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Gulfstream Park Picks Live – Fountain of Youth Stakes – March 4, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream Park on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Tampa Bay Downs

Gulfstream Park Picks and Comments

Charming Charles’ Choices

1. 11,12,10,6
2. 5,1,7,6
3. 11,7,1,5
4. 10,5,9,3
5. 2,9,4,5
6. 3,6,2,10
7. 10,2,9,7
8. 3,6,10,5
9. 7,6,8,11
10. 7,6,9,5
11. 1,3,4,9
12. 3,10,5,6
13. 1,7,2,10
14. 4,7,6,8

Suggested Plays

1. $.50 tri box
6,10,11,12

2. $.50 pick 4
1,5,7/7,11/5,10/2

3. $.50 tri box
1,5,7,11

5. $.50 pick 3
2,9/3,6/2,10

8. $5 ex ice cold 3,6
$3 ex ice cold 3,10

9. $.50 tri
7/1,6,8,9/1,3,5,6,8,9
$10 win 7

10. $.50 pick 5
7/1,3,4,9,10,11/3/1,7,11/4,7

12.$20 win 3

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – Rail at 56 Feet

10 – MEETMEINKINGSTON – been across GP grass 2x with a win and place – worried about outside post

12 – MAMBA ON THREE – been strong at the distance 8/3-1-2 and the misses were not by much

4 – UNDER OATH – has the most LP in a race that could be smoking upfront

1 – FIRECROW – been off for more than a year, was racing in graded stakes before hitting the sidelines

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,10,12/10,12/1,4,10,11,12

 

Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

7 – IMAGE OF LOVE – Irad and Pletcher, but Pletcher underperforms in debuts, bullet and go

4 – STARTERS ORDERS – don’t think Claude McGuaghey puts Tyler G here in the horse isn’t ready

5 – JUST KATHERINE – already proved she can be involved early – like the Feb 25 work

1 – MILLENNIUM PARK – should improve in 2nd career start

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,7/1,4,5,7,8

 

Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 13% w2w – PP: Slight Inside Out Bias – Rail 56 Feet

1 – UP TO THE MARK – big bump in speed number in first on grass – either a peak and regress and a new level, which is it?

12 – SMOKIN’ T – should get a good trip as and EP horse in a field without a bunch of frontrunners

11 – BEUYS – note that Irad gets off this one to ride the 1 – might be a mistake because this one will make a big mid move and has enough late pace to maintain

6 – CANDY TYCOON – Left Arrow price – should be close to the pace but has some late kick too

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,11,12/1,12/1,6,9,11,12

 

Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

5 – SCOTLAND – I don’t recall Bill Mott being the type that trains for bullet works, this horse is doing it on his own – five of them – got a feeling this could be a real good one

10 – ILLUSTRATED – $1.1 million debuter, interesting that Saez rides and not Irad – hmmm?

9 – SUMMONYOURCOURAGE – Instead, Irad rides this Pletcher horse, was better ATB in last and maybe better in 3rd off the break

1 – AMSTRONG – just missed in debut, looking for more in round two

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,9,10/5,10/1,2,5,9,10

 

Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 2/3 Small Discount

9 – DUDE N COLORADO – better from race to race – TLRSP# and +6 EP/LP edge

2 – OK BOOMER – unbeaten in 2 – one from the front and one from the back – a sign of a horse with heart

4 – WEBSLINGER – for sure going to be making noise at the end, might not be enough pace though to max out LP1

1 – BOPPY O – Left Arrow Horse with +8 EP advantage thought the first half mile as a PC horse

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,9/2,4,9/1,2,4,6,9

 

Race 6: 1 3/8 Miles Turf – Just 1 Race – Tactical Speed from 8+

7 – HIGHER TRUTH – along with the 10 has a big LP edge over the rest and should be in touch early

10 – VIRGINIA JOY – four wins and a third in five at the distance – can win from anywhere in the pace

5 – BROADWAY BOOGIE – let’s go big with this one with major speed # bump in first go on Gulfstream grass – another with new form or peak and balloon pops

2 – BESIDE HERSELF – lone E in a field full of mid and back horses, seen it too many times to ignore – won the last three where she carried the lead into the stretch

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,10/5,7,10/2,3,5,7,10

 

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

2 – WHITE ABARRIO – WTH is this horse doing here? GP 5/4-0-0 – suspicious as hell

9 – SEAL BEACH – Feb 6th work 4f in 46? That’s faster than he’s run in some races

7 – COLLABORATE – 1st time off the claim – 28% winner for tr Jose D’Angelo – works since claim are sharp

6 – WEYBURN – won lone GP race with career best effort – been shaky since

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,9/2,7,9/2,5,6,7,9

 

Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 13% w2w – PP: Slight Inside Out Bias – Rail 56 Feet

5 – GOOD GOVERNANCE – TLRSP# and moved down from a G1, at times has brilliant LP – rail at 56 should help LP horses

7 – SOUPER DORMY – won last in first of the bench and resume says expect more in round two

2 – CALIFORNIA FROLIC – tr Armando De La Cerda doesn’t enter many into the graded level – won 3/10 with a +3.62 ROI  – another whose resume says he’ll up his game in 2nd off the bench

1 – ENGLISH BEE – want to rank higher at top EP/LP horse that should get a great set up – but 13/1-2-2 at distance

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/5,7/1,2,3,5,7

 

Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 2/3 Small Discount

7 – CAIRO CONSORT – saw this one run on Holy Bull Day, bad break and still won fairly easily

9 – DANSE MACABRE – can’t overlook the workouts at Palm Meadows

3 – MALLEYMOO – Left Arrow Horse with some late energy too, much better fractions last out at 1 1/16m v 7f

6 – REVALITA – like this one the best of the international invaders

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9/3,7,9/3,4,6,7,9

 

Race 10: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

6 – ENDORSED – is walking up the speed gun ladder, TLRSP# and with the 9, strong LP advantage and EP/LP Combo

7 – CHARGE IT – has a +6 EP edge through the first ½ mile

9 – NITROUS CHANNEL – real steady performer along with 6 has a big LP and EP/LP Edge

5 – OCTANE – been real at GP – 9/4-3-1, 2nd off a layoff with 2 works between

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 6,7,9/6,7/1,5,6,7,9

 

Race 11: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 2/3 Small Discount

4 – WHITE FROST – is just ¾ of a length from 4 of 4 on grass – expecting major bump in 2nd after more than a year in the barn

3 – SPEAK OF THE DEVIL – Breeders’ Cup winner – Group 1 winner in some of France’s bigger races

11 – SWEET DANI GIRL – really consistent performer, has a chance to be out front with a moderate pace

10 – FAST AS FLIGHT – always competitive and 3/3 ITM at GP and 4/5 at the Distance

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,11/1,3,4,10,11

 

Race 12: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

3 – RED CARPET READY – unbeaten in 3 and none have been close

2 – INFINITE DIAMOND – fast work on Feb 27th, has a +8 LP edge and has speed 2/2 at the distance

5 – UNDERVALUED ASSET – well beaten by the 3 last out, but major gains and room for more in 2nd after a layoff

7 – LYNX – lone PC horse, candidate for an excellent trip

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3/2,3,5/2,3,5,7,9

 

Race 13: 1 3/8 Miles Turf – Just 1 Race – Tactical Speed from 8+

1 – HIGHEST HONORS – has the class but can be erratic at times

2 – MASTER PIECE – will be rolling at the end, probably has the most upside in the field

7 – ASTRONAUT – 2 for 2 at the distance with strong pedigree numbers

10 – VALUE ENGINEERING – 13 of 16 ITM on grass, has some versatility and nice fractions last out

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,7/1,2/1,2,6,7,10

 

Race 14: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 15% w2w – PP: Rail & 4-7 Fair, 2/3 Big Penalty, 8+ Big Bonus

7 – MAGE – debuted with a triple digit speed figure – wonder if they are sitting on a monster or a 1 hit wonder

4 – FORTE – hard to argue with 4 win in 5 races including the BC Juvenile in an easy win

8 – ROCKET CAN – watched this guy go wide all the way around the track in the Holy Bull – thought he was done – that was a legit run

6 – BLAZING SEVENS – can’t ignore lone PC in a field like this

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,7/4,7,8/2,4,6,7,8

Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet

Gulfstream Pace Worksheet 3-4-23

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