22 to 1 Tom’s Sha Tin Tips
Ebaiyra
10 starts 4 wins 3 seconds 1 third
Always in the money at distance races of 2200m or better
Frontrunner, does her best work on or near the lead
Last race at Deauville, 2000m running 6th to Grand Glory (she just ran 5th in the Japan Cup)
Winner at the group 2 and 3 level, no group 1 wins but distance has been shorter than 2100m, longer race, better results
Has preferred a soft surface but has won on good to soft
Pyledriver
13 starts 6 wins 2 seconds 1 third
5 runs and 3 wins at distances greater than 2200m
Group 1 winner at Epsom at 2400m
Top weight in last race at Lingfield (AW) and won at 2000m
Lightly raced this season with only 3 runs
Runs on any type of surface
Glory Vase
16 starts 5 wins 4 seconds 1 third
Won this race in 2019 with Joao Moreira who will ride him again
Awful draw in last race (15) but still managed with run 3rd to runners who competed in the Japan Cup
Only 1 win from 6 tries in group 1 company and that win was at Shi Tin
In the previous start, ran a good second to Loves Only You in group 1
3 wins from 8 tries at distances greater than 2200m
Prefers good to firm going
Resistencia
12 starts 5 wins 4 seconds 1 third
At 1200m she has 3 starts 1 win 2 seconds, these were group 1 and 2
Strong 2nd last out in group 1, laid off the pace a bit
Speed is her game and she will want the lead but has sat off the pace in recent races with good times and final run in :33.5 and :34 (last won was winning effort)
Gets 4 lbs from all competitors and Christian Soumillion rides for the first time
She has won on firm and yielding tracks
Lucky Patch
17 starts 7 wins 3 seconds 3 thirds (5 wins in Hong Kong)
Winner of last 2 races in group 2 company at 1200m
Zack Purton returns to ride and had a choice of Naboo Attack (who ran second to this horse last time out) or this horse. Top rider in Hong Kong with 23% wins and 52% placing
In last 2 starts, he’s been placed midpack and move within 3L at the top of the straight
1200m is where he does his best running with 11 starts and 6 wins
Prefers the going to be good to firm
Pixie Knight
8 starts 3 wins 2 seconds 1 third
In the money finishes at this distance in 3 starts
Has won group 1 and 3 races (group 3 was a distance of 1600m)
Winner last out vs my top choice
Another horse that appears to like 1200m and has done its best running
Wants a firm track
Golden Sixty
19 starts 18 wins
4 for 4 in group 1 races
Won this race last year
Sits midpack and get moving in time for the win, doesn’t win by wide margins
A winner at distances between 1200m to 2000m
Danon Kingly
13 starts 6 wins 2 second 2 thirds
Races are spaced apart and first up after a layoff, he has 9 starts and 5 wins
Only 1 group 1 win in Japan and that was this year at 1600m in June at Tokyo
Both races this year has been good, the other running 2nd last time out in 1800m race
I his win, he had draw 11 and went the mile in 1:31.7, WOW
2 works on the AW of :35.1 and :32.8 shows fitness for me
Excellent Proposal
14 starts 7 wins 2 seconds
Raced first in Australia (winning 3 races) before coming to Hong Kong
He’s been running in handicap races against group winners, moves up here but has one of the top trainers in Hong Kong places him in this race
At the 1600m, he has 3 runs 1 win 2 seconds
He runs late, so any pace up front will only help this horse
Wins on good to firm conditions
Works have been on the AW and generally very fast, 4 works
Loves Only You
15 starts 7 wins 2 seconds 3 thirds
Breeders Cup winner last out in Filly & Mares Turf
She has faced some of the best this year, Mishriff, Glory Vase, Sodashi, Stay Foolish, etc in Dubai, Japan, & US
She’s won the QEII in Hong Kong in 2020 beating a top local horse in Lucky Lilac
Her record at this distance is 4 starts 2 wins 2 seconds
Post should be a issue for her and want firm ground
Works have been on the AWT 4 times were very good, she’s in form
Lei Papale
9 starts 6 wins 1 third
This Japanese runner is 2 for 2 at this distance
Ran ok in the QEII last out at Hanshin and was beaten by 3 big longshots back by on 3L
Good fourth to Win Marilyn, who ran in the Japan Cup, did nothing
Christian Soumillion has the mount, first ride for him because her normal jockey in riding my top choice
Likes any type of going
Works, 2 turf works were fast of :33 and :56.6. Final work was slower on the AW
Dubai Honour
9 starts 4 wins 2 seconds
Not much as a 2 year old but won 3 in a row in 2021 1 handicap and 2 group 2 races
Ran 2nd to Sealiway last out at Ascot on champions day, missing by less than a L with the outside draw
Likes any type of going
Good works coming to this race 1 AW and 2 on the turf. Last work, Tom Marquand was on board, and he will ride today
Rich’s Ranks
Hong Kong Vase – Race 4
1 – Pyledriver
2 – Glory Vase
5 – Mogul
8 – Ebaryia
Hong Kong Sprint – Race 5
2 – Pixie Knight
5 – Lucky Patch
8 – Naboo Attack
12 – Resistencia
Hong Kong Mile – Race 7
1 – Golden Sixty
3 – Indy Champ
11 – Mother Earth
9 – Excellent Proposal
Hong Kong Cup – Race 8
4 – Hishi Iguazu
8 – Dubai Tower
12 – Love Only You
11 – Lei Papale
