Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Gulfstream Park Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Gulfstream Park – 1-16-2025
Race 1 -Female
7 – Striver – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the starts in a horse’s 2nd grass race with this trainer, she has a high % winning jockey and Lasix is added.
6 – Starship Impulsive – She finished 4th in her debut race, she switches to a high % winning jockey, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added.
2 – Bunratty Manor – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Barbara Joan – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Jan-08.
Alternate:
4 – Cdakhat
Race 2 -Female
1 – Down in the Bayou – She finished 3rd in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Bonmati – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the starts in claiming races and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Spicy Guacamole – She has finished in the money in three out of her last four races winning one of the starts, drops in class today, her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Oya Thunder – She drops in class today, she has the has the highest last race speed rating and her best AW speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
5 – Lady O’Brien
$.50 Pick 4: ,1,2,4,7/1,3,6,7/5,7/6,7,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
6 – One Special Act – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a trainer who wins 18% of the sprint races that he has a horse running in.
1 – His Choice – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and the rail post is winning at a 23% clip.
3 – Sonny’s Goldenlady – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Burn It All – She has a high % winning jockey and blinkers are added today.
Alternate:
4 – Fashionable Kitty
Race 4
7 – Zio Lorenzo – He ran 6th vs tougher in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he drops in class today, best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Warlord Cruzan – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and can handle the distance.
8 – Beganingreenpoint – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Blue Spearman – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
Alternate:
6 – Don’t Answer
Race 5
9 – Mustang Bay – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Lasix is added.
7 – Midnight Vengeance – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 23% of the starts when using 1st time Lasix and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Buzz Rocket – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, drops in class today and can improve while returning to dirt.
Longshot:
3 – He’s a Daredevil – He had trouble in his debut race and finished 4th and he has a high % winning jockey.
Race 6-Female
5 – Royal Dame – She won her only start at Gulfstream Park, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 22% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
2 – Clearly Copper – She has won two races out of her last four races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Pemberley – She switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and the trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-1-0).
Longshot:
6 – Dontmesswithtess – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 62% of the races, winning 31% of the starts.
Alternate:
4 – Wow Lucky
$.50 Pick 4: # 2,5/2,3,6,7,9/1,3,4,6,7/2,3 – Cost $50.00
Race 7–Female
9 – Dove in Charge – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 3F workout on Sept-14.
3 – Madness – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Miguel’s Belle – She has finished in the money in three out of her last four races winning one of the starts, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
6 – Pharoahs Baby Gyal – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Shez Speightful
4 – R Firebird
Race 8
6 – Malarchuk – He has finished in the money in all of his three career races winning the last start by more than 9-lenghts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Heartened – He has finished in the money in all of six races out of his eight career races winning the one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Who’s the King – He drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Timeout – He has finished in the money in five out of his last seven races winning one of the starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – God’s Timing
Bet: $10.00 DD: 6/2
Race 9-Female
2 – Goodbetterbest – She has finished in the money in eight out of his last nine races winning five of the starts, and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Strand of Gold – She has won three out of seven starts at Gulfstream Park, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Center Stage – She won her last race at Gulfstream Park and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
10 – Amazin Queen – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Ipanema Princess
Bet: $20.00 Win: #2 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: #2/3,5,10 – $8.00 Exacta: 2/3,5,7,10,11
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #2 – Goodbetterbest
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ Almost Fair
6 – STARSHIP IMPULSIVE – TLRSP# +13 – only horse with a PAR race
11 – BARBARA JOAN – Top Rated first timer with a back bullet work
7 – STRIVER – 2nd race improvement is enough
1 – SOFIA PAOLA – another 1st timer – last 5f work is nice at 59.2
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – DOWN IN THE BAYOU – better ATB in first up – closes and goes long for the first time
7 – OYA THUNDER – TLRSP#+4 – also better ATB in first after a layoff – small drop
2 – SPICY GUACAMOLE – not a lot of speed in here – could be pacesetter – also has most LP
4 – BONMATI – if not the 2 – then the 4 could be on the lead – right distance 5/0-2-2
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
1 – HIS CHOICE – Lone E and very likely to be the pacesetter
6 – ONE SPECIAL ACT – biggest class dropper and likely better in 2nd up
3 – SONNY’S GOLDENLADY – some better fractions despite going longer – cut back helps
7 – BURN IT ALL – tough trip in last – better trip and really not much to beat
Race 4: 5 ½ AW Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Outside In with Rail Being Fair
5 – WARLORD CRUZAN – 3SP# increases – TLRSP#+8 – better EP and LP
8 – BEGANINGREENPOINT – could be the pacesetter and not many others want to be on the lead
7 – ZIO LORENZO – highly consistent performer
4 – BLUE SPEARMAN – should be forward and a small drop in class
Race 5: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
8 – LOVE HATE – 2nd race improvement would be enough – wide trip in debut
7 – MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE -Pletcher and Irad – was 3/2 favorite in last – maybe flip to dirt helps
3 – HE’S A DAREDEVIL – another with 2nd race improvement – tough trip in last
4 – GAIN – might have untapped potential – three races all with issues – let’s see what happens if he gets a clean trip
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – ROYAL DAME – won lone race on AW and very likely to be better in 2nd up
2 – CLEARLY COPPER – undefeated in 2 on AW – plenty of decent works since last
6 – DONTMESSWITHTESS – probably the most consistent performer in the field
3 – LOVE MY JOB – almost no speed in here – could steal this one on the front
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – MADNESS – won last by 6 ½ lengths and big race is normally followed by another
9 – DOVE IN CHARGE – Irad rides today – better ATB in last
2 – MIGUEL’S BELLE – fast dirt and distance are the best fits for her
4 – R FIREBIRD – should be forward – fractions were probably way too fast in last – won’t be that fast today
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
6 – MALARCHUK – TLRSP#+3 – improved in every race since debut – fast fractions in last
5 – GOD’S TIMING – odd that he is ML 20-1 – is stepping up in class by about a ½ length – works are solid since last and winner 2/3 on fast dirt
4 – WHO’S THE KING – drops from the PA Derby back in SEPT – strong in first up races – won last by 7
3 – HEARTENED – always well bet – either robust LS or ES – but never together – if/when he combines the two – high level stakes would be realistic
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Same Discount as Rail
3 – STRAND OF GOLD – better ATB with faster fractions in most recent – offers more in 2nd up
2 – GOODBETTERBEST – won both at a mile – win and close 2nd in a pair of GP grass goes
6 – MUSICAL ROMANCE – just missed at this level in last and another where her numbers should rise in round 2 off the sidelines
1 – CONFER – tough call over the 5 – but 5 has triple top potential and might be set for regression whereas this on is on the rise
