in a row.

Longshot:

4 – La Mazel – She has a high % winning jockey, Lasix is added, and she has a good 4F workout (Feb-05).

Alternate:

8 – Holy Foley

7 – Ready She Is

Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,3,4,5 / 1,6

Bet: – $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #2,3,4,5 – 2nd race #1,6- 3rd race # 3,7- 4th race # 4- 5th race #2,4,9

 

Race 2

6 – Small Reason – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Rhymes Like Dimes – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and does well at today’s distance.

7 – Tone Feelin – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Longshot:

2 – Bobby’s Gift – He has won three races out of the last six races, winning the last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer.

Alternate:

5 – Examiner

Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #1,6- 3rd race # 3,7- 4th race # 4- 5th race #2,4,9

 

Race 3

7 – Tactical Force – He has the highest last race speed rating and a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from AW to Dirt surface.

3 – Last Dream – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and a trainer who wins 20% of the races when running a horse in a maiden claiming race.

1 – Makin Bank– He drops in class today and may improve while trying dirt.

Longshot:

2 – Mr. Cellular – He has a high % winning trainer, can improve with blinkers being added today and has a 4F workout onFeb-09.

Alternate:

5 – El Mic Tiesun

Bet: None

 

Race 4

4 – Opeongo – She has finished in the money in six out of her last eight races, winning four of the races and drops in class today.

5 – She’s Classy – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Dreaming of Audrey – She likes Gulfstream Park and today’s distance.

Longshot:

7 – Six Feet Apart – She can improve at the shorter distance as she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

3 – Fedalia

Bet: None

 

Race 5

2 – Accept the Outcome – She is a first-time starter; breeding suggests she will like the grass and is trained by Chad Brown and ridden by jockey Irad Ortiz.

4 – Galileo’s Jewel – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only race after being well bet in the debut and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (25 10-6-2).

9 – Kayleigh’s Pride – Her breeding suggests she will like the grass and Lasix is added.

Longshot:

8 – Grace Darling – She comes in from Ireland and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

7 – Melinoe

Bet: – $.50 Pick 5 – 5th race 2,4,9 – 6th race #1,2 – 7th race # 6 – 8th race # 2,3,9,11 – 9th race #6

 

Race 6

2 – Board Certified – He was only beaten a 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in his last start and received the highest last race speed rating (tie).

1 – C My Meister – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and switches to a high % jockey.

7- Badbadbobby – He drops in class today, switches to a high % jockey, his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters and blinkers are added today.

Longshot:

3 – Garmento – He has finished in the money in two of his four career races, drops in class today and switches to a high % jockey.

Alternate:

6 – Alexis N Niko

Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race #1,2- 7th race #6 – 8th race # 2,3,9,11 – 9th race #3,6,9

 

Race 7

6 – Economic Hangover – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

8 – Herington Rocket – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Musical Romance – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (26 10-1-3).

Longshot:

7 – Zisisit – She has finished in the money in three out of the last four races, winning one.

Alternate:

3 – Big Bee

Bet: $1.00 DD: 6 / 2,3,9,11 – $10.00 Win # 6

Bet: $.50 Pick 3 – 7th race #6,8 – 8th race # 2,3,9,11 – 9th race #3,6,9

 

Race 8

11 – Linny Kate – She has never been out of the money at Gulfstream Park, running 2nd vs similar in her last two races and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

3 – Laniakea Storm – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

9 – French Franc – She finished in the money in her last three race at Gulfstream Park, winning her last race and has a win at today’s distance.

Longshot:

2 – Downton Tabby – She finished in the money in three of her four career race at Gulfstream Park and her breeding suggests she will like the grass as her Dam has produced 1 Turf winner.

Alternate:

8 – Current Situation

12 – Chica Boom

Bet: $1.00 DD: 3,11/6

 

Race 9

6 – Stanley House – He is a closer who has finished 2nd in both career races at sprint distances and stretches out to a 1-70yrds, drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.

9 – Justin’s Legacy – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his only start and was well bet in debut.

3 – Nate the Great – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his only start, has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (15 7-2-2) and a good 3F workout on Feb-10.

Longshot:

1 – Turf King – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and is trained by Chad Brown who wins 34% of the races when he enters a horse in an All-Weather race.

Alternate:

7 – Clever Thought

8 – Carmie’s Army

Bet: $10.00 Win # 6

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 19% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Close to Fair

3 – PENUMBRAS MAKER – some superior closing numbers in last two, tr Fausto Guitierrez 10/30 2nd Lasix

5 – DELAHAYE – 1st timer and all the works are nice – surprised no Ortiz brother riding

2 – LOVE APPEALS – the other 1st timer, works are OK, but not as good the 5

7 – READY SHE IS – competitive through the first half mile of debut, should be better in race two

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double 2,3,5/1,7

 

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus

7 – TONE FEELIN – TLRSP# and Drops, tr Collin Maragh winner 3/4 second off the claim

1 – RHYMES LIKE DIMES – 4 speed number increases and could be better in classic 3rd after a layoff

6 – SMALL REASON – strong late push in his last and real nice work between races

5 – EXAMINER – tr Aubrey Maragh winner 7/17 Sprint to Route

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,7/2,7/4,5,6,7/2,4,8

 

Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus 

7 – TACTICAL FORCE – has a +7 LP advantage and should not be too far from the pace here

2 – MR. CELLULAR – usually a consistent performer and a strong work since

3 – LAST DREAM – Z pattern in last, better than all the rest

1 – MAKIN BANK – benefits from the 4 scratching and becomes lone E

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/2,3,7/1,2,3,6,7

 

Race 4: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair

4 – OPEONGO – has early wheels, runs well off the bench, works says another good one is coming

7 – SIX FEET APART – tr Jose Delgado winner 29% off the claim vs 21% overall

5 – SHE’S CLASSY – was better ATB in last, AW is the right surface 9/3-3-1, others 16/1-1-7

6 – QUEEN CALYPSO – top EP/LP horse and ran some better fractions last out

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,7/1,4,5,6,7

 

Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 19% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Close to Fair

4 – GALILEO’S JEWEL – well bet in debut, tr Anthony Dutrow winner 4/10 1st Lasix

2 – ACCEPT THE OUTCOME – 1st timer for Chad Brown, this time with Irad

8 – GRACE DARLING – comes from Ireland, looking at the Jan 15th work of 58.4 for 5f on turf is an eye catcher

3 – SEVEN P’S – lone P horse with TLRSP#

Suggested Wagers: $1 Double 2,3,4,8/1,2

 

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: 50/50 – 18% w2w – PP: 1-3 a Little Under Par, 4+ Fair

2 – BOARD CERTIFIED – Tie TLRSP#, very consistent performer, LP+ and top EP/LP

1 – C MY MEISTER – the other to tie for the TLRSP# and drops in class here

7 – BADBADBOBBY – Left Arrow Horse, AW 6/0-2-2, dropping in class here too

3 – GARMENTO – improved through the first half mile in his last race, trying to add to it in 2nd run of a break

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2/6,8/3,6,9,12/1,4,7,9

 

Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: 50/50 – 18% w2w – PP: 1-3 a Little Under Par, 4+ Fair

8 – HERINGTON ROCKET – +7 EP edge, top LP and 0+8

6 – ECONOMIC HANGOVER – TLRSP# as BTN FAV, tr Saffie Joseph, Jr rebounds at 30%

3 – BIG BEE – tr David Fawkes 28% winner turf to AW, top effort was on the tapeta

7 – ZISISIT – benefits from the 4 scratching and could try to follow the 8 all the way around the track

Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,8/3,6,8/3,5,6,7,8

 

Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 26% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair

3 – LANIAKEA STORM – 1 for 1 on grass, gets Irad today, bullet and go work

9 – FRENCH FRANC – tr Elizabet Dobles winner 29% off the claim, GP grass 5/2-2-0

12 – CHICA BOOM – jy Jorge Ruiz rode four of the last with 2 wins, 2nd by a ½ length and OTM by only 2 lengths

6 – KIZZY – expecting a nice bump in performance 2nd off the sidelines

Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta: 3,6,9,12/3,9

 

Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Bias: 50/50 – 10% w2w – PP: Fair

7 – CLEVER THOUGHT – Irad and Pletcher hit a 31% with a positive ROI

4 – FEARLESS SOLDIER – ownership must think highly as this one is Triple Crown Nominated

1 – TURF KING – top Pedigree score in the field , consistent works

9 – JUSTIN’S LEGACY – a lot of issues in debut otherwise might have graduated already.

Suggested Wagers: $1 Exacta: 1,4,7,9/4,7

Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

Gulfstream Pace Worksheet 2-16-23

 

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