Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Louisiana Downs
Gulfstream Park Picks and Picks
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – My Man Flint – He finished in the money in five out of the last five starts, winning two and running 2nd (on AW) in his last race.
4 – Souper Energizer – He finished in the money in five out of eight starts at Gulfstream Park, winning one and has done well on the turf in the past.
2 – Jack the Cat – He won his last race on the turf at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Selfmade – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a trainer / jockey combo who in the last 14 days has won two out of three races.
Alternate:
2 – Jack the Cat
5 – Digital Software
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #1,2,4,7 – 2nd race # 2,3,6 – 3rd race # 3,4,5- 4th race #9 – 5th #6
Race 2
2 – Chief Rocka – He drops in class today, has a high % jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Bobby’s Candy – He finished 3rd vs tougher (on AW) in his last race and drops in class today.
6 – Keyser – He can improve while trying dirt and the shorter distance offers hope for improvement.
Longshot:
7 – Antillean – He finished in the money in two out of three starts at Gulfstream Park and should improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
5 – First Team
1 – Capt Complicated
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 2,3,6 – 3rd race # 3,4,5- 4th race #9 – 5th #6,8
Race 3
5 – Classy Boy – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, and his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Smart Coverage – He finished in 7th after steading into the turn, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Kekere – He won a race at Gulfstream Park in January and has a high % jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Housebuilder – He drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 40% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
Alternate:
8 – Mr Murgo
Bet: None
Race 4
9- Pouncival – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Hello Jack – He has won two races in a row and now going for a hat trick and switches to high % winning trainer.
2 – McMoney – He ran 2nd vs similar (on AW) in last race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Stubborn Streak – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
5 – Big John
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 4th race #9 – 5th race # 6,8 – 6th race # 2,4,5 – 7th race #1,2,5 – 8th #2,6,7,9
Race 5
6 – Midnight Bella – She won three out of her last four races at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Rosebud’s Hope – She finished in the money in 72% of the races during her career, winning 28% of the races.
2 – Social Engagement – She finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in her last race and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
1 – Passion Plus – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
4 – Perhaps Tonight
3 – Wicked Mercury
5th race # 6,8 – 6th race # 2,4,5 – 7th race #1,2,5 – 8th #2,6,7,9
Race 6
4 – Chasing Joy – She finished in the money in 66% of the races at Gulfstream Park, winning 33% of the races.
5 – Dreaming of Audrey – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park, has a high % winning jockey, and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
2 – Island Magic – She drops in class today and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Fedalia – He was beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in her last start and has a good 3F workout on Mar-08.
Alternate:
6 – She’s Classy
9 – It Can
Bet: None
Race 7
2 – Grand David – He drops in class today and switches to a high % jockey.
5 – Ever Dangerous – He has a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from turf to AW surface.
1 – Mannix – He has won one race out of two starts at Gulfstream Park and drops in class today.
Longshot:
7 – Brooklyn Strong – He finished in 3rd in four out of his last five races and has a trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in race.
Alternate:
8 – Glynn County
6 – Carrothers
Bet: None
Race 8
7 – Miss Sakamoto – She finished in the money in six out of six career starts, winning one and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – French Kissing – She switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races with a horse who has their 1st start with that trainer.
6 – Talkin Tipsy – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Peach Cobbler – She has won her last three races, the last one at Gulfstream Park.
Alternate:
8 – Daisy Bee
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 14% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ Fairish
1 – MY MAN FLINT – right distance 3/2-1-0, TLRSP# and rides hot rail
7 – SELFMADE – won two of three on Gulfstream grass, upped speed number 3 in a row
4 – SOUPER ENERGIZER – should get good trip as lone P, does his best when forwardly placed
8 – TAPSASIONAL – another that does best work on the lead and should be there today
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 3: 1,2,4,7,8/2,3/3,7
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
2 – CHIEF ROCKA – could be better in 3rd off the layoff, two works between races
3 – BOBBY’S CANDY – consistent start to finish runner and performer
5 – FIRST TEAM – has an occasional pop in output, if it happens here, could win
6 – KEYSER – usually well bet, maybe one of these days he’ll live up to it in first om dirt, a reason for hope
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/3,7/3,9/2,4,5,8
Race 3: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Slight Rail Discount
7 – HOUSEBUILDER – tr William Tharrenos winner 10/25 down 2+ classes, second off a layoff, lone P
3 – SMART COVERAGE – Irad and Saffie Joseph Jr winner 6/11 of together
5 – CLASSY BOY – TLRSP#, maintenance work between races
2 – MAJESTIC PHAROAH – tough call over the 1, but has EP and gets first Lasix, which should help hold speed longer
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick Trifecta: 3,7/3,5,7/1,2,3,5,7
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
9 – POUNCIVAL – TLRSP# in 14 length win as 6/5 favorite, a bunch of works since
3 – HELLO JACK – won two in a row, 3rd off the break, 1st off the claim for tr Jose D’Angelo winner 27%
5 – BIG JOHN – most LP and should be close to the pace, top EP/LP combo
2 – MCMONEY – 3rd off the layoff, should be close to the last effort, which should make him competitive
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,9/3,5,9/1,2,3,5,9
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
6 – MIDNIGHT BELLA – good form, consistent performer, Distance 9/4-0-1, 4 wins in 21 at other distances
2 – SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT – flips to Irad today, another that performs at a consistent level
8 – ROSEBUD’S HOPE – drops in class and has the most upside in the group
4 – PERHAPS TONIGHT – 100% ITM at 1 mile on Turf 5/2-2-1, 3rd off the bench
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,6,8/4,5/1,3,5,6/5,7,9
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Little Bonus
4 – CHASING JOY – should be close to the front, last was better than it looks, final time wins here
5 – DREAMING OF AUDREY – most consistent AW performer, should be closing in the end in a field where most have similar EP
2 – ISLAND MAGIC – a little better late in her last, drop in class could help
8 – FRANKLY MY DEAR – TLRSP# and drops in class with top LP and should not be far from the pace
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/2,4,5/2,4,5,6,8
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: 50/50 – 11% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
6 – CARROTHERS – best races definitely on AW, moving up in class here
1 – MANNIX – some good works getting ready for first off the bench, usually runs ok fresh
3 – WIN FOR THE MONEY – let’s take a price with a 10 point EP/LP edge
5 – EVER DANGEROUS – probably the most talented horse in the field, question is first AW – tr George Weaver winner of 3/10 on the surface switch
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 3/2,5,7,8,9
Suggested Wagers: $1 Double: 1,3,5,6,8/5
Race 8: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Discount 4-7
7 – MISS SAKAMOTO – never off the board, resume says 2nd off the bench will be better than first, but is a money burner as BTN FAV 3 of 4 times she was the public’s choice
9 – FRENCH KISSING – lightly raced, Irad here, Feb 20th work of 3f in 35.3 is quick
5 – GUNESH – Top Pedigree # and the Feb 25th work was sharp, 3/103 at 4f, has some EP and is cutting back in distance
2 – PEACH COBBLER – solid pedigree for the distance and surface, should be close to the pace
Suggested Wagers: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,9/7,9/2,5,7,8,9
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