Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Gulfstream Park Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Gulfstream Park – 1-22-2025
Race 1 -Female
11 – Stubold – She ran 2nd in her last race only losing by a nose, her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
7 – Bella Mendy – She was beaten only ¾ of a length vs similar in her last start, she has a trainer who wins 28% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse, her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and blinkers are added today.
6 – Point to That Star – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
9 – Want All the Smoke – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winners from 5 starters and 2 Turf winner, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Honor Her
8 – Miss Mitole
Race 2 -Female
2 – Both Sides – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Olga – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she switches to a high % winning trainer.
1 – Royal Poppy – She finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip, can improve while returning to dirt and she has a high% winning trainer who wins 21% of the starts when taking a horse from an AW surface to dirt.
Longshot:
4 – Gallop d’Hermes – She finished in the money in four races out of eight starts at Gulfstream, winning two races and she likes the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Miles of Smiles
5 – Be Here Now
$.50 Pick 4: ,2,3/1,2,6/3,4,8,10/1,2,3,6 – Cost $48.00
Bet: $20.00 Win: #2 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: #2/1,3,4 – $10.00 Exacta: 2/1,3,4 – $5.00 DD:2/1,2,6,7
Race 3 -Female
6 – Star Performance – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance should help and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Always to the End – She ran 2nd vs tougher (on Turf) in her last race, drops in class today and she has a trainer who wins 30% of the starts when taking a horse from the Turf to an AW surface.
2 – Corona Princess – She finished 4th in her last race after being bumped at the start and only missed by 2-lenghts, drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
7 – Uncaptured Skeet – Her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance should help.
Alternate:
3 – Windrush
Race 4 -Female
3 – Dude Ranch – She has finished in the money in both career races, finishing 3rd vs tougher (on AW) in her last race, drops in class today, her breeding suggests she will like the grass as her Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters and 2 Turf winners and is Lasix added.
4 – Breezethrutime – She finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Wellness – She drops in class today, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Gulfstream Mary – She ran 2nd vs similar (on AW) in last race, her breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Unbounded Movement
Race 5 -Female
2 – Love Her Lots – She has finished in the money in six races out of her last eight starts, winning three of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Wicked Mercury – She won her last race at Woodbine earning the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – No Valla – She has finished in the money in seven out of her last eight races winning five of the starts and her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
3 – I’m Into Mischief – She won her last race, drops in class today, she has a high% winning trainer who wins 38% of the starts in the 1st race at a route a horse competes in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Mi Amore
4 – My Happy Holiday
Race 6
1 – Focusyn – He ran 3rd in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Fattoush – He drops in class today and he has a bullet 4F workout on Jan-15.
7 – Bella Mendy – He was beaten only ¾ of the lengths vs similar in last start, his best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high% winning trainer who wins 28% of the races in the 2nd start after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
5 – Mohawk River – He ran 3rd in his last race at Gulfstream Park and he has a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,6/2,5,6/2,4,6,8/1,3,5,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
6 – Miss Vyvyanne – She has an early foot so the cutback in distance will help, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – My Lady James – She has an early foot so she will give Miss Vyvyanne a run for her money and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Talkin Tipsy – She has finished in the money in six races out of her last seven starts, winning three of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Bodacious Bren – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has finished in the money in ten out of ten races at today’s distance, winning three starts.
Alternate:
4 – Drum Roll
1 – Nana’s Corn Muffin
Race 8
2 – Shankar – He has won three out of the last six races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Catch a Tiger – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Dear Dad – He likes Gulfstream Park, finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 14% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 83% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Uncle Armando – He has finished 2nd in his last three races and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Reminder
Race 9
6 – Ponant – He has finished 2nd in last his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Mythic Performance – He drops in class today and he has a has a high% winning trainer who wins 24% of the starts when taking a horse from a Maiden to a Maiden Claiming event.
3 – Wheelhouse – His best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Induringhope – He drops in class today and he has a has a high% winning trainer who wins 20% of the starts when taking a horse from a Maiden to a Maiden Claiming event and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Salted Carmel
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 2nd Race – #2 – Both Sides
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Same Bonus as Rail, 8+ Best
3 – MY SWEET ADALINE – 2nd race improvement would be enough
11 – STUBOLD – just missed at this level last out
7 – BELLA MENDY – 2 of her last 3 races would be good enough
2 – HONOR HER – has a par race on her resume
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Big Inside Out
1 – ROYAL POPPY – very likely pacesetter on the rail wins came when she was closest early – 3rd up
3 – OLGA – pretty solid works prepping for 1st race since Nov 24
5 – BE HERE NOW – biggest class dropper – about 1 ½ lengths – hot and cold off the bench
2 – BOTH SIDES – winner two in a row and should be better in second up
3: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Almost Fair, 8+ Best
2 – CORONA PRINCESS – only class dropper
6 – STAR PERFORMANCE – only horse with a par race – will be forward
1 – ALWAYS TO THE END – is going to be the pacesetter on the rail
7 – UNCAPTURED SKEET – looks like the best of the rest
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
8 – WELLNESS – MSW dropper – 1 ½ lengths – resume says better in 2nd up
3 – DUDE RANCH – maybe most upside in only 3rd race and first route
4 – BREEZETHRUTIME – will be closing and was a little better ATB in her last
10 – GULFSTREAM MARY D – 2nd at this level last out – Chris P angle
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Biggest Discount
1 – WICKED MERCURY – TLRSP#+3 – has 2 wins and a semi close 2nd in 3 at GP
3 – I’M INTO MISCHIEF – maybe too much early speed for the rest – if fractions are right – w2w
6 – NO VALLA – always close at the end in most races – but maybe not the biggest GP AW fan 4/1-0-1
2 – LOVE HER LOTS – most consistent performer – 3 seconds in a row – 2nd up
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
7 – VERTRAUEN – 2nd carer race – too much ES for the rest – top w2w candidate
6 – FATTOUSH – highly consistent – probably better in round 2 off the bench and has a crazy fast work between races – 4f in 46.1
5 – MOHAWK RIVER – should be closing and really nothing to beat after the top 2 – only with a PAR race
1 – FOCUSYN – strong rail – 2nd up – much better EP in last
Race 7: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Almost Fair, 8+ Best
5 – MY LADY JAMES – definitely likes GP AW 16/5-4-3 – 1 length class dropper
2 – TALKIN TIPSY – it is the right distance – will be forward – 13/5-2-2 – will be forward
4 – DRUM ROLL – TLRSP# +5 – CV says 2nd up should mirror the first
6 – MISS VYVYANNE – likely pacesetter, lone E – first up – but maybe GP not her fav 2/0-0-0
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles AW – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Biggest Discount
2 – SHANKAR – decent works getting ready – been solid in first ups
8 – DEAR DAD – finally healthy horse? Making the 3rd start in a row for the first time
6 – UNCLE ARMANDO – will be rolling at the end and is a highly consistent performer
4 – CATCH A TIGER – tough call over the 3 – but better GP and AW numbers
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
3 – WHEELHOUSE – any 2nd race improvement and it is a wrap – been off since Aug 29
7 – WESTSIDE TIDE – another that is making 2nd start and decent works prepping for 1st since Nov 2
6 – PONANT – just missed last out at a little lower level and could be better in 2nd up – will be forward
5 – MYTHIC PERFORMANCE – consistent performer and makes 3rd start after a layoff
