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Gulfstream Park Picks Live – March 23, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Gulfstream Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Remington Park

Gulfstream Park Picks and Plays

Charming Charles’ Choices

1. 5,7,11,1
2. 8,1,5,4
3. 7,6,1,4
4. 7,5,1,6
5. 4,9,6,5
6. 6,3,8,2
7. 2,8,7,4
8. 7,6,5,1
9. 7,6,8,1

Plays

1st $.50 Pick 5
1,3,5,7,11/1,8/7/1,5,7/4,6,9

3rd $.50 pick 3
7/5,7/4,5,6,7,9

6th $.50 Pick 4
2,3,6,7,8/2/7/1,6,7,8

7th $20 2
8th $20 7

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 23% w2w – PP: Slight 1-3 Discount, 4+ Slight Bump

3 – CUMBERLAND FALLS – MSW dropper with TLRSP# and like the March 5th work on Palm Meadow turf 4f in 47 flat

7 – RANSOM STYLE – improved a little in her second career start – going long for the first time, switching to Irad

10 – ANCIENT RELIC – improved from race to race since her debut, could continue up the ladder in the classic third start after a layoff

1 – ARMONIA – really hasn’t had a good trip in either of her races, but been close at the end of both, a clean race and that late juice could get the job done.

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,10/1,3,7,10,11/3,7,10

 

Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: 50/50 – 17% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Discount, 4+ a Little BonusNone of these horses stand above any of the others, you have to play away from the favorite

8 – PARADISE DRIVE – if he can run back two races, would be good enough to win

5 – HEART BOY – last race wasn’t as bad as it looks on paper, has the most consistent record

3 – JACK FLASH – most lightly raced horse in the field, could have some upside, been getting off to slow start, 3f work on March 19th hints that they’ll try to get him out faster

1 – NETWORKING – ok – we’ll take Irad and the favorite

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,8/1,3,5,7,8/3,5,8

 

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3, 4+ Close to Par

7 – CONCRETE GLORY – faster fractions at 7f than 6f and moves back to 6f  – boost with the 3 scratching

1 – PROVERB – 1st off the claim for tr Saffie Jospeh Jr 30%, record says 2nd off the bench should be better

6 – CARAMEL CHIP – couldn’t beat the 7 in the past two starts, did get closer in 7f than 6f – maybe flip to Irad makes up the difference

5 – AEQUOR – numbers are the same as the 4, why not take 20-1 instead of 6-1

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 1/4,5,6,7

 

Race 4: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount – 2+ Fair

6 – OPEONGO – tr Scooter Davis is 0-5 at GP so far, but winning at 31% in 59 races, horses is stepping up in class but should be close to the front from the start

1 – TEMPORA – probably the most consistent on AW, all 4 races on synthetic would likely be good enough, nice work between races.

5 – ADIOS BABE – other horses might actually be better, but you have to take the lone closer somewhere

7 – ULIKEAPPLES – significant drop in price in second off the break and flips to Irad

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,6/1,4,5,6/1,5,6

 

Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 14% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2+ Fair

5 – RECONNECTING – difficult trip last out, bumped, clipped heels, wide around the turns and still won – the numbers really don’t reflect how well she ran

7 – TAPPLE CIDER – limited resume says will be better in her third start after a layoff

9 – LINN PIER – resume doesn’t reflect her success on turf, no more than 1 ½ lengths from winning the last 4 races of 7 ½ furlongs

6 – SISTER NELL – was better ATB in her last and could be better in the classic third start off the bench

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 3: 5/3,6,7,8/2,4,6,7,8

 

Race 6: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount – 2+ Fair

6 – PAPA KATZ – close, close, close 6/0-4-1, but not 100% AW is the right surface

3 – CAN’T BE BROKEN – lone PC horse – a professional hanger, 2nd or 3rd and usually not by much in 7 of last 12, TLRSP# and drops in class

7 – TOYI – explosive EP#s through the first half mile of his last race and then faded, cuts back from 7 1/2f on the turf to 5f AW here and has a decent 3f work between races, going to pop out of the gates again, can he hold on.

8 – BLUEY – maybe a crazy flyer, dropping in class, debut rewind might win here, first off the break and coming off one of his best works

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,6,7/2,8/3,5,7/7,8,11

 

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

8 – LOOKING FOR HOPE – won her debut with ease, struggled staying on in next two, returns after a two-month break with 1st Lasix and some strong works

2 – ATTHECROSSROADS – just needs to run back to its pervious two starts, tired badly late in last, but was 7th race without a break, refreshed after a rest

7 – FORCES SWEETHEART – debut would be good enough here, 1st Lasix, works Blah, but first Lasix with early speed

4 – BON DIA – really tough call over the 6, but debut was strong, well bet, good works since, but TB shipper

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7,8/2,4,6,7,8/2,7,8

 

Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: 50/50 – 17% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Discount, 4+ a Little Bonus

7 – JAZZY T – distance on AW 14/6-6-1 – tie TLRSP# and could be better in 2nd off the bench

3 – SANURA – been off for more than a year, bullet and go work on Palm Meadows turf

5 – LUCKY PERIDOT – flipping from turf to AW – 3/2-0-0, winner 2 of 2 at the distance

6 – LAY THE GROUNDWORK – won both of her races on AW and upgrades to Irad

Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3,7/4,7,8,11

 

Race 9: 7 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers/Closers – 18% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Edge, 4+ Penalty

7 – RED’S REVENGE – flips from Jose to Irad, wonder how that conversation went?  Chris P angle

11 – VICTORY LINE – one of the three class droppers in here, difficult trip – the horse was wired and wide – would have liked to see our friend Kent Sweezey add blinkers or something to calm this guy down

8 – GIVEN TO FLY – tr Christophe Clement with a well-bred grass horse, last work was good for this 1st timer, interesting that it’s a $160k horse in a 35k claimer

4 – IMPOSTER SYNDROME – TLRSP#, another with the Chris P angle, top Pedigree number, but moving up in class

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,7,11/4,6,7,8,11/7,8,11

Gulfstream Pace Worksheet 3-23-2023

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