Gulfstream Park Full Card Picks, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Gulfstream on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Penn National
Gulfstream Park Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
9 – Rita Marga – She tried turf in her last race and seemed to like it as she finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Ramadhaan – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Kilkenny Bella – She finished 3rd (on AW) in her last start, has the highest last race speed rating has jockey Chantal Sutherland in the irons.
Longshot:
5 – Martini’s Amica – She finished 4th vs similar in her last race after hitting the gate at the start and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Kit Can Run
2 – Country Jewel
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 1st race #9,10 – 2nd race # 1,3 – 3rd race # 7,9 – 4th race #6,7 – 5th #1,4,5
Race 2
3 – Capridrey – She finished 3rd vs tougher (on AW) in her last race, drops in class today has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and should improve by returning to dirt.
1 – Bullet On Tap – She won last race her last race at Gulfstream Park, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Katiesdreamgirl – She drops in class today, and she is one for one at today’s distance
Longshot:
4 – Little Belita – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, and she has a good 4F workout on Mar-16.
Alternate:
6 – Beautiful Star
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race # 1,3– 3rd race # 7,9 – 4th race #6,7 – 5th #1,4,5
Race 3
7 – Oasis Jak – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), switches to a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey (36 10-3-6).
9 – Out for Myself – She should improve at the shorter distance and has a good 3F workout on Mar-16.
5 – Wolf Rayet – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Law Machine – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1 – Sallie Seville
4 – Awesome Marina
Bet: $1.00 DD: 7/ 1,4,6,7 – Pick 6: 7/6,7/1,4,5/1,2,3/6/3,5,7
Race 4
7- Krypton – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and has a trainer who wins 23% of the races with horses in a claiming race.
6 – Mr. Cellular – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Dream of Blessings – He hit the gate in his last race and finished poorly, drops in class today, can improve while returning to a route and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Mundo Mix – He has a high % winning trainer and the trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-1-0).
Alternate:
3 – Astral Weeks
5 – Nature Boy
Bet: None
Race 5
4 – Experienced – He drops in class today, has a high % trainer who wins 28% of the races in claiming races and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Nantasket Beach – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last start and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Street Vendor – He has a high % jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (36 10-3-6).
Longshot:
2 – Smart Striker – He finished in the money in two out of his four career races, winning one of the starts and tries turf for the first time.
Alternate:
6 – Seven Bridges Road
8 – Hashtag No Wonder
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 5th race #1,4,5 – 6th race # 1,2,3 – 7th race # 2,6 – 8th race #3,5,7
Race 6
1 – Sequin Lady – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and the trainer wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route- sprint.
2 – Heir to the Roar – She won her last race his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Solair – She finished 3rd vs similar in last race, highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Meet the Beauty – She has finished in the money in four out of eleven starts at Gulfstream Park, winning one of the starts and the distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
6 – La Costa
Bet: None
Race 7
6 – To a T – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race, has a high % winning jockey and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
2 – Sonicus – She has an early foot which should help, was beaten only ¾ of a lengths vs similar in her last start, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Awesome Annmarie – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 18% of the races in sprints.
Longshot:
7 – Parisian Vibe – She has finished in the money in all three of her career starts, winning one and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Rachel’s Rock
Bet: $10.00 Win #6 – $3.00 Exacta Box 2/6 – $2.00 Exacta 6/2,4,7
Race 8
5 – Mister Abarrio – He has finished in the money in his last five races, winning one starts and he has the best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – People Force – He won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a decent workout on March 11th.
7 – The Khozan One – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Lookinassah – He is a closer who won his last race at Gulfstream Park and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
9 – Max Swagger
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 14% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2+ Fair
9 – RITA MARGA – had a lot of company upfront in last, could get an easier lead here, remember Murder Hornet – came out of same race
5 – MARTINI’S AMICA – Left Arrow Horse – same race as the 9 last out, hit the gate and was closing at 7 1/2f, 2 maintenance works since and the extra distance today helps
10 – RAMADHAAN – was stuck wide in her last, likely to get a similar trip today with a bunch of similar pace horses to her inside
3 – KIT CAN RUN – probably most upside potential in the field with only 3 races – Z Pattern in last
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 5/3,9,10
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Litte Bonus
1 – BULLET ON TAP – really wasn’t asked to do much until late in last and still improved 7f vs pervious 7f by 3 seconds
3 – CAPRIDREY – has a +6 LP edge, caught some slowish fractions in last, fast dirt 9/2-4-1 and Distance 6/1-4-0 – was forced way wide in the lone off the board at distance
4 – LITTLE BELITA – last race was probably a lot better than it looks on paper, wide trip but still managed to run faster 4/6f fractions at 1m vs 7f
2 – KATIESDREAMGIRL – won only 1m dirt race at GP with ease, drops in class and has top GP#s
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/5,7/1,4,6/4,5
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 51% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
7 – OASIS JAK – should be on the lead, two really nice works between races, switch to Irad means probably no chance she goes off at 2-1
5 – WOLF RAYET – first go around on dirt for lone PC and class dropper, NYEve work at Palm Meadow of 4f in 47.4 hints at some dirt ability
1 – SALLIE SEVILLE – beyond notable that Tyler G gets off the 9 that was 7/5 last out and showed speed to ride a first timer with blah works
9 – OUT FOR MYSELF – tough call over the 8 as both have similar EP and will press for the lead, both faded under pressure in last, edge could be 2nd time Lasix here vs 8 having Lasix in first two starts
Suggested Wager: $0.20 Pick 6: 7/6/4,5/1,3,5/2,6/2,5,7,9
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ Litte Bonus
6 – MR. CELLULAR – MCL 12.5 win in 8th try with TLRSP# in first on dirt -1 mile like today – Z pattern
1 – MUNDO MIX – 2nd off the claim for tr Jose Delgado – 25% angle, speed and stop has been MO – last two works are nice – 6/5 favorite in last – one day he’s not going to stop and payoff at nice odds, let’s hope that’s today
4 – DREAM OF BLESSINGS – has a +LP advantage, upgrades to Jose at a distance with his only win in just two races – only 3 yo vs 4 yos could be a disadvantage
7 – KRYPTON – has the most back class – was FAV in 2 of 3 dirt race and was well bet in the other
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,6/1,4/1,3,4,6,7
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 14% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2+ Fair
4 – EXPERIENCED – tough to tell if he was a tired in 2nd race after more than a year in the barn, body of work in 6 races stands out – raced on March 5 and worked in the 10th – Charles says that’s usually a good sign
5 – NANTASKET BEACH – has a +8f advantage through first ½ mile – two best races were when he was close to the front – 7 scratching emphasizes early speed edge
6 – SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD – win came in first off the layoff like today
1 – STREET VENDOR – tough call over the 9, switch to Irad, rail edge and 9 bombed in only turf try
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 4,5/1,3,5/2,6/2,5,7,9
Race 6: 5 Furlongs AW – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount – 2+ Fair
5 – MEET THE BEAUTY – Left Arrow Horse with +7 EP edge at 2f, potentially better in 2nd off the bench
1 – SEQUIN LADY – very consistent performer, best race was on AW
3 – SOLAIR – is not that far from winning four of five at the distance/surface and track
2 – HEIR TO THE ROAR – lone P horse, won versus slowish factions last out, could get a similar temp here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,5/1,5/1,2,3,5,6
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3, 4+ Close to Par
2 – SONICUS – better pace#s through the first ½ mile, just missed vs come of these at 6 ½f, cutting back to 6f helps in 2nd off the bench
6 – TO A T -was the favorite versus many in here last out and beat them although jockey Jose Ortiz lost the whip – concern is closer in a short field
4 – AWESOME ANNMARIE – slightly beat the 2 last out, notable that Irad gets off of this one to ride the 2
7 – PARISIAN VIBE – tied with the 2 as the top EP/LP horse and should be involved from go
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 2/2,3,5,6,7,9
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 14% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2+ Fair
2 – COSMIC SPECULATION – broke his maiden at the highest and times are just better than the rest of the field
9 – MAX SWAGGER – let’s take a little price here, won 1st Lasix on first turf try – tr Saffie Joseph Jr winner 31% in the 2nd with Lasix – not impressed with the works between races
5 – MISTER ABARRIO – TLRSP#, but interesting that Paco Lopez gets off of here and stays on the 6
7 – THE KHOZAN ONE – tough call over the 3, but tr Claudio Gonzalez 28% with horses making 2nd start for him and sharp workout between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,9/2,9/2,3,5,7,9
Gulfstream Park Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
