Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream Park on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turfway Park
Gulfstream Park Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
8 – Victoria’s Chief – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Heathguard – He is a closer who finished 3rd in his only start just missing by a neck and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Aaron – He finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in his only start, but the breeding suggests he will like the grass as his Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and 1 Turf winner and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-09.
Longshot:
3 – Fortheloveofart – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and the longer distance may help.
Alternate:
4 – Ensign Skip
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #5,7,8 – 2nd race # 2,3,6 – 3rd race # 5,8,10 – 4th race #4,6 – 5th #9
Race 2
6 – Monforte – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Adios Asher – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a trainer who wins 36% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
2 – Quite Ready – He switches to a high % winning jockey, can improve while returning to a sprint, his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a bullet 3F workout on Mar-11.
Longshot:
5 – Toretto – He was beaten by only 2 – lengths vs similar in his last start and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Big and Classy
1 – Forty Flash
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 2,3,6 – 3rd race # 5,8,10 – 4th race #4,6 – 5th #9
Race 3
8 – Macassa – She finished 4th in her last race but has an excused after breaking out at the start and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Good Talk – He drops in class today and can improve at the shorter distance.
10 – Kindness Is Free – She has Junior Alvarado in the irons and blinkers are added.
Longshot:
4 – Marthamaywhovier – She finished in the money in three out of seven starts.
Alternate:
7 – Interesting Gem
Bet: $1.00 DD: 5,8,10/ 4,5,6
Race 4
6- Picking Up Pennies – He won three races in a row at Gulfstream Park and then had a disappointing finish in his last race after being bumped, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Collaborate – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Yes I’m a Beast – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Living Water – He has finished in the money in six out of ten starts at Gulfstream Park, winning three starts and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
1 – Doc Amster
Bet: None
Race 5
9 – Meetmeatthebeach – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, has a high % winning jockey and has the best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Our Fortune Cookie – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start and has a trainer who wins 23% of the races in All Weather races.
1 – Face the Music – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 7 starters and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
8 – Forever Uncaptured – The added distance of today’s race will benefit her, and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
7 – Starship Sunrise
11 – Krabi
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 5th race #9 – 6th race # 1,4,5 – 7th race # 1,7,8 – 8th race #5 – 9th #1,3,4,6,10
Bet: $8.00 Win #9
Race 6
1 – Calibrator – He was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs tougher in his last start, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
5 – Border Town – He likes the turf finishing in the money in 53% of his starts and wins 18% of the starts.
4 – Light Fury – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Bob Marco – He finished in the money in both of his starts at Gulfstream Park, winning one of the starts.
Alternate:
8 – Call Curt
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 6th race # 1,4,5 – 7th race # 1,7,8 – 8th race #5 – 9th #1,3,4,6,10
Race 7
7 – Accede – She is a first-time starter, has a Sire who wins 16% of the races with 1st time Starters, the Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters and 1 stakes winner and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
8 – She’s Awesome – She switches to a high % winning jockey, has the highest last race speed rating and can improve while returning to dirt.
1 – Dekanter – She is a first-time starter, whose Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
3 – Cindylouwho – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race and her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
4 – Snow Princess
6 – Etna’s Napper
Bet: None
Race 8
5 – Ticking – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park, earned the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Gold Magic – He won his debut race at Gulfstream Park and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg winning speed.
7 – Great Navigator –He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race at Gulfstream Park and drops in class today.
Longshot:
4 – Bank Frenzy – He has finished in the money in two out of three starts during his career, winning on start and high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
Bet: $1.00 DD: 5/ 1,10
Race 9
10 – Preliminary – She is a first-time starter, breeding suggests she will like the grass, is bred for the route distance and has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (26 9-4-4).
1 – Make the Boys Wink – She has high % winning jockey Tyler Gaffalione in the irons and a good 5F workout (Mar-05).
4 – Milieu – She has a high % winning trainer whose trainer wins 22% of the races the 2nd time the trainer uses Lasix, and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Conseillante – She finished 7th in her debut race but was bumped during the race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Red Roulette
5 – Fancy
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – AARON – Was decently bet in Belmont debut, first Lasix, top pedigree and nice works getting ready, interesting that Irad is not riding for Pletcher
8 – VICTORIA’S CHIEF – probably going to be the betting favorite, tie TLRSP# but slower fractions at 7 ½ furlongs vs 1 1/16 miles
3 – FORTHELOVEOFART – closed and ran a little green in last, an OK work since last, maybe better in 3rd off the break
4 – ENSIGN SKIP – should be the pacesetter, nice work on Feb 16th – 4f in 47.2 on Palm Meadow turf
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,8/3,7,8/3,4,5,7,8
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Little Bonus
2 – QUITE READY – some early speed, cutting back from routes, distance 7/2-2-1 all on GP AW – but the March 11 work, 3f in 35 is fast 1/39 – Irad is going to get this one
3 – ADIOS ASHER – distance 6/2-1-2, first off the claim for tr Cheryl Winebaugh 26% vs 17% overall
6 – MONFORTE – been off for almost 2 years – if he breaks sharply, he’s got a chance, but likely to be rusty
7 – BRIT’S CANDYMAN – the two in AW were solid, first gelded, let’s see what happens
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2/4,5,6,8/4,5/1,2,9,11
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Little Bonus
5 – GOOD TALK – MSW dropper, been off about a year and a half, a lot of nice works and could be lone E
8 – MACASSA – a little better from race to race since debut, maintenance work between races
6 – MURDER HORNET – looks horrible on paper, but the numbers are #1 for EP/LP Combo
4 – MARTHAMAYWHOVIER – distance and AW 5/0-2-1
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,6,8/5,8/4,5,6,8,10
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias
5 – YES I’M A BEAST – should be part of the early pace and has +6 EP/LP Edge
4 – COLLABORATE – TLRSP# and drops in class and possibly better in 2nd off the bench
6 – PICKING UP PENNIES – distance 7/3-3-0, usually runs well fresh off the bench like today
2 – LIVING WATER – another with some early pace, just a notch below some of the other frontrunners
Suggested Wager: $1 Trifecta Box: 4,5,6
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 26% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Little Bonus
9 – MEETMEATTHEBEACH – just missed in debut, was decently bet, would have liked to see a work between
1 – FACE THE MUSIC – really like the Feb 13 & 19th works
11 – KRABI – nice works and tr Jose D’Angelo wins debuts at 20%
2 – HITS DIFFERENT – another with nice works, like the Jan 29 work
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,9,11/1,9/1,2,6,9,11
Race 6: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
1 – CALIBRATOR – could have too big of an EP edge to overcome, +11 at 2f and +19 at 4f
4 – LIGHT FURY – 3rd after a layoff and drops following 2/4 pace improvements
8 – CALL CURT – top EP/LP combo and flip to Tyler G tells me tr Antonio Sano believes his horse is ready
6 – BOB MARCO – tough call over the 5, but is a neck from winning both of his Gulfstream grass goes
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: ½,4,7/2,5,7/1,3,4,10
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Bias
Going with all first timers based on my rankings of their works
7 – ACCEDE – Chad Brown/ Irad and good works
2 – MAERDAMA – like the Jan 27th work 4f in 48.3
4 – SNOW PRINCESS – Dec 29 3f work of 36.1 says has some EP
9 – PORTAGE – Jan 29 work of 48.3 for 4f – might be better on turf though – maybe circle this one for its turf debut
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,7/2,7/2,4,7,8,9
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
5 – TICKING – TLRSP# with explosive LP, speed # was well above the rest, needs to regress or the other jump
2 – GOLD MAGIC – won his debut with ease with a consistent effort start to finish and good fractions
7 – GREAT NAVIGATOR – finished a well bet 2nd in a Grade 2 back in July – a lot of good works getting ready
6 -STREET SWAGG – was well bet in both races, gets 1st Lasix and has a bullet and go work
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/2,5/2,4,5,6,7
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
4 – MILIEU – versatile running styles – like the March 12 the bullet and go work – 4f in 48.4
10 – PRELIMINARY – another Brown/Irad first timer with strong turf breeding
1- MAKE THE BOYS WINK – should be closing and has 4 good works since her last
3 – RED ROULETTE – another with strong breeding making debut with OK works
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,10/1,4,10/1,3,4,5,7,10
Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
