Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Gulfstream Park Selections and Analysis
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
7 – Go On Mo– He is a first time starter and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Make Suggestions – He is a first-time starter, whose breeding suggests he will like the grass and today’s sprint distance and has a bullet 4F workout on Jan-16.
10 – Goodlookinrags – He finished 7th in his last race but has an excuse as he was bumped at the start and has a good workout 4f on 15-Jan.
Longshot:
9 – Cooler King – He had a lot of trouble in his last race which affected his finish but still earned the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
8 – Cumberland
Bet: $1.00 DD – 3,7,8,9,10 / 2,7
Race 2
7 – Breezy Connection – She has the highest last race speed rating, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Show Me Love – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
5 – Amore Moon – She has finished in the money in 50% of her starts at Gulfstream Park.
Longshot:
1 – Valiant Miss – She has a lot of early speed so the cut back in distance well probably help.
Alternate:
6 – Delta Red
3 – Pomona’s Bullet
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race #2,7- 3rd race # 2,3,6,8- 4th race # 1,4,6,7- 5th race #2,8,9
Race 3
6 – Shes a Gift – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last start, switches to a high % winning jockey and has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Provocativa– She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Machtenhaironfire – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Jan-18.
Longshot:
8 – Disco Queen – She took a trip to Tampa Bay Downs and won a race and now returns to Gulfstream Park to try and repeat that win.
Alternate:
5 – Sophia’s Storm
4 – She’s Outta Here
Bet: None
Race 4
4 – Kekere – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Bourbon Therapy – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Classy Boy – He has bullet workout on Jan 20th, has a high % winning trainer and the shorter distance and Lasix added should help.
Longshot:
7 – Gerard – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Ti Sento
Bet: $.50 Pick 3 – 4th race # 1,4,6,7- 5th race #1,2,8 – 6th race # 1
Race 5
8 – Glorious Tribute – He has finished in the money in his last five races, winning the last one and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Caminero – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Roger McQueen – Figures to improve while returning to Dirt and drops in class today ñ.
Longshot:
1 – Hey Porter – He finished 8th in his last race after having trouble during the race, drops in class today and should improve while returning to dirt.
Bet: None
Race 6
1 – Rose E Holiday – She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning one and switches to a high %winning jockey.
4 – More Glory –She has won three races in a row; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – It Can – She switches to a high % winning jockey and can improve with Lasix & Blinkers being added.
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race #1 – 7th race # 3,4,9 – 8th race # 3,6,7 – 9th race #1,5,7,8,10,11
Race 7
9 – White Frost – She has finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts, winning three, drops in class today and Lasix is added.
3 – Paris Peacock – She came in from Europe and finished 6th in her last race after leading for about a mile and with the shorter distance may last to the finish line and drops in class today.
4 – Bramble Bay – She Switches to a high % winning jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Talbeyah – She drops in class today and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Bet: None
Alternate:
13 – Fast as Flight
Race 8
7 – Clay Soldier – She won two out of three of her career races, finishing 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today and has a good 3F workout on Jan-21).
3 – Hoax – She finished 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Alternate Rock – She has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Jan-19.
Longshot:
2 – Oh Darlin – She has an early foot so her early speed running style helps chances and the shorter distance should help.
Alternate:
5 – My Lady James
1 – Wilma Mankiller
Bet: $15.00 Win # 7
Race 9
1 – Apple Lover – She ran 2nd in her debut race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Storm – She has finished in the money in both of her career races at Gulfstream Park, finishing 3rd (on Dirt) in last race and can improve with Lasix added.
11 – Take It South – She is a closer finishing 2nd in her last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – R Rose’ All Day – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and this trainer/jockey combo in last 14 days has won three out of three starts.
Alternate:
5 – Naa Dudette
8 – Provoke Me
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 8/16 w2w – 4-7 Under Par – all the rest Better than Par
7 – GO ON MO – one thing you know for sure in this game, a Wesley Ward 1st timer is going to ready and fast
3 – MAKE SUGGESTIONS – bullet and go first timer for Pletcher
4 – BEN’S HERO – has steady and decent works getting ready to star his career
9 – COOLER KING –
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7/3,4,7/3,4,7,9,10
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Slight Inside 3 Bias
7 – BREEZY CONNECTION – on paper, it’s either this one or the 5
5 – AMORE MOON – see above
2 – SHOW ME LOVE – 3rd after a layoff was the best in the last 3 race cycle – nice strong LP #s in last
3 – POMONA’S BULLET – workouts on Dec 2 and 17 offer some hope she has some giddy up and go
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,7/2,3,4,6/1,3,5,6/2,3,8
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 25% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
3 – PROVOCATIVA -tr Rohan Crichton winner 22% going rout to sprint, quicker fractions in last at 1m v 6f in previous and 3rd off the break
6 – SHES A GIFT – just missed at this level last out, TLRSP#, peak#, but didn’t regress much in the next race after previous peak
2 – MACHTENHAIRONFIRE – dropping in class and has a strong work between races
4 – SHE’S OUTTA HERE – if we’ve learned anything from the FTX sheets, you have to have the simulated favorite
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,6/3,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Tactical Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
3 – GOLDEN TALENT – TLRSP#, just needs to run back one race, would be good enough
6 – CLASSY BOY – could be better in 2nd off the sidelines, bullet work between races, gets Lasix
5 – TI SENTO – trainer Jack Sisterson winner 6/14 1st time claiming
1 – BOURBON THERAPY – trainer Michael Maker wins at 24% dropping multiple classes
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,6/3,6/1,3,5,6,7
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 25% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
2 – CAMINERO – TLRSP# and Drops in class, distance 6/2-1-2, some better times last out
8 – GLORIOUS TRIBUTE – much better fractions last out – hasn’t run on dirt yet
3 – ROGER MCQUEEN – TR Larry Rivelli wins at 30% with shipper and 34% 3rd off a layoff
7 – HIGH YIELD KITTEN – down in class with some late pace
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Box: 2,3,8
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Little Bonus
1 – ROSE E HOLIDAY –potentially better in the 2nd start after a layoff
5 – IT CAN – Could be speed horse in a short field
4 – MORE GLORY – Irad in a short field, should get a good trip
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick Four: 1,5/3,7,9/3,6,7/3,7,9
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 29% w2w – Little Bonus Rail and 4-7, 2/3 and 8+ Discount
9 – WHITE FROST – if she’s ready after year off, probably the best horse in the field
7 – MISS DELICIOUS – a head away from winning three in a row
3 – PARIS PEACOCK – turns into lone E with all of the scratches
5 – TALBEYAH – drops from g3 and faces a lot lighter here
Race 8: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Tactical Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2+ Fair
7 – CLAY SOLDIER – top EP/LP combo in competitive field
3 – HOAX – was better through the middle and end of her last race – Todd Pletcher hits at 29% 2nd Lasix
6 – ALTERNATE ROCK – TLRSP# with some nice works since
5 – MY LADY JAMES – could be lone E with weight break and 1st Lasix
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 29% w2w – Little Bonus Rail and 4-7, 2/3 and 8+ Discount
7 – STORM – top EP/LP combo, +7 at 2f, +14 at 4f, in a competitive field and likely to be better in R2 off the sidelines
9 – EVIE DOES IT – very consistent performer should be closing last and Lasix could help endurance
3 – PLANET FROLIC – interesting that Jose gets off the 1 to ride here
10 – R ROSE’ ALL DAY – TLRSP# and drops in class
Gulfstream Park Way to the Winner’s Circle Worksheet