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Gulfstream Park Picks Live – January 25, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Gulfstream Park Picks and Comments

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s

Race 1

6 – Buc N Beauty – She finished 3rd vs similar in only her start, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a bullet workout on Jan 19th.

5 – Valia – She is a first-time starter, has a high % winning jockey and a bullet 4F workout on Jan-19.

9 – Tinkatwo – She is a first-time starter whose dam has 5 winners from 8 starters and has a high % winning jockey. 

Longshot:

2 – Karen’s Honor – She switches to a high % winning jockey and can improve with Lasix added.

Bet: None

 

Race 2

7 – Gypsy Kitten – He had a disappointing finish in his last race after trouble at the start of the race, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes.

8 – Mundo Mix – He switches to a high% trainer, is ridden by Chantal Sutherland and has a 4F workout on Jan-18.

5 – The Twins Sneakers – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie). 

Longshot:

2 – Fishing for Fun – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race.

Alternate:

3 – Mister J T

1 – Royal Attitude

$.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 5,7,8 – 3rd race # 4, 5, 6, 8 – 4th race #, 7 – 5th race #1, 5, 6, 10

 

Race 3

6 – Live Like Laura – She has an early foot and ran 2nd vs similar in her last race after being bumped and has Lasix added.

8 – Avatal Hero – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has the best AW speed among today’s starters.

4 – Pink Party Pants – She drops in class today and has a good 4F workout on Jan-18. 

Longshot:

5 – Macassa – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and can improve with Lasix being added.

Alternate:

1 – Jazzy Jas 

Bet: None

 

Race 4

7 – Java Buzz – He drops in class today and switches to high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr.

4 – Uncle Armando – He has won three out of four races at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Chess’s Dream – He finished in the money in five out of six starts at Gulfstream Park and he can handle the distance.

Longshot:

8 – Due Vini – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and may repeat.

Alternate:

3 – Jais’s Solitude

5 – Souper Energizer

Bet: $20.00 win #7

 

Race 5

1 – Downton Tabby – She has won two out of three starts at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Kestenna – She closed to finish 3rd in her last race after having trouble at the start and drops in class today.

6 – Hot Bode – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey. 

Longshot:

10 – Mia’s Authority – She finished in the money in her last three races, winning one and likes the distance.

Bet: $20.00 win #1 – $.50 Pick 5 – 5th race #1 – 6th race #3,4,5 – 7th race # 2,3,4 – 8th race # 2,7 – 9th race #1,3,8

 

Race 6

3 – Tiz Romantic – He has finished 2nd in his last two races and can improve at the longer distance.

4 – Man On the Moon –He has finished in the money in 50% of his starts at Gulfstream Park and likes the distance.

5- Tone Feelin – He finished in the money in four out of the last six races, winning two of the starts. 

Longshot:

1 – Courtly Manner – He drops in class today, tries turf for the first time which may be just what he needs.

Bet: None

 

Race 7 

2 – Sals Dream Girl– She finished in the money in her last three races, winning one, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey

4 – Charmed Way – She can either lead or come from off the pace to win a race and has a good 5F workout on Jan-18.

3 – Union Dolly – She finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning two of the starts. 

Longshot: 

7 – Zisisit – She came into Gulfstream Park from Woodbine and finished a nice 2nd only losing by a nose.

 

Bet: – $.50 Pick 3: 7th race # 2,3,4 – 8th race # 2,7 – 9th race #1,3,8 

Alternate:

13 – Economic Hangover

1 – Lay the Groundwork

 

Race 8

7 – Hihellohowareyou – She won her debut race easily as the heavily bet favorite, has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and has a bullet 3F workout on Jan-18.

2 – Munnys Gold – She won her debut race at Monmouth Park and has been off for 7-months, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and is trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr.

1 – Jolly Miss Jill – She won her debut race at Gulfstream Park and Lasix is added. 

Longshot:

4 – Defended – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and should improve while returning to dirt.

Alternate:

3 – Esoteric

5 – Extra Indy 

Bet: None

 

Race 9

3 – Shes the North – She has won two races in a row, now going for a hat trick and has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Wicked Mercury – She won two races in a row and then finished 2nd only losing by a neck after being bumped.

8 – Dontmesswithtess – She finished in the money in six out of the last seven races, winning three of the starts and has the highest last race speed rating. 

Longshot:

6 – Emirates Affair – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

9 – Chica Boom

 

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 49 w2w – PP: Fair

5 – VALIA – bullet and go first timer

6 – BUC N BEAUTY – TLRSP# in debut, gets 1st Lasix and has a nice work since

4 – HIDDEN ROAD – consistent effort in debut, any improvement with Lasix in race 2 could be enough

1 – ERIN’S MOMENT – had some EP in debut, gets Lasix and has 3 solid works between races

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,4,5,6/5,6

 

Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Little Bonus

7 – GYPSY KITTEN – lone P horse, dropping multiple classes – going to run back to debut

8 – MUNDO MIX – 1st off the claim, 28% tr Jose Delgado, better ATB in last and bullet since

4 – NATURE BOY – TLRSP# and drops – getting Irad helps

5 – THE TWINS SNEAKERS

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 3,4,5,7,8/,7,8

 

Race 3: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Tactical Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair

8 – AVATAL HERO – better times last out, big bump in career race 2, similar bump in 2nd off the bench, 2nd Lasix 33% for tr Jose D’Angelo

6 – LIVE LIKE LAURA – been close on both starts, on the lead just to give it up late – Lasix should help here

4 – PINK PARTY PANTS – crazy fast fractions in 2nd start, drops in class, could be enough

2 – LABOR OF LOVE – better works of the 2 first timers

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,4,6,8/6,8

 

Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 18% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias, 4+ the Same

4 – UNCLE ARMANDO – GP Turf, 4/3-0, Saffie Jospeh is owner and trainer

7 – JAVA BUZZ – comes down from New York, bunch of good Palm Meadows turf works getting prepped

1 – CHESS’S DREAM – another that likes the GP Grass – 6/2-2-1

3 – JAIS’S SOLITUDE – sim says you have to have this one, best GP Turf # in this group

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,3,4,7,8/4,7

 

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Bias: 50/50 – 11% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair

1 – DOWNTON TABBY – winner of 2/3 starts, TLRSP# by a decent margin

6 – HOT BODE – getting incrementally better in last three efforts, BTN FAV last out with better times at 1 1/16 m v 1m70y – tr Antonio Sano 27% next out

5 – KESTENNA – just missed at this level last out, tr Kent Sweezey wins at 18% in claiming vs 12%

3 – CAPRIDREY – should be closing at the end

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,3,4,5,6/1,6

 

Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Little Bonus

3 – TIZ ROMANTIC – 32% first off the claim for tr David Carlos, third start after a layoff for the horse  and weight break

5 – TONE FEELIN – sim says you have to have him, so here he is

4 – MAN ON THE MOON – usually runs OK off the break and has some decent works, lone E with scratches

2 – THE BIG GREY – last race was better than it look, especially early

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,3,4,5/3,4

 

Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 29% w2w – Little Bonus Rail and 4-7, 2/3 and 8+ Discount

1 – LAY THE GROUNDWORK – TLRSP#, 50/50 record on 2nd off the sidelines improvement

2 – SALS DREAM GIRL – just missed in last vs top pick, another the was better ATB, especially late

4 – CHARMED WAY – dropping in class for the 2nd race after a layoff – tr Jane Cibelli 24%

10 – PIDER BELLE – has a +6 LP advantage, nice bullet on Jan 11th

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,4,6,10/1,2

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias

2 – MUNNYS GOLD – debuted with a triple digit speed figure, something you see from Stakes caliber horses

7 – HIHELLOHOWAREYOU – won her debut with ease as the 90 cent favorite – swift works since

1 – JOLLY MISS JILL – went w2w on her debut and pulled away late

4 – DEFENDED – should be part of the early pace, can she hang on?

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,2,3,4,7/2,7

 

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 18% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias, 4+ the Same

3 – SHES THE NORTH – won two in a row and typically gets better in race 2 after a layoff

1 – WICKED MERCURY – a neck away from winning three in a row – potentially better in third off the break

6 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – could be upfront by itself as lone EP

8 – DONTMESSWITHTESS – TLRSP# and tr David Carlos wins at 24% in claimers vs 19%

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,3,6,8,9/1,3


Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle

Gulfstream Pace Worksheet 1-25-23

 

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